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by Daniel Ngulu | in World Cup Predictions
Romania’s hopes for the 2026 World Cup remain intact despite a chastening 3-1 away loss in their last outing. They return home to host San Marino in the last of the Group H matches, locked out of the top two. Read on for our prediction.
Humbled in a 3-1 defeat in Bosnia & Herzegovina, Romania can only finish third. However, courtesy of their Nations League performance, they are still going to feature in the playoffs.
This match, therefore, will be more of a prep game for the fixtures coming in March. Romania posted eight wins in their last 12 matches, a run that will build their confidence going into this outing. They thrashed San Marino 5-1 in their last meeting.
San Marino goes in search of their first win in this group as well as against Romania on the fifth attempt. They’ve been the whipping boys here, with the 4-0 loss to Cyprus leaving them on zero points.
In their seven Group H matches, San Marino managed just one goal and are also coming off a 1-0 loss to the Czech Republic in a friendly.
The visitors conceded 10 goals in their last away match in this group and will be concerned at their overall defensive performance. So far, San Marino have conceded 32 goals in Group H, and that includes five against Romania.
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The Best Betting Odds for Romania v San Marino Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.03 | 19 | 51 |
|
|
1.02 | 19 | 51 |
|
|
1.03 | 17 | 101 |
|
|
1 | 15 | 41 |
|
|
1.02 | 26 | 67 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Romania and San Marino?
Our prediction for the Romania vs San Marino match is: more than 4.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/11/2025 between Romania and San Marino in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 79.15% for a win of Romania against San Marino with odds of 1.03 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Romania vs San Marino is 7.32% with odds of 26 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.53% chance ⭐ for a win of San Marino vs Romania with odds of 101 at William Hill.
Romania vs San Marino Form
Romania and San Marino's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
|
5
|
0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -31 |
Romania and San Marino Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Romania vs San Marino Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Romania vs San Marino last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
Romania
San Marino
D. Dragus
(2 Goals)
,
F. Tanase
(2 Goals)
S. Zannoni
(1 Goals)
Romania - San Marino Key Points
- San Marino have conceded an average of 4.5 goals in Group H.
- Romania scored five times in their last meeting with San Marino.
- San Marino conceded 10 goals in their latest away Group H match.
- A total of 33 goals have been scored in San Marino’s seven Group H games.
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Our Romania vs San Marino Prediction
Both Romania and San Marino will seek to finish their Group H matches on a high. This, however, is for sure going to end in Romania’s favor. Their 5-1 win against San Marino in the first group meeting was an extension of their dominance in this fixture.
They are likely to have another big victory, judging from San Marino’s defensive performances. The visitors have particularly been poor on the road. Our prediction for Romania v San Marino is for more than 4.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
