Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP French Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP French Open Predictions
27th seed Rafael Jodar is continuing his impressive clay court season. Round four at Roland Garros sees him take on unseeded Pablo Carreno Busta in this rather unpredictable Grand Slam. Jodar has had to play over nine hours so far and our prediction is more than 34.5 games.
In the last eight, the winner will face either second seed Alexander Zverev or lucky loser Jesper de Jong.
The Spaniard has had an excellent clay court season. This is fifth ATP Tour event of the year on this surface and he is yet to lose before the quarter-finals, winning a title in Marrakech. He had a few problems in the last round, needing five sets to beat Alex Michelsen.
That made it three sets dropped in his last two matches. He has played three tie-breaks in his last two matches.
Pablo Carreno Busta is up to 61st in the live rankings, 36 below that of his opponent. He has twice reached the quarter-finals at Roland Garros but the last appearance was six years ago. His success this year has come on the Challenger Tour.
Before this tournament, the 34-year-old had not got to round three of an ATP Tour event. Wins have come against 12th seed Jiri Lehecka, Thanasi Kokkinakis (via a third set retirement) and Thiago Agustin Tirante in four sets.
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Rafael Jodar v Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 4.02 |
|
|
1.28 | 3.72 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.21 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.22 | 3.95 |
|
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Who will win the Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreño-Busta match is: more than 34.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreño-Busta game on 31/05/2026 of the current ATP French Open season:
- Rafael Jodar has a 66.97% chance to win against Pablo Carreño-Busta according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.28.
- Pablo Carreño-Busta has a 33.03% probability of winning facing Rafael Jodar ⭐ with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Rafael Jodar has a 66.97 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | 66.97 % |
| Pablo Carreño-Busta | 33.03 % |
Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Form
Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreño-Busta Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
29 May 2026 - ATP French Open
27 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
13 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
12 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
6 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
4 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Rafael Jodar - Pablo Carreño-Busta Key Points
- Jodar has played more than 34.5 games in his last two matches.
- Jodar has played three tie-breaks in his last couple of wins.
- Busta played more than 34.5 games in his last match.
- Busta has played four 7-5 or 7-6 sets so far in this tournament.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction
Rafael Jodar is only 19 years old and was just six when Busta first played in this outdoor Grand Slam. He has been on top form in clay this year but hasn't had it all his own way at Roland Garros and had to come from 2-1 down in the last round.
Pablo Carreno Busta is a former top ten player but has struggled for consistency on the main tour in recent years. He has shown good form in Paris and can give Jodar a test. Our Rafael Jodar v Pablo Carreno Busta prediction is more than 34.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
