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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
We’re off to Bratislava on Monday night, when Slovakia will be taking on Luxembourg in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers (UEFA) at the Anton Malatinsky Stadium. The Falcons are in third place in the Group A standings, while the Red Lions are bottom of the table. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Slovakia have not featured at a World Cup tournament since South Africa 2010, but they are firmly in the running this year, now one of three teams in Group A locked on six points apiece.
The Falcons stormed out the blocks with back-to-back wins in their first two matches in this competition, but their momentum was halted on Friday night when they lost 2-0 to Northern Ireland.
Still, the hosts are massive favourites here, as they are unbeaten in their last seven home games in all competitions and defeated their upcoming opponents 1-0 in the reverse fixture last month.
Meanwhile, Luxembourg were always expected to struggle to make an impact in this group, and with three defeats in a row, their World Cup 2026 hopes will end with anything but a win in this match.
The Red Lions suffered a 4-0 drubbing by Germany on Friday night and are now winless in their last six matches (D1 L5). They also failed to score in four games during this period.
On the road, the visitors have failed to win any of their last eight games in all competitions (D2 L6), with their last away victory coming against Liechtenstein in November 2023.
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The Best Betting Odds for Slovakia v Luxembourg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 4.6 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 9 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.2 | 8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 5 | 9.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Slovakia and Luxembourg?
Our prediction for the Slovakia vs Luxembourg match is: Slovakia wins & BTTS (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/10/2025 between Slovakia and Luxembourg in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.21% for a win of Slovakia against Luxembourg with odds of 1.42 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Slovakia vs Luxembourg is 33.72% with odds of 5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 5.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Luxembourg vs Slovakia with odds of 10 at Melbet.
Slovakia - Luxembourg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Slovakia Luxembourg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Slovakia wins | 61.21% | 1.42 at Bwin |
| Under 2.5 | 68.16% | 2.01 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 27.08% | 2.33 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Slovakia | 31.11% | 4 at Bet365 |
Slovakia vs Luxembourg Form
Slovakia and Luxembourg's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
|
4
|
0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 |
Slovakia and Luxembourg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Slovakia vs Luxembourg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
23 Mar 2023 - Euro
Slovakia against Luxembourg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Slovakia
Luxembourg
I. Schranz
(2 Goals)
A. Dardari
(1 Goals)
Slovakia - Luxembourg Key Points
- Five of Slovakia’s last six games have ended with only one team scoring.
- Slovakia have kept clean sheets in four of their last five home games.
- Slovakia beat this opponent 1-0 in the reverse fixture last month.
- Five of Luxembourg’s last seven games have ended with only one team scoring.
- Luxembourg have failed to score in six of their last eight away games.
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Our Slovakia vs Luxembourg Prediction
Group A in this competition is shaping up nicely, with three teams currently on six points at the halfway point. That excludes Luxembourg, though, who have looked a long way below the class of their opponents.
With Germany set to take on Northern Ireland in the other match, this represents a golden opportunity for Slovakia to move up in the standings ahead of the final two rounds, and we feel they will grab it with both hands. Our Slovakia vs Luxembourg prediction is Slovakia wins & BTTS (NO).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Slovakia Luxembourg
| Slovakia vs Luxembourg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia wins | 1.33 | 1.36 | +2.3% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.6 | +2.2% |
| Luxembourg wins | 9 | 9.5 | +5.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Slovakia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 73.5% (-1.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Slovakia vs. Luxembourg game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Slovakia and Luxembourg? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
