Portugal - Liga Portugal
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
The first O Classico of the 2025/26 Primeira Liga season is upon us; FC Porto will be hosting Benfica at the Estadio do Dragao. This fixture, a top game in the Portuguese football calendar, finds both teams unbeaten in the league, which adds to the thrill. There will be a big shift in the league standings after this match, with four points separating the top three teams. Let’s have a look at the preview and a prediction for this match below.
There will be a lot of focus on the managers ahead of this game. Porto’s Francesco Farioli has so far proven capable of sitting in the big chair. That seat was once occupied by the man on the Benfica side, Jose Mourinho, who achieved so much success.
In terms of the team’s form, Porto arrives for the match on a glittering run, having won all their seven league matches. Benfica will be looking to tame them with the classic Mourinho compactness.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.55 | 3.45 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Porto wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Porto and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.29% for a win of Porto against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.1 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Benfica Lisbon is 12.28% with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Porto with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Porto and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
|
3
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
Porto and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
29 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Sep 2025 - Europa League
19 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
13 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Sep 2025 - Europa League
19 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
26 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
12 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
12 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Aug 2025 - Champions League
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
20 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Sep 2023 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2023 - Portugal Super Cup
7 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
Porto - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
Across Europe and domestically, Porto have posted straight wins in nine matches. They were not in the mood to let go of their perfect start in their midweek match at home to Red Star Belgrade.
With the game seemingly headed to a 1-1 draw after a couple of first-half goals, Rodrigo Mora pounced with an 89th-minute winner. The Portuguese giants are not just about scoring goals; they are also doing superbly in defence.
In the nine matches placed so far, Porto have conceded only two goals. In the league, Porto’s defence has limited opponents to just 12 shots on target.
Porto, who have nine straight wins, have beaten Benfica just once in the last five meetings!
Benfica have had a mixed season so far. Under Jose Mourinho there are a lot of moving parts, and it is not yet clear how to assess the veteran manager’s impact. That, however, could come out clearly in this game.
Benfica, though with the better head-to-head records in recent meetings with Porto, will come here as the underdogs. They are fresh off a 1-0 defeat at Chelsea in the Champions League, their second loss in as many matches in the competition.
Domestically, they posted two wins in the last three matches and are still unbeaten.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Perez
M. Fernandes
MidfielderT. Perez
A. Bah
MidfielderM. Silva
ForwardBruma
Porto & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Porto’s consistency so far in the season is captured in the individual brilliance of such players as Borja Sainz. The Spaniard has attempted 22 shots across the seven league matches and comes here with four goal contributions.
Nine of his attempts were on target, giving him an xG of 1.84. Taking on a Benfica defence averaging 14 fouls, Sainz promises to be a menace here.
In case you are betting on a player to score any time, the Spaniard is a good pick.
Porto will miss the services of Martim Fernandes, who was sent off last weekend.
Greek forward Vangelis Pavlidis will be the main man for Benfica as Mourinho looks to tap into his imperious form. Last week he scored a brace as Benfica beat Gil Vicente 2-1.
Those goals took his tally to five in the league, having attempted 25 shots. Apart from his seriously good xG of 6.1, the Greek has also provided two assists.
Most goals and assists
Porto
Benfica Lisbon
S. Aghehowa
(5 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(6 Goals)
A. Costa
(4 Assists)
G. Sudakov
(2 Assists)
Porto and Benfica Lisbon Stats in Liga Portugal
Porto - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- In five of these teams' eight meetings, Porto won when playing as hosts.
- Porto are on a nine-match unbeaten run this season.
- Benfica lost twice in their last five matches.
- In their last six matches, Benfica managed just two wins.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Benfica started the season strongly, but the changes in management seem to have shaken their stable foundation. That will be tested severely in this away match at Porto. While Jose Mourinho will be keen on making a statement here, Porto already looks too strong and classy.
The hosts are doing well both in defence and attack, and taking on a Benfica side with recent shaky results points us in one direction: a home win. Our prediction for FC Porto v Benfica is that Porto wins the match.
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
BTTS – No
Our second prediction will be based on the team’s defensive capabilities. Benfica are coming from a slim defeat at Chelsea in the Champions League. That was the sixth time in seven matches that they failed to keep a clean sheet. Meanwhile. At Porto, they have only conceded twice in the last nine matches, keeping seven clean sheets. Our second bet would be BTTS – NO.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Porto vs. Benfica Lisbon game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Porto and Benfica Lisbon? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
The Porto v Benfica match will be played at Estadio do Dragao.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
