PSG vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
PSG will welcome city rivals Paris FC this weekend as they continue their quest of returning to the summit of the French Ligue 1 table. Currently in second place in the standings, PSG come into this game having accumulated more than double the points 14th-placed Paris has. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
PSG are welcoming their neighbors for their first competitive battle in 48 years. Aside from bragging rights, the hosts will be determined to secure victory and maintain pressure on league leaders Lens.
Luis Enrique’s men are just one point off top spot, having accumulated 36 points in 16 outings. Les Rouge-et-Bleu, who won a five-goal thriller with bottom side Metz last time out in the league, are coming off a dominant Cup win.
Though they have struggled in their return to the topflight, Paris FC have done considerably well, almost at the halfway point. The Parisiens have won four and drawn another four of their 16 games.
With 16 points, they sit four points above the drop zone. Stephane Gilli’s men registered a dominant Coupe de France showing at the close of 2025.
Les Bleus, who are based just a stone's throw away from the Parc des Princes, ended a five-game winless run with a 3-0 victory over Raon L'Étape. That win, they will hope, sparks a series of positive results.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Paris FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 9 | 21 |
|
|
1.11 | 9 | 19 |
|
|
1.12 | 8 | 17 |
|
|
1.11 | 9.5 | 18 |
|
|
1.13 | 8.5 | 17 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Paris FC?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Paris FC match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between PSG and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.57% for a win of PSG against Paris FC with odds of 1.15 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Paris FC is 20.46% with odds of 9.8 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs PSG with odds of 22 at Melbet.
PSG - Paris FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Paris FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 63.57% | 1.15 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.75% | 1.28 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 2.1 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 30.26% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
PSG vs Paris FC Form
PSG and Paris FC's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 22 |
|
15
|
16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -9 |
PSG and Paris FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
PSG vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
16 Dec 2022 - Clubs Friendlies
PSG against Paris FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
M. Safonov
DefenderA. Hakimi
D. Boly
MidfielderL. Kang-in
ForwardQ. Ndjantou
I. Mbaye
S. Alakouch
H. Traore
MidfielderP. Lees-Melou
S. Chergui
I. Kebbal
ForwardP. Hamel
M. Simon
J. Krasso
Most goals and assists
PSG
Paris FC
G. Ramos
(6 Goals)
,
J. Neves
(6 Goals)
I. Kebbal
(6 Goals)
Vitinha
(7 Assists)
I. Kebbal
(4 Assists)
PSG - Paris FC Key Points
- PSG have scored three or more goals six times in their last nine games.
- PSG's last five matches produced 16 goals in total.
- 14 goals were netted in Paris FC’s last five matches.
- Paris’ last five away matches averaged 2.6 goals.
- PSG have scored 35 goals in 16 league games.
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Our PSG vs Paris FC Prediction
Our prediction for PSG v Paris FC is for more than 2.5 goals. This is the first time these two teams are meeting in a competitive setting in almost 50 years. It is a city rivalry, and as a result, we expect a fiery showdown.
PSG are favored to come out tops, as they have done on so many occasions this season. The hosts have dominated their opponents with their free-flowing brand of football, scoring almost at will. With Paris possessing one of the French league’s leakiest defence lines, we look destined for a high-scoring duel.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Paris FC
| PSG vs Paris FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.22 | 1.13 | -7.4% |
| Draw | 6 | 9 | +50.0% |
| Paris FC wins | 13 | 21 | +61.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 88.5% (6.5%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the PSG vs. Paris FC game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
