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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
The race for quarter-final tickets is on at the Rome Masters. One of those will be contested by local favorite Jannik Sinner against Francisco Cerundolo. Below we have a prediction for this match.
As this event runs deeper, so does the level of opposition. Sinner will get that reality after facing two underdogs in the earlier rounds. He saw off Mariano Navone and Jesper de Jong in straight sets to book this matchup.
Sinner has never won the Italian Open, and Cerundolo is among the reasons why. In Sinner’s last appearance at this event, in 2023, he lost to Cerundolo in three sets in the fourth round.
Head-to-head, this fixture is poised at 2-2, though in the first-ever meeting, Sinner retired. Cerundolo won their only meeting on clay and will be targeting a similar outcome.
The Argentine will be a tough match for the world number one. He comes into this encounter having claimed straight-set wins over Nicolas Jarry and Sebastian Ofner.
Cerundolo went on a deep run at the Madrid Masters, where he only lost to eventual winner Casper Ruud in the semis. He is eyeing the same here, and with a 26-10 record, he will have the belief against Sinner. On clay, he has put together an 18-6 run.
Both Sinner and Cerundolo have never gone past the quarter-finals in Rome.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Francisco Cerundolo Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.25 | 4 |
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1.25 | 4 |
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1.25 | 3.75 |
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1.26 | 3.85 |
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1.22 | 3.83 |
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Jannik Sinner vs Francisco Cerundolo Form
Jannik Sinner and Francisco Cerundolo Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
26 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
24 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
22 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
2 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Jannik Sinner vs Francisco Cerundolo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
16 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open
30 Mar 2022 - ATP Miami
Jannik Sinner - Francisco Cerundolo Key Points
- Cerundolo has failed to win a set in only two of his last 20 matches.
- Sinner has won each of his last nine matches, dropping just two sets.
- Two of Sinner’s last three matches at the Rome Masters had three sets.
- Two of the last three completed matches between these two had three sets.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction
There will be many backing Sinner to triumph here, but the season has shown us that Cerundolo is never one to be written off. The Argentine hasn’t lost a fourth-round match this year. On clay alone, he has 18 wins already and has caused Sinner some pain in their earlier meetings.
Sinner will want to avenge that loss here in 2023, and this match will paint the best picture of the Italian’s capability. With two top players facing off, we expect a tough battle at the Campo Centrale Court. Our prediction for Jannik Sinner v Francisco Cerundolo is for the match to have three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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