Benfica Lisbon vs Celtic Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Joseph King | in Europa League Predictions
The league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League continues with matchday two, as seventh-place Benfica host 28th-placed Celtic at the Estádio da Luz. The Eagles’ games have been goal-filled under Marco Silva, while the Hoops have conceded eight in their last two European fixtures, which has us backing goals at both ends in our prediction.
Two-time European Cup winners Benfica are still chasing a first title in this competition, having been runners-up in 1983, 2013 and 2014. They last played in it in 2023-24, going out to Marseille on penalties in the quarter-finals, but opened this campaign with a historic win over AC Milan and can make it six points from six.
Celtic are also looking to lift this trophy for the first time, having lost the 2003 final (back when it was still the UEFA Cup) to José Mourinho’s Porto. Martin O’Neill, coincidentally, was also the manager of Celtic on that day more than 20 years ago, as he is now. The Scottish champions have reached the knockout play-offs in both league-phase seasons so far, only to fall at the first hurdle to Bayern and Stuttgart, and they have not won a European knockout tie since 2004.
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Benfica Lisbon v Celtic Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.23 | 6.60 | 10.00 |
|
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1.27 | 6.33 | 11.90 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.20 | 11.50 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.20 | 11.50 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.20 | 11.50 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Celtic?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Celtic match is: BTTS + over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2026 between Benfica Lisbon and Celtic in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.47% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Celtic with odds of 1.27 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Celtic is 8.79% with odds of 6.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Celtic vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 12 at Betsson.
Benfica Lisbon vs Celtic Form
Benfica Lisbon and Celtic's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
|
28
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Benfica Lisbon and Celtic Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Aug 2026 - Europa League
9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Aug 2026 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
9 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Aug 2026 - Europa League
17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - Scottish Premiership
20 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
13 Sept 2026 - Scottish League Cup
9 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership
5 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
2 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership
29 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership
19 Aug 2026 - Champions League
3 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - Scottish Premiership
13 Sept 2026 - Scottish League Cup
9 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership
5 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership
25 Aug 2026 - Champions League
15 Aug 2026 - Scottish League Cup
Benfica Lisbon - Celtic: Form Analysis
It’s been a strong start to the new campaign for Benfica, who have posted a 6-1-1 record in the Portuguese top flight. Unfortunately for them, defending champions FC Porto have started a perfect eight for eight, which leaves the Eagles trailing by five points.
They also kicked off their Europa League campaign in emphatic fashion with a 2-0 away win over AC Milan in the San Siro.
Benfica’s victory over AC Milan in matchday one was the first ever in club history in seven total meetings.
When including their qualifying campaign, Benfica have lost only twice this season in 15 competitive outings, winning 11. They also come into this matchup on a run of nine wins from their last 10 fixtures and an unbeaten 6-1-0 home record this season.
Celtic, meanwhile, have also started strongly in their domestic league as they sit atop the Scottish Premiership with seven wins from eight games. However, there have been some worrying away performances for the Bhoys in big games.
The Hoops were beaten 5-1 away by LASK in UCL qualification and also beaten 3-0 away by Rangers in the League Cup. Their UEL league stage opener didn’t go to plan, as they lost 3-1 on home soil to Ferencvaros.
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Players list
S. Soares
DefenderA. Bah
T. Araujo
A. Circati
MidfielderS. Dahl
L. Barreiro
J. Palhinha
A. Schjelderup
ForwardRafa Silva
G. Prestianni
V. Pavlidis
V. Sinisalo
DefenderC. Donovan
D. Murray
K. Tierney
L. Scales
MidfielderM. Baur
C. McGregor
S. Tounekti
B. Nygren
ForwardC. Duran
K. Hogh
Substitutes
A. Trubin
DefenderJ. Neto
G. Queiroz
S. El Karouani
MidfielderF. Aursnes
G. Sudakov
M. Silva
T. Freitas
C. Echeverri
ForwardD. Lukebakio
J. Duran
A. Cabral
S. Johnstone
DefenderA. Trusty
J. Lotomba
MidfielderJ. Forrest
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
O. Sorensen
ForwardS. Mheuka
Jota
H. Hassan
Benfica Lisbon & Celtic Squad Analysis
Jakub Kaminski, who scored a goal and provided an assist in the team’s 2-0 away win over Milan, is unavailable after picking up an injury with Poland during the international break. The only other injury concern for the hosts is defensive midfielder Enzo Barrenechea.
Pavlidis has been a roaring success in Lisbon since making the switch over from AZ Alkmaar in 2024. He scored 31 goals in 57 appearances across all competitions last season and has started off the 2026-27 campaign with 14 goals from 14 appearances, while also chipping in with four assists.
The 27-year-old Greek international will be the main danger man that Celtic will have to keep close tabs on, but they also mustn’t lose track of Gianluca Prestianni, who has really taken his game to another level this season.
Prestianni carried over his red-hot club form to the international stage during the break.
He scored his first goal for Argentina and provided an assist in a MOTM display in a 7-0 rout of Burkina Faso.
For Celtic manager Martin O’Neill, he’ll be unable to call upon four players for the trip to Portugal, including Alistair Johnston, Cameron Carter-Vickers, Hyun-Jun Yang and Callum Osmand.
Benjamin Nygren and Kasper Waarts Hogh are the two standout attackers for the visitors. Nygren provided 30 goal contributions across all competitions in his debut season for the Scottish champions last year, and has already chipped in six goals and six assists in the current campaign.
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Celtic
D. Lukebakio
(1 Goals)
, 
J. Kaminski
(1 Goals)
M. Baur
(1 Goals)
J. Kaminski
(1 Assists)
, 
S. El Karouani
(1 Assists)
K. Tierney
(1 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon and Celtic Stats in Europa League
Benfica Lisbon - Celtic Key Points
- Benfica are the leading scorers in the Portuguese division with an average of 3.0 goals scored per outing.
- BTTS + over 2.5 has come through in eight of Benfica’s 15 competitive matches this season.
- Celtic have created 41 big chances in eight league fixtures (5.13 average per game).
- Celtic have seen BTTS + over 2.5 goals in two of their three European matches this season (including qualifying).
- Celtic have conceded eight goals in their last two European matches.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Celtic Prediction
Benfica have the quality to make life difficult for a Celtic side that has looked vulnerable in big matches this season. Marco Silva has this team purring on the attacking end, with 24 goals in eight Liga Portugal matches and two on the road in their opening UEL match.
The Bhoys, meanwhile, are far from toothless in attack. They've created 41 big chances in eight league matches, albeit in the Scottish Premiership, but given Benfica's defensive record (only two clean sheets in seven home matches), we think Celtic can get on the scoresheet. Our Benfica vs Celtic prediction: BTTS + over 2.5.
Benfica Lisbon vs Celtic Alternative Predictions
Benfica Lisbon wins
Vangelis Pavlidis anytime goalscorer
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
