Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Predictions Odds Live

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
28/12/2025 15:30
Rio Ave

Prediction :

 

Sporting Lisbon win to nil

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Thobelani Moyo in Liga Portugal Predictions

In their final home match of 2025, defending champions Sporting Lisbon will aim to cut the five-point gap at the summit when they welcome Rio Ave to the Estadio Jose Alvalade on matchday 16 of the LigaPortugal. Sporting are in second place in the league standings, while Rio Ave are in tenth place. Here's our match prediction.

A 3-1 away defeat to German giants Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League is their only defeat in 16 matches across all competitions. It's without question that they are on cloud nine coming into this match.

On Tuesday, the Lions bagged all three points after a commanding 4-1 away league victory over Vitoria de Guimaraes. That marked their sixth win in seven games. Notably, they've gone unbeaten in 11 league games.

Rui Borges' men return to their final home match, aiming to extend their unbeaten run to six matches. It's worth noting that they are riding a three-match winning streak at the Estadio Jose Alvalade.

Rio Ave, on the other hand, have been plagued with inconsistency. They've won just one of their last six league games. Three of those outings ended in draws, highlighting their competitiveness.

Vilacondenses made the short trip to Gil Vicente in their recent match. Despite being labeled as underdogs, they salvaged a point in a thrilling 2-2 draw. On the flip side, that extended their winless run to two games.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Rio Ave Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.11 7.5 19
Betfred
1.14 7.5 15
William Hill
1.15 8 15
Unibet
1.16 7 15
Betway
1.14 7.5 15
Check all Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave?

Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave match is: Sporting Lisbon win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/12/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.53% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Rio Ave with odds of 1.17 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave is 20.86% with odds of 9.1 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 12.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 19 at Bet365.

Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Form

Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
38 15 12 2 1 34
10
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
17 15 3 8 4 -5

Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave Last Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
W D L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Estrela Amadora
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Estrela Amadora

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Club Brugge

22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
AC Marinhense

31 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
FC Alverca SAD

28 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
FC Alverca SAD
D W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Juventus
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon
Rio Ave
Rio Ave Last matches
L D D W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  2
Rio Ave

13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  2
Rio Ave

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  1
Santa Clara

8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  1
Rio Ave

1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  4
Estoril
D L W L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  1
Santa Clara

1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  4
Estoril

5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
3 :  0
Tondela

19 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  3
Porto

31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  2
SC Braga
D L W D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  2
Rio Ave

6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  2
Rio Ave

8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  1
Rio Ave

25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
1 :  2
Rio Ave

19 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Sintrense
3 :  2
Rio Ave

28 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  0
Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Lisbon

83 %

Draw

17 %

Rio Ave

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (home team)
0.83
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

3 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Rio Ave

18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Rio Ave

25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
3 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

25 Sept 2023 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave last Lineups

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
R. Silva
22
I. Fresneda
72
Quaresma
25
Goncalo Inacio
91
R. Mangas
17
F. Trincao
42
M. Hjulmand
52
J. Simoes
20
M. Araujo
89
F. Ioannidis
97
L. Suarez
80
O. Pohlmann
9
C. Silva
11
Andre
3
N. Athanasiou
5
A. Ntoi
10
B. Aguilera
20
J. Tome
32
J. Brabec
4
J. Panzo
23
F. Petrasso
1
C. Miszta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Rio Ave

Missing players

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Defender

Z. Debast

O. Diomande

Midfielder

D. Braganca

P. Goncalves

G. Catamo

Forward

N. Santos

G. Quenda

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Midfielder

T. Bakoulas

T. Nikitscher

Forward

C. Silva

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
CD Huachipato Rio Ave
Top Goalscorer
Colombia L. Suarez (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil C. Silva (10 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Trincao (7 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil C. Silva (4 Assists)

Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave Stats in Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
80%
Wins
20%
13%
Draw
53%
7%
Losses
27%
3.33
Total goals per match
2.87
2.8
Goals scored per match
1.27
0.53
Goals conceded per match
1.6
67%
Over 2.5
60%
33%
Under 2.5
40%
47%
BTTS
67%
53%
Clean Sheet
13%

Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave Key Points

  1. Sporting Lisbon boasts the second-best defensive record in the league with eight goals conceded.
  2. Rio Ave have failed to score in two of their last three away league games against Sporting Lisbon.
  3. Sporting Lisbon have kept a clean sheet in eight of their last 15 league games.
  4. Sporting Lisbon have won their last two league games against Rio Ave.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Prediction

Sporting Lisbon are in rampant form, and it's difficult not to see them coming out in front of their fervent supporters. This is their final home game of 2025, and as such, expect a ruthless Lisbon side hungry for three points.

Rio Ave have been decent in front of goal scoring in four of their last five matches. However, they face Sporting Lisbon, who have kept five successive clean sheets at home. Walking away with three points will be difficult, as getting one past this well-oiled machine. Our Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave prediction: Sporting Lisbon win to nil.

Prediction :

 

Sporting Lisbon win to nil

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Sporting Lisbon vs. Rio Ave game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Prediction