Santos vs Atletico Paranense Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
09/08/2026 17:30
Atletico Paranense

Prediction :

 

Draw or Atletico Paranense

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

Santos play host to Atletico Paranaense at Vila Belmiro on matchday 22. The visitors head into this clash unbeaten in their last six matches, picking up four victories in that run, and our prediction backs them in the double chance market to either claim all three points or avoid defeat.

Santos enter this clash after a confidence-boosting result against Remo in the return leg of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16. 

Thanks to Rony's strike in the 74th minute, they secured a narrow 1-0 victory and progressed to the next round with a 1-0 aggregate triumph.

The Black-and-Whites have shifted their focus to the league where they are currently 15th in the league and two places above the red-dotted line. In their last league outing, they were held to a 2-2 home draw against Chapecoense-SC.

Atletico Paranaense were unfortunate as progression to the next round of the Copa do Brasil was unsuccessful. In the return leg of the last 16 against Vitoria, the team suffered a damaging 4-0 defeat on the road (lost 4-2 on aggregate).

The Hurricane will aim to restore their confidence with a positive outcome this time in the Brasileirao Serie A. They are unbeaten in their last six games and are in third place with 37 points.

In their latest league outing, they couldn't find a breakthrough against Corinthians and had to settle for a goalless draw away from home. 

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Santos v Atletico Paranense Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.17 3.25 3.45
1xbet
2.17 3.34 3.55
Melbet
2.15 3.3 3.5
Betwinner
2.15 3.3 3.5
Bet365
2.05 3.2 3.6
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What is the prediction for the football match between Santos and Atletico Paranense?

Our prediction for the Santos vs Atletico Paranense match is: Draw or Atletico Paranense.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/08/2026 between Santos and Atletico Paranense in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.18% for a win of Santos against Atletico Paranense with odds of 2.27 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Santos vs Atletico Paranense is 34.85% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Paranense vs Santos with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.

Santos vs Atletico Paranense Form

Santos and Atletico Paranense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Atletico Paranense
37 21 11 4 6 +9
15 Santos
22 20 5 7 8 -4

Santos and Atletico Paranense Last Matches

Santos
Santos Last matches
L W D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Remo
0 :  1
Santos

1 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Remo

28 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
4 :  2
Ucv FC

25 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  2
Chapecoense

21 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Ucv FC
1 :  4
Santos

16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  1
Santos
D W W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Remo

28 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
4 :  2
Ucv FC

25 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  2
Chapecoense

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
3 :  1
Vitoria

26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
3 :  0
CD Cuenca

20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  2
San Lorenzo
D W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Remo
0 :  1
Santos

21 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Ucv FC
1 :  4
Santos

16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  1
Santos

23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
3 :  2
Santos

13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Coritiba
0 :  2
Santos

5 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Recoleta FC
1 :  1
Santos
Atletico Paranense
Atletico Paranense Last matches
L W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vitoria
4 :  0
Atletico Paranense

3 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico Paranense
2 :  0
Vitoria

30 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
0 :  0
Atletico Paranense

25 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
2 :  0
Internacional

22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  2
Atletico Paranense

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Boca Juniors
1 :  0
Atletico Paranense
W D D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico Paranense
2 :  0
Vitoria

25 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
2 :  0
Internacional

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
1 :  0
Mirassol

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
1 :  1
Flamengo

2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
0 :  0
Gremio

26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
3 :  1
Vitoria
D W L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vitoria
4 :  0
Atletico Paranense

30 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
0 :  0
Atletico Paranense

22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  2
Atletico Paranense

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Boca Juniors
1 :  0
Atletico Paranense

24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
1 :  2
Atletico Paranense

14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico GO
0 :  0
Atletico Paranense

Santos vs Atletico Paranense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Santos

33 %

Draw

33 %

Atletico Paranense

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

12 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
2 :  1
Santos

3 Dec 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
3 :  0
Santos

5 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
1 :  1
Atletico Paranense

27 Sept 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico Paranense

4 Jun 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
2 :  2
Santos

30 Oct 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
0 :  1
Santos
Santos vs Atletico Paranense Prediction

Players list

Santos
Santos
Goalkeeper

G. Brazao

Defender

J. Ananias Bento

A. Frias

G. Escobar

Midfielder

G. Menino

C. Oliva

J. Schmidt

G. Caballero

G. Morais Silva Bontempo

Forward

A. Barreal

G. Barbosa

Atletico Paranense
Atletico Paranense
Goalkeeper

Santos

Defender

G. Benavidez

J. Aguirre

A. Dias

Gilberto

Leonardo Derik

Midfielder

L. Gustavo

Jadson

Forward

S. Mendoza

K. Viveros

L. Caetano Silva

Substitutes

Santos
Santos
Goalkeeper

Joao Paulo

Defender

Samuel Pierri

Luan Peres

Midfielder

W. Arao

Thaciano

Miguelito

Forward

Neymar

Rony

B. Rollheiser

Davi Fernandes

N. Maia da Silva de Souza

R. Junior

Atletico Paranense
Atletico Paranense
Goalkeeper

Mycael

Defender

G. Leite dos Santos

Dantas

Filipinho

L. Pele

Midfielder

J. Cruz

D. Rivas do Nascimento

K. Dudu

B. Zapelli

Forward

J. Rivaldo Pinto

K. Vargas

R. Peixoto Nepomuceno

Missing players

Santos
Santos
Defender

Mayke

V. Lira

Midfielder

Thaciano

G. Menino

Atletico Paranense
Atletico Paranense
Midfielder

A. Garcia

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Santos
CD Huachipato Atletico Paranense
Top Goalscorer
Brazil G. Barbosa (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Colombia K. Viveros (12 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Neymar (3 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina G. Benavidez (5 Assists)

Santos and Atletico Paranense Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
Santos
Atletico Paranense
Atletico Paranense
25%
Wins
52%
40%
Losses
29%
35%
Draws
19%
3.1
Average goals per match
2.24
1.45
Goals scored per match
1.33
1.65
Goals conceded per match
0.9
35%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
65%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
20%
No goals conceded
33%
75%
BTTS
48%

Santos - Atletico Paranense Key Points

  1. Santos are winless in their last two league games.
  2. Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last six league games.
  3. Santos have drawn the second most games in the Brasileirao Serie A this season.
  4. Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last three league meetings against Santos.
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Our Santos vs Atletico Paranense Prediction

Santos are in bad shape with just one win from their last five league games. Despite their poor form, the hosts seem to have the upper hand against their opponents in this upcoming encounter, especially at home where they've gone 28 games without defeat (W22, D6).

At the same time, we cannot ignore Atletico Paranaense's current unbeaten run in the league. They've shown consistency and resilience throughout their last six matches. Also, they've won their last two league games in this fixture. This makes the double chance market an appealing option. Our Santos vs Atletico Paranaense ​​​​​prediction: Draw or Atletico Paranense.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Atletico Paranense

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.