PSG vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Matchday 25 of the French Ligue 1 kicks off this Friday with a big one, as PSG plays host to Monaco. This match will represent the fourth meeting between the two sides this season. It will also be the third matchup between the two in a span of two weeks. In case you are looking to place a bet on this game, then below we have the preview and a prediction to help.
PSG have recently gained key ground in the title race and come here having opened a four-point gap at the top. A run of 18 wins and three draws has them at 57 points. Les Parisiens have lost three times in Ligue 1 this season.
One of those defeats was handed down by Monaco, in the reverse fixture. It was PSG’s first loss of the season in Ligue 1, and Monaco will be eyeing a double. Les Monegasques have improved a lot lately, and here they eye revenge for elimination from the Champions League.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
PSG v Monaco Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 5.8 | 7 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.7 | 7.9 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.75 | 8.1 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.6 | 7.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Monaco?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Monaco match is: PSG wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/03/2026 between PSG and Monaco in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.24% for a win of PSG against Monaco with odds of 1.39 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Monaco is 30.39% with odds of 6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs PSG with odds of 8.1 at Betwinner.
PSG - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Monaco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 50.24% | 1.39 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.8% | |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 21.29% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
PSG vs Monaco Form
PSG and Monaco's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 |
|
7
|
54 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 |
PSG and Monaco Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2026 - French Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
PSG vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
18 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
PSG - Monaco: Form Analysis
PSG are getting accustomed to this familiar face that is Monaco. The most recent of their three meetings this season was in the final week of February, a UCL return leg encounter. That ended 2-2 on the night, with PSG winning 5-4 on aggregate.
The champions will be gunning for a routine win here, having only lost twice in the last 10 matches against Monaco. Across the last eight matchups with Monaco, the hosts won five. In five of those eight matches, PSG scored 2+. Bradley Barcola’s goal was enough for PSG to see off Le Havre 1-0 in their warmup for this game.
Monaco have one win in nine away games against teams currently outside the bottom three.
Monaco are also coming off a win. The visitors overcame Angers 2-0, making it three wins in a row in Ligue 1. Goals from Folarin Balogun and Simon Adingra did the job for Monaco, who are now just three points from the top six. Les Rouge et Blancs will be looking to build on their recent stability.
They must, however, improve on their Ligue 1 away form, which has just three wins in the 11 played. In their latest league game on the road, they beat the second-placed side, Lens, 3-2. Here they will be looking to serve the same on the side sitting top.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
PSG against Monaco Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
L. Chevalier
DefenderMarquinhos
L. Hernandez
Beraldo
MidfielderS. Mayulu
L. Kang-in
G. Ramos
I. Mbaye
O. Dembele
Y. Lienard
DefenderC. Mawissa
J. Teze
S. Nibombe
A. Golovin
P. Brunner
A. Fati
M. Biereth
S. Adingra
Missing players
F. Ruiz
J. Neves
ForwardQ. Ndjantou
L. Hradecky
DefenderE. Dier
K. Diatta
M. Salisu
K. Ouattara
MidfielderP. Pogba
T. Minamino
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
P. Cabral
PSG & Monaco Squad Analysis
These two sides are dealing with injuries to key players, and that will be a factor in this match. PSG are without Ousmane Dembele, who is nursing a calf injury and had no chance of adding to his eight goals and four assists in Ligue 1.
In Desire Doue, however, PSG have a viable option as Dembele’s replacement. Doue was nursing a hamstring injury in the reverse fixture but made up for it in the last two meetings with Monaco. The 20-year-old had four goal contributions in the last two matches against Monaco.
Monaco have at least eight players out with injury.
Monaco will rest their goal-scoring hopes on the young shoulders of Ansu Fati. The Spaniard is their leading scorer with eight league goals, having played twice as many matches. Fati will look to make the most of Aleksandr Golovin’s creativity, with the Russian currently on five assists in Ligue 1.
One of those assists was against PSG in the reverse match. Folarin Balogun will also be worth a mention as the US international looks to add to his nine goal contributions. Senegalese midfielder Krepin Diatta has been in and out of the team and will miss against here with a muscle injury.
Most goals and assists
PSG
Monaco
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
F. Balogun
(13 Goals)
Vitinha
(8 Assists)
M. Akliouche
(6 Assists)
PSG - Monaco Key Points
- PSG have five wins in seven matches against Monaco.
- PSG are unbeaten in five home outings, winning three.
- Monaco lost six times in the last 10 away games at PSG.
- Monaco are winless in seven of the latest 10 away matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our PSG vs Monaco Prediction
PSG and Monaco are meeting for the fourth time this season, and this is bound to be another big fight. Each side won once in their opening three meetings, with Monaco claiming three points in the league encounter.
Overall, PSG have been dominant in this fixture, and playing at home offers a big mental boost. They are the league’s best-performing hosts and are unbeaten in Ligue 1 at home, only drawing once in 11 matches. Our prediction for PSG v Monaco is that PSG wins.
PSG vs Monaco Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
The opening meeting between these two this season had under 2.5 goals, which is a rarity in this fixture. Nine goals have been scored in the two matches between the sides, taking it to over 2.5 goals in six of the last 10 meetings between the teams. With so much to play for for both sides, our second prediction is for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Monaco
| PSG vs Monaco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.28 | 1.39 | +8.6% |
| Draw | 7.01 | 6 | -14.4% |
| Monaco wins | 10.9 | 8.1 | -25.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.1% and is now 71.9% (-6.2%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the PSG vs. Monaco game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between PSG and Monaco when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
PSG vs Monaco - FAQs
The PSG v Monaco match will be played on Friday, 6th March.
The PSG v Monaco match will be played at the Parc des Princes in Paris.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
