Flamengo vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
League leaders Flamengo host 15th-placed Gremio in this Serie A Round 34 fixture at the Maracanã on Wednesday. Scarlet and Black have won their last seven home league matches and face a Gremio side that has failed to win five of its last six league away games, hence our prediction in favor of Flamengo.
Pedro and Samuel Lino scored twice each as Flamengo cruised to a 4-1 win over Vasco at the Nilton Santos on Thursday. That result lifted Leonardo Jardim’s side to 73 points from 33 games, three clear of second-placed Palmeiras.
Notably, Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 10 league matches (W9, D1). They have also scored at least three goals in each of their last three league outings and will be out to extend that impressive run on Wednesday.
Gremio beat Athletico-PR 2-0 at home on Thursday, courtesy of goals from Marlon and Balbuena. That result moved Renato Gaúcho’s side out of the relegation zone to 15th on 37 points.
However, the visitors have struggled on the road, winning one of their last six league away matches (W1, D1, L4). They have conceded in five of those games and are winless in their last three meetings with Flamengo, including a 1-0 home loss in May.
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Flamengo v Gremio Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.16 | 7.20 | 13.00 |
|
|
1.17 | 8.25 | 15.50 |
|
|
1.16 | 8.10 | 15.00 |
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|
1.16 | 8.10 | 15.00 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.70 | 14.50 |
|
This match is our lead expert's Pick of the Day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Flamengo and Gremio?
Our prediction for the Flamengo vs Gremio match is: Flamengo win + over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/11/2026 between Flamengo and Gremio in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 73.57% for a win of Flamengo against Gremio with odds of 1.2 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Flamengo vs Gremio is 17.36% with odds of 8.25 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Gremio vs Flamengo with odds of 15.5 at 1xbet.
Flamengo vs Gremio Form
Flamengo and Gremio's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
73 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | +40 |
|
15
|
37 | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 |
Flamengo and Gremio Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Oct 2026 - Copa Libertadores
18 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Oct 2026 - Copa Libertadores
11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Oct 2026 - Copa Libertadores
11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
13 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Oct 2026 - Copa Libertadores
8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Flamengo vs Gremio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Sept 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Oct 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Flamengo vs Gremio last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
D. Alves
Andrew
DefenderV. Joao
J. Goes
A. Lucas
Vitao
MidfielderEvertton
L. Paqueta
ForwardJ. Silva Miranda
J. Freitas
L. Araujo
B. Pinto
G. Grando
DefenderP. Crisostomo Pinheiro
M. Rocha
W. Kannemann
Caio Paulista
W. Leonardo
MidfielderF. Krovinovic
Dodi
B. Zortea
ForwardM. Braithwaite
Tete
M. Nascimento
Missing players
A. Lucas
MidfielderJorginho
G. de Arrascaeta
Evertton
Marlon
D. Caito
MidfielderJ. Cabral
ForwardM. Nascimento
Most goals and assists
Flamengo
Gremio
Pedro
(18 Goals)
C. Vinicius
(11 Goals)
S. Lino
(9 Assists)
F. Amuzu
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Pavon
(4 Assists)
Flamengo and Gremio Stats in Brasileirão Serie A
Flamengo - Gremio Key Points
- Flamengo have won their last seven Serie A home matches.
- Flamengo have scored at least three goals in each of their last three Serie A matches.
- Gremio have failed to win five of their last six Serie A away matches.
- Gremio have conceded in five of their last six Serie A away matches.
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Our Flamengo vs Gremio Prediction
Flamengo head into this game in excellent form and will be eager to protect their place at the summit. They have been dominant at the Maracanã, and their attack has found its rhythm, with 10 goals in their last three league matches.
Meanwhile, Gremio have picked up some momentum, but their away form remains a major concern. They have conceded regularly on the road and are likely to struggle here against a Flamengo side looking to strengthen their title bid. Our Flamengo vs Gremio prediction: Flamengo win + over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
