Santos vs Chapecoense Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Chapecoense’s bid to stabilise in Serie A could face further headwinds, with up to seven players ruled out of their trip to Santos. Both sides reside around the relegation region, but Chapecoense’s case is worse, as they are bottom of the standings. Santos have won four more matches than their visitors and will be the favorites in this prediction.
In the reverse meeting between these teams, Santos lost 4-2 on the road. That has to count as one of Santos’ most painful defeats, as it remains Chapecoense’s only league win this season.
Santos are not only planning for revenge but also to rise in the standings, being just one point above the relegation region. They are coming off a 4-1 win at UCV in the Copa Sudamericana.
A motivated Santos will be a problem for Chapecoense to deal with even as they seek a league double. Chapecoense suffered yet another heavy defeat last time out, as they were thrashed 4-0 at home by Flamengo.
That marked their fifth straight defeat in Serie A and the 12th of the league campaign. No other team has lost as many, while Chape also hold the record for the most porous defence, having conceded 39 goals.
It doesn’t end there; the visitors are also the only side to still average under a goal per game, having only scored 17 times.
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Santos v Chapecoense Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.35 | 4.55 | 7.25 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.03 | 9.1 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.8 | 9 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.8 | 9 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.75 | 8.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Santos and Chapecoense?
Our prediction for the Santos vs Chapecoense match is: Santos wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/07/2026 between Santos and Chapecoense in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.25% for a win of Santos against Chapecoense with odds of 1.49 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Santos vs Chapecoense is 15.67% with odds of 5.25 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Chapecoense vs Santos with odds of 9.1 at 1xbet.
Santos - Chapecoense Prediction and Best Odds:
| Santos Chapecoense Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Santos wins | 58.25% | 1.49 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.06% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Santos/Santos | 30.68% | 2.1 at Shangrila |
Santos vs Chapecoense Form
Santos and Chapecoense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
32 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
|
20
|
17 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -23 |
Santos and Chapecoense Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
5 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
3 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
27 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
Santos vs Chapecoense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jan 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Série B
1 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Série B
17 Nov 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Aug 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Dec 2019 - Brasileirão Serie A
Santos against Chapecoense Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Joao Paulo
DefenderLuan Peres
A. Frias
Samuel Pierri
MidfielderJ. Schmidt
Thaciano
C. Oliva
G. Menino
Miguelito
G. Caballero
ForwardRony
R. Junior
R. Santos
DefenderB. Pacheco
E. Souza Da Cruz
Kauan
R. Thyere
MidfielderB. dos Santos
G. Augusto
V. Balieiro
ForwardMarcinho
N. Pessoa
Kassio
Missing players
V. Lira
Most goals and assists
Santos
Chapecoense
G. Barbosa
(10 Goals)
Marcinho
(5 Goals)
Neymar
(4 Assists)
G. Augusto
(5 Assists)
Santos - Chapecoense Key Points
- 17 of Santos’ 21 points in Serie A came via home matches.
- Chapecoense won just one point in their last 10 league matches.
- Santos won to nil in four of their last five home matches against Chapecoense.
- Chapecoense lost each of their last three away league matches, scoring once.
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Our Santos vs Chapecoense Prediction
Chapecoense are having a torrid return to the Serie A and look to be running out of time to salvage their season. The visitors have the worst away record in the league, and though their opponents aren’t the strongest either, Chapecoense’s campaign doesn’t inspire confidence.
Santos have to carry the unwanted weight of being the only side Chapecoense have beaten this season. In that regard, this looks like a good avenue for revenge. In four of the last five times they hosted this fixture, Santos won with clean sheets. Our prediction for Santos v Chapecoense is that Santos wins to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Santos Chapecoense
| Santos vs Chapecoense | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos wins | 1.49 | 1.49 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.15 | 5.25 | +26.5% |
| Chapecoense wins | 6.4 | 9.1 | +42.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Santos is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.1% and is now 67.1% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
