PSG vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
The end of the international break signals a busy return to club football with PSG set to host Toulouse in Ligue 1. PSG will be looking to go four points clear at the league summit, but ninth-placed Toulouse equally need the three points. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
PSG have a game in hand, which gives them both an advantage and pressure at the same time. Competition in Ligue 1 is tough, but at the moment PSG are dealing with one opponent - Lens.
They recorded their 19th win last time out, beating Nice 4-0 on the road. Recent home matches have been a bit challenging, PSG winning one of the last three, but they should edge this one.
Toulouse have suffered three league defeats in four away matches but will stay positive coming here. Their only win in that stretch of games was against the bottom-placed side, Metz.
Heading into the international break, Toulouse posted a 1-0 win at home to Lorient. That marked the first time they posted back-to-back wins since January, and Les Violets will hope to push it further.
That will call for a lot, though, as they have lost each of the last three games against PSG. In the reverse fixture here, PSG walked away with three points in a nine-goal thriller, winning 6-3.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
PSG v Toulouse Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.32 | 6.2 | 9 |
|
|
1.26 | 6 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 6 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.8 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Toulouse match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/04/2026 between PSG and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.82% for a win of PSG against Toulouse with odds of 1.32 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Toulouse is 19.72% with odds of 6.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs PSG with odds of 11.2 at 888Starz.
PSG - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 59.82% | 1.32 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.59% | |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 27.31% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
PSG vs Toulouse Form
PSG and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 |
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
PSG and Toulouse Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
PSG vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Jan 2024 - Trophée des Champions
19 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
PSG against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
L. Chevalier
R. Marin
DefenderN. Mendes
Marquinhos
MidfielderJ. Neves
D. Fernandez
Vitinha
I. Mbaye
G. Ramos
N. Said Mchindra
K. Haug
DefenderW. Kamanzi
G. Bakhouche Piernas
MidfielderM. Sauer
A. Vossah
ForwardJ. Russell Rowe
J. Vignolo
I. Azizi
Missing players
F. Ruiz
S. Mayulu
ForwardB. Barcola
Q. Ndjantou
C. Cresswell
MidfielderA. Francis
R. Messali
ForwardS. Hidalgo
Most goals and assists
PSG
Toulouse
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
Y. Gboho
(8 Goals)
Vitinha
(8 Assists)
S. Hidalgo
(5 Assists)
PSG - Toulouse Key Points
- Two of Toulouse’s last four matches had over 3.5 goals netted.
- Four or more goals were scored in three of PSG’s last four games.
- On average, 4.6 goals were scored in PSG’s last five home games.
- 19 goals were scored in the last five meetings between these teams.
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Our PSG vs Toulouse Prediction
PSG have uncharacteristically been shaky at home in recent matches. However, their scoring form has been good, and they will want to carry the same here. The last time they faced Toulouse, we had nine goals netted.
Les Parisiens have scored in 45 straight home league games, and while they could stretch that, we aren’t sure they will keep a clean sheet. Toulouse are also a decent attacking side and could give the champions some trouble. A high-scoring affair is to be expected here. Our prediction for PSG v Toulouse is for more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Toulouse
| PSG vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.34 | 1.32 | -1.5% |
| Draw | 5.6 | 6.6 | +17.9% |
| Toulouse wins | 8.6 | 11.2 | +30.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 74.6% and is now 75.8% (1.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
