SAO Paulo vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
10th-placed São Paulo host 17th-placed Corinthians in this Serie A Round 34 fixture at the Vila Belmiro on Wednesday. São Paulo have won five of their last six home league matches and face a Corinthians side that has lost its last five away league games, hence our prediction in favor of the hosts.
São Paulo suffered a 3-2 defeat at Bahia last Wednesday, despite goals from Lucas Moura and Damián Bobadilla. That result left Dorival Júnior’s side 10th on 43 points, seven clear of the relegation zone.
Notably, the hosts have been far stronger on their own patch, winning five of their last six league matches there. They have also won each of their last four home meetings with Corinthians and will be out to extend that impressive record on Wednesday.
Clarence Seedorf's Corinthians are navigating a difficult spell in the Brazilian top flight that has left them deep in seething battle to beat the drop. Timão defeated 10-man Mirassol 2-0 on Friday, courtesy of goals from Matheus Bidu and Kaio César, with that result ending their 10-match winless league run. However, they remain in the relegation zone, sitting 17th in the log on 36 points.
The visitors have struggled badly on the road, losing each of their last five league away matches. They have won one of their last 11 league games (W1, D1, L9) and have conceded at least twice in eight of those defeats.
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SAO Paulo v Corinthians Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.21 | 3.15 | 3.35 |
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2.29 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.26 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.26 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.26 | 3.26 |
|
This match is our lead expert's Pick of the Day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Corinthians?
Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Corinthians match is: São Paulo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/11/2026 between SAO Paulo and Corinthians in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.62% for a win of SAO Paulo against Corinthians with odds of 2.3 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Corinthians is 26.66% with odds of 3.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Corinthians vs SAO Paulo with odds of 3.35 at Stake.
SAO Paulo vs Corinthians Form
SAO Paulo and Corinthians's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
43 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
|
17
|
36 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 |
SAO Paulo and Corinthians Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo vs Corinthians Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
20 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Paulista Serie A1
29 Sept 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo vs Corinthians last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Coronel
DefenderL. Osorio
R. Toloi
L. Ramon
MidfielderCauly
D. Abelha
P. Ferreira da Silva
D. Ferreira
ForwardG. Santana
Joao Victor
A. Silva
R. Francisco
Kaue
DefenderIago Machado
J. Pedro
P. Milans
MidfielderM. Pereira
Allan
Charles
ForwardG. Negao
Dieguinho
A. Carrillo
Vitinho
P. Raul
Missing players
R. Toloi
L. Ramon
A. Franco
MidfielderMarcos Antonio
P. Maia
ForwardL. Moura
R. Francisco
Z. Labyad
Most goals and assists
SAO Paulo
Corinthians
J. Calleri
(10 Goals)
Matheus Bidu
(5 Goals)
D. Bobadilla
(3 Assists)
,
Wendell
(3 Assists)
R. Garro
(7 Assists)
SAO Paulo and Corinthians Stats in Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo - Corinthians Key Points
- São Paulo have won five of their last six Serie A home matches.
- São Paulo have won their last four home meetings with Corinthians.
- Corinthians have won one of their last 11 Serie A matches.
- Corinthians have lost their last five Serie A away matches.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Corinthians Prediction
São Paulo will be disappointed with their defeat in Salvador, but they have been a different side in front of their own fans. They have won five of their last six home league games and have a strong recent record against their city rivals.
Meanwhile, Corinthians will take heart from Friday’s win, but it came against 10 men and their away form remains a major concern. They have lost five straight league games on the road, making it difficult to back them here. Our São Paulo vs Corinthians prediction: São Paulo wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
