PSG vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
It isn’t a familiar sighting for PSG to be second in the Ligue 1 title race, and they’ll hope for three points at home to Lille. Playing a day before the league leaders, PSG will be eyeing the top spot here, but fourth-placed Lille are preoccupied with rising into the top three. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
By their high standards, PSG have struggled a bit domestically this season, even if they are just a point behind Lens. Les Parisiens are coming from a 1-0 defeat to neighbors Paris FC in the French Cup.
As they don’t drop a lot of points at home, PSG will be very confident of bouncing back. They are the best-performing home team with 22 points.
Lille will not be pushovers here. They will be determined to show why they are the only ones to recently stop PSG from winning the title. Their latest outing, however, didn’t go to plan, as they were beaten 2-1 by Lyon in the French Cup.
That was a second straight home defeat for Les Dogues after earlier falling 2-0 to Rennes. Their four straight wins in the league before this blip now feel like a long way back.
It is blighted by a run of three defeats in their last five matches, yet they haven't beaten PSG in nine meetings.
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PSG v Lille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 6.4 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.35 | 9.2 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.15 | 10 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.25 | 9 |
|
|
1.27 | 6 | 9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Lille?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Lille match is: PSG wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/01/2026 between PSG and Lille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.29% for a win of PSG against Lille with odds of 2.8 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Lille is 19.02% with odds of 6.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs PSG with odds of 10.6 at 888Starz.
PSG - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 57.29% | 2.8 at BC Game |
| Under 2.5 | 50.74% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 26.78% | 1.78 at LSbet |
PSG vs Lille Form
PSG and Lille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 |
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
PSG and Lille Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
PSG vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
PSG against Lille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Marin
M. James
DefenderI. Zabarnyi
Beraldo
L. Hernandez
N. Nsoki
ForwardG. Ramos
B. Barcola
A. Bodart
DefenderAlexsandro
M. Goffi
T. Meunier
C. Mbemba
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
M. Broholm
S. Diaoune
F. Correia
Missing players
M. Safonov
DefenderA. Hakimi
MidfielderL. Kang-in
J. Neves
ForwardI. Mbaye
Q. Ndjantou
C. Verdonk
O. Toure
R. Fernandes
MidfielderB. Andre
ForwardM. Fernandez-Pardo
H. Igamane
Most goals and assists
PSG
Lille
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez-Pardo
(8 Goals)
Vitinha
(8 Assists)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez-Pardo
(5 Assists)
PSG - Lille Key Points
- PSG have beaten Lille seven times in nine meetings.
- PSG have won 12 of their 17 league matches this season.
- Lille have lost three more games than PSG in Ligue 1.
- Lille have suffered three defeats in their last five matches.
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Our PSG vs Lille Prediction
Both Lille and PSG are coming off defeats in the French Cup. Domestically now, it is only the league to play for, and though Lille are a way off, they will feel capable of challenging. This game, however, holds grim history for them, having failed to win in the last nine meetings.
Seven of those ended in losses, and playing away to PSG could see an extension of the unwanted run. The hosts have only lost once in 26 league games at home, winning 17. Our prediction for PSG v Lille is that PSG wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Lille
| PSG vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.5 | 2.8 | +86.7% |
| Draw | 4.4 | 6.6 | +50.0% |
| Lille wins | 6 | 10.6 | +76.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 86.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 35.7% (-31.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
