SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
The final match on Sunday’s Brasileiro Serie A slate sees seventh-place Sao Paulo taking on 11th-placed Atletico Mineiro. With both the Tricolor and Galo underperforming domestically, will either of them take this opportunity to rise up in the standings? Check out our match prediction below!
The Sao Paulo fans will be thrilled coming into Sunday’s match. Their team was able squeeze by Atletico Nacional on penalties in the Copa Libertadores round of 16 following a 1-1 draw in the second leg. It marks the second year in a row that Sao Paulo have made it to this stage of the continent’s biggest club tournament.
On the domestic front, things are looking up as well. The Tricolor drew 2-2 away to Sport Recife last weekend, but they extended their unbeaten run to seven league matches, five of which resulted in victories.
Their opponents had continental success of their own in midweek, defeating Godoy Cruz 1-0 away from home to advance to the Copa Sudamericana quarter-finals.
In the league, however, Galo have managed just a single win in their last six outings with four of them ending in defeat. The visitors are in desperate need of three points to avoid slipping any further down the standings.
At 11th, Atletico Mineiro currently hold the second-to-last Copa Sudamericana qualifying spot, although the goal will be a top six finish and entry into the Libertadores.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
SAO Paulo v Atletico MG Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.78 | 3.45 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.45 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.38 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.48 | 5.45 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.4 | 5.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Atletico MG?
Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG match is: BTTS: No + under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2025 between SAO Paulo and Atletico MG in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.27% for a win of SAO Paulo against Atletico MG with odds of 2.11 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG is 25.44% with odds of 3.48 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo with odds of 5.6 at 1xbet.
SAO Paulo - Atletico MG Prediction and Best Odds:
| SAO Paulo Atletico MG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| SAO Paulo wins | 43.27% | 2.11 at BC Game |
| Under 2.5 | 62.17% | 2.03 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: SAO Paulo | 22.59% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG Form
SAO Paulo and Atletico MG's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
51 | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | -4 |
|
11
|
48 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | -1 |
SAO Paulo and Atletico MG Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
16 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
9 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
9 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil
27 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil
27 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Sept 2024 - Copa do Brasil
28 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
11 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Dec 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo against Atletico MG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
Young
DefenderM. Gomes Viegas
Igao
Patryck
MidfielderRodriguinho
L. Santos
F. Negrucci
H. Carmo
ForwardG. Tapia
L. Marques
Luciano
J. Dinenno
G. Delfim
R. Assuncao
DefenderG. Arana
Natanael
Vitao
MidfielderAlexsander
G. Scarpa
M. Iseppe
Isaac
Biel
J. Soares de Freitas
Missing players
J. Calleri
R. Francisco
P. da Silva Campos
Most goals and assists
SAO Paulo
Atletico MG
Luciano
(9 Goals)
Hulk
(8 Goals)
E. Diaz
(5 Assists)
Hulk
(6 Assists)
SAO Paulo - Atletico MG Key Points
- Three of Sao Paulo’s last five matches across all competitions have seen BTTS: No + under 2.5.
- Six of Sao Paulo’s 10 home league fixtures have finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Atletico Mineiro have also seen under 2.5 goals scored in six of their 10 away league games.
- Three of the last four meetings between these two sides have finished with BTTS: No and under 2.5 goals.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG Prediction
These two teams played out to a goalless draw when they faced off at the start of the season in April in the reverse fixture. With both clubs coming off important successes in their respective continental tournaments, we could end up seeing some tired legs here.
Atletico Mineiro’s attack has been inconsistent this season with just 20 goals scored and averaging under 1.00 per away match. Both sides have been relatively solid on the defensive end, which means we could be in for a low-scoring game. Our Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro prediction is BTTS: No + under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis SAO Paulo Atletico MG
| SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAO Paulo wins | 2.02 | 2.11 | +4.5% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.48 | +8.8% |
| Atletico MG wins | 4 | 5.6 | +40.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- SAO Paulo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 49.5% and is now 47.4% (-2.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
