South Africa vs Kenya Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Thobelani Moyo | in AFCON Predictions
South Africa turn their attention to the next hurdle in their Africa Cup of Nations qualification campaign as they welcome Kenya to the Orlando Stadium on matchday three. Bafana Bafana have dominated this fixture, winning their last two meetings and with their recent attacking output, our prediction is for a home win and under 2.5 goals.
It has been a dream start for Pitso Mosimane as South African head coach. The 30-year-old has overseen three victories since returning for his second stint.
Among those wins was a recent 1-0 away triumph over African giants Egypt in a friendly international. That was the second successive time that they kept a clean sheet, highlighting their improved defense.
Bafana Bafana now turn their attention to the Africa Cup of Nations qualification campaign. A 2-1 home win over Guinea followed by a 5-0 away thrashing of Eritrea currently sees them occupying the top spot with six points in Group D.
Meanwhile, fellow countryman Bennie McCarthy has had a different experience in the Kenyan dugout.
Since a 4-0 win over Lesotho in a friendly international on June 7th, the Harambee Stars have gone three games without a win across all competitions (D2, L1).
Their most recent match against Rwanda in a friendly international ended in a 0-0 away draw. This comes after a 1-0 away defeat to Guinea in the Africa Cup of Nations qualification.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
South Africa v Kenya Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 5.00 | 9.60 |
|
|
1.27 | 4.90 | 11.30 |
|
|
1.27 | 4.90 | 11.30 |
|
|
1.24 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
|
|
1.27 | 4.70 | 10.00 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
Members only · free registration
What is the prediction for the football match between South Africa and Kenya?
Our prediction for the South Africa vs Kenya match is: South Africa wins and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/11/2026 between South Africa and Kenya in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 72.33% for a win of South Africa against Kenya with odds of 1.31 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between South Africa vs Kenya is 19.65% with odds of 5.25 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Kenya vs South Africa with odds of 11.5 at Betsson.
South Africa vs Kenya Form
South Africa and Kenya's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 |
|
3
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
South Africa and Kenya Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Sept 2026 - AFCON
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
28 Jun 2026 - World Cup
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
28 Jun 2026 - World Cup
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Sept 2026 - AFCON
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
11 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Oct 2026 - AFCON
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Oct 2026 - AFCON
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
South Africa and Kenya Stats in AFCON
South Africa - Kenya Key Points
- South Africa have won their last two meetings with Kenya.
- Kenya are winless in their last two AFCON qualification games.
- South Africa have seen ten of their last 12 AFCON qualification games end with over 2.5 goals.
- Kenya have won just one of their last six away matches across all competitions.
- South Africa are currently on a four-match winning streak in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our South Africa vs Kenya Prediction
The Africa Cup of Nations qualification has been South Africa's playground in recent years. They have emerged as a formidable opponent in this competition, avoiding defeat in their last 11 matches (W8, D3).
Nine of those encounters produced over 2.5 goals, suggesting another high-scoring affair against a Kenyan side that has gone two matches in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers without a win. Additionally, the last meeting between these two sides saw the home team win 2-1. Our South Africa vs Kenya prediction: South Africa wins and over 2.5 goals.
Get up to €100 to bet on the South Africa vs. Kenya game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between South Africa and Kenya when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on AFCON!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
