Italy - Serie A
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Another top clash in the Italian Serie A this weekend sees AS Roma play host to Napoli in the Derby del Sole. Both these sides are challenging for the Scudetto, and Roma will enter the weekend as surprise leaders, while champions Napoli are further down in third. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
AS Roma sit atop the Serie A standings for the first time in about a decade. They took advantage of some heavyweight matches and results last week and won their own to rise. There’s no magic needed for them to stay top; Roma only need a win here and could even go five points clear.
As Napoli would attest, it is a congested race, and any dropped points could see a massive fall in the rankings too. Napoli were up there two matchdays ago. The champions have a good record against Roma and will hope it plays out on Sunday.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 2.9 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 3 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.8 | 3 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.9 | 3 |
|
|
2.55 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Napoli match is: Roma wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/11/2025 between Roma and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.66% for a win of Roma against Napoli with odds of 2.69 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Napoli is 12.19% with odds of 3.02 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Roma with odds of 3.2 at 888Starz.
Roma vs Napoli Form
Roma and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
|
3
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
Roma and Napoli Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
Roma vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
28 Apr 2024 - Serie A
23 Dec 2023 - Serie A
29 Jan 2023 - Serie A
23 Oct 2022 - Serie A
Roma - Napoli: Form Analysis
AS Roma leads the standings, but champions Napoli and AC Milan are snapping at their heels. Fortunately for the hosts, they have the immediate chance to deal with one of the competitors.
However, this isn’t a matchup that has gone in their favor on many occasions. In the last 10 meetings with Napoli, Roma managed just one win.
The positive side is that their win was at home, and they are unbeaten in the last two matches at home against Napoli. Roma will go into this game fired up after posting four straight wins.
Their latest one was in the Europa League, a 2-1 victory over Midtjylland.
Napoli have suffered defeat in five of their last six away matches.
A draw with Como and a loss to Bologna are what cost Napoli their place at the top of the league. They have since recovered, though, with a 3-1 win over Atalanta.
In the Champions League, they warmed up for this match with a 2-0 home win against Qarabag. Now they get to play away from home after back-to-back home matches, which they won.
It is on the road that Napoli’s problems come out vividly. Here they are on a streak of five losses in the last six matches. Their only win in that period was against struggling Lecce, and coming here, a long injury list won’t help.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Roma vs Napoli last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
Angelino
ForwardA. Dovbyk
A. Meret
DefenderM. Gutierrez
MidfielderL. Hasa
C. Saco
K. De Bruyne
B. Gilmour
F. Anguissa
ForwardR. Lukaku
Roma & Napoli Squad Analysis
AS Roma have a lot of positives coming into this game. Paulo Dybala and Leon Bailey are both back from injury to boost the hosts’ campaign.
There will be an injection of creativity in the Roma midfield and attack, which would benefit Evan Ferguson. The forward ended his long goal drought last week, and Roma will want to keep him going, especially since Artem Dovbyk is ruled out of this game.
Another key player to watch will be Matias Soule, the Roma forward with six goal contributions. It is not just his goals but the versatility.
Soule can be deployed across five different attacking positions, making it easy to accommodate the newcomers.
After struggling with injury, Napoli’s Spinazzola is in line to face his former employers.
Napoli are dealing with a lengthy injury list, and that might play a part in the outcome here. Romelu Lukaku remains sidelined as a long-term absentee, but now Napoli have to deal with the injury to Kevin De Bruyne.
The Belgian is out with a thigh injury that will keep him sidelined through the remainder of 2025. The midfielder had already had an impactful start to life in Naples, with four league goals.
Now there will be reliance on Scott McTominay’s brilliance. Antonio Conte has freedom to use the Scot in either defensive or attacking roles.
Most goals and assists
Roma
Napoli
M. Soule
(5 Goals)
S. Mctominay
(5 Goals)
A. Dovbyk
(2 Assists)
, 
Z. Celik
(2 Assists)
,
M. Soule
(2 Assists)
L. Spinazzola
(3 Assists)
, 
D. Neres
(3 Assists)
Roma and Napoli Stats in Serie A
Roma - Napoli Key Points
- Napoli lost five of their last six away matches.
- AS Roma are coming off six wins in seven matches.
- Napoli are winless in their last two away matches against Roma.
- Ahead of this game, Roma posted three straight wins at home.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Roma vs Napoli Prediction
Away matches haven't brought out the best of Napoli. In the league, out of their 25 points in total, only nine came on the road, and this is a key concern. They are at the moment on a run of five defeats in their last six away matches. The only win they registered in that streak was against struggling Lecce. This is a tricky trend to carry into such a big game. They’ve also failed to beat Roma away from home in the last two meetings. Our prediction for Roma v Napoli is that Roma wins.
Roma vs Napoli - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
These two are some of the most defensive sides in the league this season. Given the stakes, we don’t expect either side to open up. This could be a cautious game marked by defensive-minded approaches.
It will go in line with the teams’ recent performances, which have mostly been low scoring. Five of Roma’s last nine matches had under 2.5 goals, and the same was the case in six of 10 of Roma’s. Our second prediction is for under 2.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Roma vs. Napoli game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Roma and Napoli? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Roma vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions
The AS Roma v Napoli match will be played on Sunday 30th November.
The AS Roma v Napoli match be played will be staged at Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
