SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
24/08/2025 19:30
Atletico MG

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No + under 2.5

 
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 by Joseph King | in Football Predictions

The final match on Sunday’s Brasileiro Serie A slate sees seventh-place Sao Paulo taking on 11th-placed Atletico Mineiro. With both the Tricolor and Galo underperforming domestically, will either of them take this opportunity to rise up in the standings? Check out our match prediction below!

The Sao Paulo fans will be thrilled coming into Sunday’s match. Their team was able squeeze by Atletico Nacional on penalties in the Copa Libertadores round of 16 following a 1-1 draw in the second leg. It marks the second year in a row that Sao Paulo have made it to this stage of the continent’s biggest club tournament.

On the domestic front, things are looking up as well. The Tricolor drew 2-2 away to Sport Recife last weekend, but they extended their unbeaten run to seven league matches, five of which resulted in victories.

Their opponents had continental success of their own in midweek, defeating Godoy Cruz 1-0 away from home to advance to the Copa Sudamericana quarter-finals.

In the league, however, Galo have managed just a single win in their last six outings with four of them ending in defeat. The visitors are in desperate need of three points to avoid slipping any further down the standings.

At 11th, Atletico Mineiro currently hold the second-to-last Copa Sudamericana qualifying spot, although the goal will be a top six finish and entry into the Libertadores.

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SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG Form

SAO Paulo and Atletico MG's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 SAO Paulo
51 38 14 9 15 -4
11 Atletico MG
48 38 12 12 14 -1

SAO Paulo and Atletico MG Last Matches

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo Last matches
W L W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Atlético Nacional

16 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Sport Recife
2 :  2
SAO Paulo

12 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Atlético Nacional
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

9 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Vitoria

6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico Paranense
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
1 :  2
SAO Paulo
L W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Atlético Nacional

9 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Vitoria

31 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Atletico Paranense

27 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
3 :  1
Fluminense

19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Corinthians

12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  3
Vasco Da Gama
D W W L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Sport Recife
2 :  2
SAO Paulo

12 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Atlético Nacional
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico Paranense
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
1 :  2
SAO Paulo

24 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Juventude
0 :  1
SAO Paulo

16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
2 :  2
SAO Paulo
Atletico MG
Atletico MG Last matches
W L D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Godoy Cruz A.t.
0 :  1
Atletico MG

17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  3
Gremio

14 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Godoy Cruz A.t.

10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  1
Atletico MG

6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  1
Flamengo

3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Bragantino
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  3
Gremio

14 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Godoy Cruz A.t.

6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  1
Flamengo

3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Bragantino

24 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
0 :  1
CA Bucaramanga

12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  0
Internacional
W L L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

21 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Godoy Cruz A.t.
0 :  1
Atletico MG

10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  1
Atletico MG

31 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Flamengo
0 :  1
Atletico MG

27 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Atletico MG

20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
3 :  2
Atletico MG

17 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

CA Bucaramanga
0 :  1
Atletico MG

SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

SAO Paulo

0 %

Draw

50 %

Atletico MG

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

6 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

23 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Atletico MG

12 Sept 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

28 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Atletico MG

11 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

2 Dec 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG Prediction

SAO Paulo against Atletico MG Lineups: Starting 11

SAO Paulo

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

23
Rafael
32
N. Ferraresi
28
A. Franco
35
Sabino
6
Cedric
21
D. Bobadilla
20
Marcos Antonio
29
P. Maia
13
E. Diaz
17
A. Silva
11
Ferreira
33
Rony
37
J. Santos
18
Reinier
8
F. Vera
21
A. Franco
17
I. Gomes
38
Caio Paulista
23
I. Roman
14
V. Hugo
25
G. Menino
22
Everson

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

Atletico MG

Substitutes

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
Goalkeeper

Young

Defender

M. Gomes Viegas

Igao

Patryck

Midfielder

Rodriguinho

Marcos Antonio 43'

L. Santos

F. Negrucci

H. Carmo

Forward

G. Tapia

A. Silva 79'

L. Marques

Luciano

Ferreira 63'

J. Dinenno

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Goalkeeper

G. Delfim

R. Assuncao

Defender

G. Arana

Natanael

I. Gomes 75'

Vitao

Midfielder

Alexsander

Reinier 46'

G. Scarpa

A. Franco 68'

M. Iseppe

G. Menino 88'

Forward

Isaac

Biel

J. Santos 68'

Joao Marcelo

Missing players

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
Forward

J. Calleri

R. Francisco

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Midfielder

Patrick

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato SAO Paulo
CD Huachipato Atletico MG
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Luciano (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Hulk (8 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina E. Diaz (5 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Hulk (6 Assists)

SAO Paulo - Atletico MG Key Points

  1. Three of Sao Paulo’s last five matches across all competitions have seen BTTS: No + under 2.5.
  2. Six of Sao Paulo’s 10 home league fixtures have finished with under 2.5 goals.
  3. Atletico Mineiro have also seen under 2.5 goals scored in six of their 10 away league games.
  4. Three of the last four meetings between these two sides have finished with BTTS: No and under 2.5 goals.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG Prediction

These two teams played out to a goalless draw when they faced off at the start of the season in April in the reverse fixture. With both clubs coming off important successes in their respective continental tournaments, we could end up seeing some tired legs here.

Atletico Mineiro’s attack has been inconsistent this season with just 20 goals scored and averaging under 1.00 per away match. Both sides have been relatively solid on the defensive end, which means we could be in for a low-scoring game. Our Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro prediction is BTTS: No + under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No + under 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.