Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA China Open

WTA - WTA China Open

WTA 29 Czech Republic
Sara Bejlek
04/10/2026 06:00
WTA 17 Japan
Naomi Osaka

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 1-2

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Former China Open champion Naomi Osaka will clash with Sara Bejlek in the third round at the China Open on Sunday. The match will mark the first career meeting between these two, and in our prediction, this encounter might need a deciding set.

Bejlek hasn’t had a very consistent run lately, but she remains one of the surprise packages this season. Playing as a qualifier, she raced to her first tour level title in Abu Dhabi in February.

Though she hasn’t matched that feat, a 5-1 record in the third round should be a confidence boost coming here. She started her Beijing debut with a straight-set win against Maddison Inglis and now targets winning more than once since her semi-final showing in Cincinnati.

Osaka hasn’t managed to win a title this season but was close to one, as she got to the Bad Homburg final. The Japanese has a superb record in the third round, only losing once in her 11 matches at this stage.

She is a former champion here and looks to add to her 2019 title. In three sets, she defeated Maria Timofeeva in the last round. That left one concern that has been with her in the past few matches now.

The former world No. 1 has dropped a set or more in five of her last six outings, and each of her last three wins was decided in three sets.

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Sara Bejlek v Naomi Osaka Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.55 1.32
1xbet
3.36 1.34
Melbet
3.28 1.34
Betwinner
3.28 1.34
22bet
3.28 1.34
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Who will win the Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka match is: exact score: 1-2.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka game on 04/10/2026 of the current WTA China Open season:

  • Sara Bejlek has a 38.97% chance to win against Naomi Osaka according to Stake ⭐ with the odds of 3.55.
  • Naomi Osaka has a 61.03% probability of winning facing Sara Bejlek ⭐ with odds of 1.34 at 1xbet.

Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sara Bejlek has a 38.97 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Sara Bejlek38.97 %
Naomi Osaka61.03 %

Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Form

Sara Bejlek and Naomi Osaka Last Matches

Sara Bejlek Last matches
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

2 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open

Sara Bejlek
2 :  0
Maddison Inglis

17 Sept 2026 - WTA Guadalajara

Cristina Bucsa
2 :  0
Sara Bejlek

15 Sept 2026 - WTA Guadalajara

Alycia Parks
0 :  2
Sara Bejlek

31 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Sara Bejlek
1 :  2
Cristina Bucsa

22 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Sara Bejlek
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

21 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Sara Bejlek
2 :  1
Madison Keys
Naomi Osaka Last matches
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

2 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open

Maria Timofeeva
1 :  2
Naomi Osaka

7 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
0 :  2
Elena Rybakina

5 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

3 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  1
Katerina Siniakova

31 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Anastasia Zakharova

11 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Naomi Osaka
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina
Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Prediction

Sara Bejlek - Naomi Osaka Key Points

  1. In five of her last six matches, Osaka dropped at least one set.
  2. Bejlek dropped a set or more in five of her last six matches.
  3. Osaka has won 29 of her 40 matches this season.
  4. Each of Osaka’s last three wins was decided in three sets.
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Our Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Prediction

Naomi Osaka hasn’t won a title this season, but that’s not to mean she isn’t playing well. She’s had a few rough edges since returning from her maternity break, but overall, her performance hasn’t been bad. The Japanese athlete comes into this match as the favourite, though she has been dropping sets regularly.

The same could happen here, as Bejlek is equally doing well. Bejlek has beaten four top 20 players since February, and Osaka has to be cautious. Still, our prediction for Sara Bejlek v Naomi Osaka is for the exact score: 1-2.

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 1-2

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.