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Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 40 Argentina
Sebastian Baez
25/08/2025 11:00
ATP 353 South Africa
Lloyd Harris

Prediction :

 

Lloyd Harris wins the match

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions

Off the back of an inconsistent season, Sebastian Baez seeks to make his season tick at the US Open. He faces Lloyd Harris in the first round to mark their first career meeting. Let's look at our prediction for this match. Unseeded Baez is up against Harris, who is competing as a qualifier. 

Baez is having an inconsistent year and has currently lost one more match than the 19 he has won. The Argentine, who has won just once in his last 10 outings, is coming off a second-round exit in Winston-Salem.

Baez made his US Open debut in 2022 and a year later recorded his best finish at a major by making the third round. A clay court specialist, Baez, who is up to 39th in the live ranking, was crowned champion in Rio earlier in the year.

Lloyd Harris is back in Flushing Meadows after missing last year’s event. Injuries have derailed the South African over the last couple of years. He's struggled this season, currently with a 13-14 record.

The 28-year-old, a former US Open quarter-finalist, will hope to replicate such success as he seeks to spark his campaign. Harris was in great form in the qualifying rounds, winning his three matches with just one set lost.

Among those to fall to his racket was two-time tour champion Dan Evans. Harris will start the week outside the ATP’s top 350.

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The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Baez v Lloyd Harris Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.38 1.57
William Hill
2.38 1.57
Betway
2.6 1.5
Ladbrokes
2.37 1.55
Unibet
2.48 1.54
Check all Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris odds
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Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris match is: Lloyd Harris wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris game on 25/08/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:

  • Sebastian Baez has a 33.78% chance to win against Lloyd Harris according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.6.
  • Lloyd Harris has a 66.22% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 1.59 at 22bet.

Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 33.78 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Sebastian Baez33.78 %
Lloyd Harris66.22 %

Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris Form

Sebastian Baez and Lloyd Harris Last Matches

Sebastian Baez Last matches
L L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

20 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Sebastian Baez
1 :  2
Botic Van De Zandschulp

19 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Pablo Carreño-Busta

9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Gabriel Diallo

7 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
David Goffin

23 Jul 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Yannick Hanfmann
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi
Lloyd Harris Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

22 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Daniel Merida
0 :  2
Lloyd Harris

21 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Fajing Sun
0 :  2
Lloyd Harris

18 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Lloyd Harris
2 :  1
Daniel Evans

6 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Leandro Riedi
2 :  0
Lloyd Harris

5 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Lloyd Harris
2 :  1
Eliot Spizzirri

29 Jul 2025 - Lexington, USA

Lloyd Harris
abort
Mark Lajal
Compare Sebastian Baez and Lloyd Harris with our comparison tool.

Sebastian Baez - Lloyd Harris Key Points

  1. Harris is on a three-match winning run.
  2. Baez has lost seven times in his last 10 outings.
  3. On hard courts, Baez has suffered six losses in eight fixtures.
  4. Harris has won almost 300 matches on hard courts in his career.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris Prediction

Baez and Harris have struggled with a lack of consistency this year and both arrive for this match with losing records. We, therefore, are likely to see a hard-fought match as the two seek to spark their campaigns with a deep run at Flushing Meadows.

Harris, however, is our best bet to carry the day as he has already gained some momentum from winning his three qualifiers. The South African is also an excellent hard-court performer, a surface on which Baez normally struggles. Our prediction for Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris is that Lloyd Harris wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Lloyd Harris wins the match

 
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Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris Prediction
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