Southampton vs Leicester Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Southampton
25/11/2025 15:00
Leicester

Prediction :

 

BTTS

1.73
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions

Southampton and Leicester will look to push their way towards playoff spots in the 2025-26 EFL Championship campaign as they clash on matchday 17. This match on Tuesday at St Mary’s Stadium between the 16th-placed Saints and the 10th-placed Foxes comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.

Southampton’s 21 points (W5, D6, L5) put them four points away from the top six teams. Leicester’s 24 points (W6, D6, L4) see them start this round one point outside the playoff spots.

The Saints thrashed Charlton 5-1 away from home last weekend for a third league win in a row. All those victories have seen them concede goals, making it 13 matches out of their 16 in this campaign to have seen BTTS.

Southampton will look to improve their home form, though, as they had just one win from their last six home league fixtures (D3, L2).

Leicester won 2-1 at home against Stoke last weekend for a second victory in a row, both by the same scoreline. This is just the second time in the league campaign that they have had two league victories in a row.

The Foxes have won on their last trip to Norwich, but they are yet to win consecutive away games. They have just three wins from the last seven trips (D2, L2), which points to their indifference.

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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Leicester Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.81 3.6 4
Stake
1.85 3.7 4
Melbet
1.88 3.64 4.04
BC Game
1.85 3.55 3.9
Tonybet
1.89 3.75 4.1
Check all Southampton vs Leicester odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Leicester?

Our prediction for the Southampton vs Leicester match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/11/2025 between Southampton and Leicester in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.03% for a win of Southampton against Leicester with odds of 1.89 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Leicester is 31.88% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Leicester vs Southampton with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.

Southampton - Leicester Prediction and Best Odds:

Southampton Leicester Prediction Probability Odds
Leicester wins 36.08% 4.1 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 52.82% 1.84 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 65.42%
Half-time : Southampton / Full-time : Leicester 15% 34 at Bet365

Southampton vs Leicester Form

Southampton and Leicester's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12
Leicester
Leicester
37 26 10 7 9 -1
15
Southampton
Southampton
33 26 8 9 9 0

Southampton and Leicester Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  5
Southampton

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Southampton

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  2
Preston North End

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  1
Southampton

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  1
Southampton
L D D D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  2
Preston North End

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Swansea

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

14 Sept 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Portsmouth

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Stoke
W D L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  5
Southampton

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Southampton

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  1
Southampton

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  1
Southampton

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Southampton

30 Sept 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  2
Southampton
Leicester
Leicester Last matches
L L L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Stoke

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Leicester

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  2
Blackburn

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Leicester

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Hull
2 :  1
Leicester
D D D L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Stoke

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  2
Blackburn

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  1
Portsmouth

30 Sept 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  1
Wrexham

20 Sept 2025 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  0
Coventry City
D D W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Leicester

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Leicester

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Hull
2 :  1
Leicester

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  3
Leicester

26 Sept 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Leicester

13 Sept 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  2
Leicester

Southampton vs Leicester Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

33 %

Draw

0 %

Leicester

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
2 :  0
Southampton

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  3
Leicester

23 Apr 2024 - Championship

Leicester
5 :  0
Southampton

15 Sept 2023 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  4
Leicester

4 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  0
Leicester

20 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Leicester
1 :  2
Southampton

Southampton against Leicester Lineups: Starting 11

Southampton

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

31
G. Bazunu
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
15
N. Wood
17
J. Quarshie
18
T. Fellows
20
C. Jander
4
F. Downes
3
R. Manning
10
F. Azaz
9
A. Armstrong
13
L. Scienza
20
P. Daka
10
S. Mavididi
6
J. James
7
I. Fatawu
8
H. Winks
22
O. Skipp
56
O. Aluko
23
J. Vestergaard
3
W. Faes
17
H. Choudhury
31
A. Begovic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Leicester

Substitutes

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

A. McCarthy

Defender

Welington

R. Manning 67'

R. Edwards

J. Stephens

Midfielder

J. Aribo

F. Azaz 67'

C. Bragg

F. Downes 85'

Forward

C. Archer

D. Downs

L. Scienza 78'

J. Robinson

T. Fellows 78'

Leicester
Leicester
Goalkeeper

F. Vieites

Defender

R. Pereira

Midfielder

L. Page

H. Winks 80'

B. Soumare

I. Fatawu 46'

Forward

J. Carranza

S. Thomas

P. Daka 68'

J. Ayew

S. Mavididi 46'

J. Monga

B. De Cordova-Reid

J. James 57'

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

M. Roerslev

Midfielder

S. Charles

Forward

S. Edozie

Leicester
Leicester
Defender

H. Souttar

V. Kristiansen

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Leicester
Top Goalscorer
England A. Armstrong (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Wales J. James (8 Goals)
Best assists
England A. Armstrong (3 Assists)
England T. Fellows (3 Assists)
Best assists
Ghana I. Fatawu (7 Assists)

Southampton - Leicester Key Points

  1. In a league-high 13 of Southampton’s 16 matches, both teams scored goals.
  2. Leicester saw both teams score goals in 11 of their 16 league games this season.
  3. Nine of Southampton’s last 11 league games saw both teams score goals.
  4. Eight of Leicester’s last ten league fixtures saw goals from both teams.
  5. Five of Leicester’s last six away league fixtures saw both teams score goals.
  6. Six of the last nine matches between Southampton and Leicester saw both teams score goals.
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Our Southampton vs Leicester Prediction

Southampton and Leicester come into this fixture with their best run of the season pushing their charge. The Saints have won three league games in a row, which is the first time in the season that they have won multiple league matches. Leicester have won two league games in a row for just the second time in this campaign. Extending the winning sequence is vital for both teams in their quest to push towards playoff spots.

This game could be an intriguing one between two in-form sides, and our Southampton v Leicester prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Leicester

Southampton vs Leicester Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Southampton wins 2.27 1.89 -16.7%
Draw 3.25 3.75 +15.4%
Leicester wins 3.1 4.1 +32.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Leicester is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 32.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 24.4% (-7.9%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Southampton vs Leicester Prediction