Santos vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
24/10/2026 20:00
Bahia

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

With seven matches to go in the Brazilian Serie A, Santos and Bahia are still in the hunt for Copa Libertadores slots. They will face off on Sunday in a match hosted by Santos, who trail Bahia by four points. Five of these teams’ last eight meetings ended in draws, and we are backing the same in our prediction.

Santos sent a strong statement of their ambitions last time out as they came from behind in an away game to beat Fluminense 2-1. That ended their earlier two-game winless run, and they have a six-match undefeated run at home to protect.

Santos have actually lost just once in the last 10 home games and are unbeaten at home against Bahia in 10 games.

Bahia have a poor away run against Santos but have forced three draws in their last four trips here. They will hope for more of that or better, as they are coming off two straight defeats in their most recent away matches.

Ahead of this game, Bahia suffered a heavy loss, as they fell 3-0 at home against Fluminense. That was their third defeat in four matches, and they won’t head into this encounter a very confident outfit.

They avoided defeat in their last three meetings with Santos, though, and that should provide the fuel for their ambitions. In those three meetings, they recorded one win, sandwiched between two draws.

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Santos v Bahia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.92 3.65 3.65
1xbet
1.98 3.74 3.72
Melbet
1.96 3.68 3.66
Betwinner
1.96 3.68 3.66
22bet
1.96 3.68 3.66
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What is the prediction for the football match between Santos and Bahia?

Our prediction for the Santos vs Bahia match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/10/2026 between Santos and Bahia in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.66% for a win of Santos against Bahia with odds of 1.98 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Santos vs Bahia is 36.24% with odds of 3.8 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Bahia vs Santos with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.

Santos vs Bahia Form

Santos and Bahia's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Bahia
49 31 13 10 8 +5
8 Santos
45 31 12 9 10 +2

Santos and Bahia Last Matches

Santos
Santos Last matches
L W W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  2
Santos

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Santos

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  2
Flamengo

2 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  2
Santos

19 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
1 :  2
Santos

16 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
4 :  2
Santos
W D D W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  2
Flamengo

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  1
Cruzeiro

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico MG

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
1 :  1
Mirassol

13 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  1
CSD Macara
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  2
Santos

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Santos

2 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  2
Santos

19 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
1 :  2
Santos

16 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
4 :  2
Santos

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
2 :  3
Santos
Bahia
Bahia Last matches
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
0 :  3
Flamengo

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  0
Mirassol

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Bahia

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
2 :  1
Bahia

14 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  1
Remo

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
2 :  3
Bahia
D D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
0 :  3
Flamengo

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  0
Mirassol

14 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  1
Remo

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
3 :  2
Internacional

9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
0 :  0
Vasco Da Gama

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  1
Corinthians
D D W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Bahia

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
2 :  1
Bahia

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
2 :  3
Bahia

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
0 :  2
Bahia

16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
3 :  3
Bahia

29 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
0 :  0
Bahia

Santos vs Bahia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Santos

17 %

Draw

67 %

Bahia

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  2
Santos

24 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  0
Santos

6 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  2
Bahia

18 Sept 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  2
Santos

31 May 2023 - Copa do Brasil

Bahia
1 :  1
Santos

17 May 2023 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Bahia
Santos vs Bahia Prediction

Santos vs Bahia last Lineups

Santos

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Diogenes
23
Rodinei
4
L. Verissimo
14
Luan Peres
22
A. Barreal
8
G. Morais Silva Bontempo
48
G. Henrique Pereira
11
P. Coutinho
10
Neymar
7
Everton
9
G. Barbosa
16
E. Pulga
9
A. Veliz
99
C. Olivera
11
R. Nestor
5
N. Acevedo
6
Jean Lucas
46
L. Juba
3
M. Moreno
33
D. Duarte
44
Marcos Victor
1
Ronaldo

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Bahia

Substitutes

Santos
Santos
Goalkeeper

Joao Paulo

Defender

J. Santos Paes da Costa

J. Ananias Bento

Rafael Gonzaga

I. Vinicius

Midfielder

Thaciano

Miguelito

J. Schmidt

C. Oliva

G. Menino

Forward

Rony

B. Rollheiser

Bahia
Bahia
Goalkeeper

G. Herrera

Defender

Kanu

R. Gomez

Z. Guilherme

Midfielder

E. Ribeiro

C. Alexandre

E. Conrado

M. Araujo

Forward

Willian Jose

Everaldo

Ademir

M. Sanabria

Missing players

Santos
Santos
Defender

V. Lira

Midfielder

Thaciano

G. Menino

Bahia
Bahia
Goalkeeper

L. Vieira

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Santos
CD Huachipato Bahia
Top Goalscorer
Brazil G. Barbosa (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil L. Juba (10 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Neymar (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil E. Ribeiro (4 Assists) , 
Brazil R. Nestor (4 Assists)

Santos and Bahia Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
Santos
Bahia
Bahia
39%
Wins
42%
32%
Losses
26%
29%
Draws
32%
3.03
Average goals per match
2.68
1.55
Goals scored per match
1.42
1.48
Goals conceded per match
1.26
32%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
19%
No goals conceded
29%
74%
BTTS
61%

Santos - Bahia Key Points

  1. Five of the last eight meetings between these sides ended in draws.
  2. Bahia are winless in five of their last seven away games, drawing three.
  3. Half of Santos’ last 10 home matches ended in draws.
  4. Bahia are winless in three of their last four matches.
  5. Santos are winless in two of their last three games.
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Our Santos vs Bahia Prediction

The hunt for continental slots is on, and that is what will define this encounter. Santos may be playing at home, but they don’t have the express advantage over Bahia. The visitors have avoided defeat in five of their last seven away games, three of which ended in draws.

It is worth noting also that in the last four meetings between these teams, hosted by Santos, there were three draws recorded. That run feeds into the five draws registered in eight meetings between them. Therefore, our prediction for Santos v Bahia is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.