Palmeiras vs LDU Quito Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores

South America - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
09/09/2026 18:00
LDU Quito

Prediction :

 

Palmeiras to win to nil

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Copa Libertadores Predictions

Palmeiras have been linked with a move for free agent Jadon Sancho. As the fans process that, there is a more important job at hand as LDU Quito comes to town. The two are facing off in the first leg of their Copa Libertadores quarter-final. Palmeiras take into the match a six-game unbeaten run, and our prediction backs them to win.

This fixture will be played for the fifth time between these sides, and in the previous four, it has always favored the home team. The two times Palmeiras have hosted the game, they won, scored six, and kept two clean sheets.

They also come into this particular encounter confident, having won five of their last eight home games.

Quito may be playing away from home here, but they will not be pushovers at all. In their last outing they beat Tecnico 3-1 for their third win in five matches.

That, though, was their first win in three while they have only managed three wins in their last 10 matches away from home. They lost three of those 10 outings on the road, while drawing four times.

Quito are not just winless in their two visits to Palmeiras; they’ve also failed to win in four of their last six Copa Libertadores outings. In this competition, they're also winless in the last three on the road, losing twice, which makes this a complicated outing for the Ecuadorians.

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Palmeiras v LDU Quito Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.33 5.20 11.00
1xbet
1.30 4.77 13.70
Melbet
1.33 4.74 11.00
Betwinner
1.34 4.51 12.00
Bet365
1.30 4.75 13.00
Check all Palmeiras vs LDU Quito odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and LDU Quito?

Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs LDU Quito match is: Palmeiras to win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2026 between Palmeiras and LDU Quito in Copa Libertadores :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.74% for a win of Palmeiras against LDU Quito with odds of 1.34 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs LDU Quito is 30.46% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.8% chance ⭐ for a win of LDU Quito vs Palmeiras with odds of 13.7 at 1xbet.

Palmeiras - LDU Quito Prediction and Best Odds:

Palmeiras LDU Quito Prediction Probability Odds
Palmeiras wins 39.74% 1.34 at Betwinner
Under 2.5 50.4% 1.94 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score: No 54.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Palmeiras 20.45% 3.80 at Roobet

Palmeiras vs LDU Quito Form

Palmeiras and LDU Quito Last Matches

Palmeiras
Palmeiras Last matches
W W W D D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Palmeiras

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  1
Palmeiras

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
4 :  1
Vasco Da Gama

19 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno
0 :  1
Palmeiras
L W D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
4 :  1
Vasco Da Gama

12 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  1
Cerro Porteno

9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Internacional

2 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Fortaleza

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Atletico MG
L L W D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Palmeiras

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  1
Palmeiras

19 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno
0 :  1
Palmeiras

15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  2
Palmeiras

5 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Fortaleza
3 :  2
Palmeiras
LDU Quito
LDU Quito Last matches
D W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Sept 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

CD Tecnico Universitario
1 :  3
LDU Quito

1 Sept 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
0 :  0
Mushuc Runa SC

29 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

Guayaquil City FC
2 :  1
LDU Quito

26 Aug 2026 - Copa Ecuador

LDU Quito
1 :  0
SD Aucas

23 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
2 :  0
Emelec

20 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito
0 :  0
Mirassol
W L D W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

1 Sept 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
0 :  0
Mushuc Runa SC

26 Aug 2026 - Copa Ecuador

LDU Quito
1 :  0
SD Aucas

23 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
2 :  0
Emelec

20 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito
0 :  0
Mirassol

7 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
0 :  2
CSD Independiente Del Valle

3 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
2 :  1
Delfin SC
D W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Sept 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

CD Tecnico Universitario
1 :  3
LDU Quito

29 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

Guayaquil City FC
2 :  1
LDU Quito

16 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

SD Aucas
0 :  1
LDU Quito

13 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Mirassol
1 :  1
LDU Quito

26 Jul 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

Barcelona SC
0 :  1
LDU Quito

22 Jul 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

Manta FC
1 :  1
LDU Quito

Palmeiras vs LDU Quito Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Palmeiras

50 %

Draw

0 %

LDU Quito

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

30 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
4 :  0
LDU Quito

23 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito
3 :  0
Palmeiras
Palmeiras vs LDU Quito Prediction

Palmeiras against LDU Quito Lineups: Starting 11

Palmeiras

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
C. Miguel
2
A. Barboza
15
G. Gomez
26
Murilo
4
A. Giay
30
L. Evangelista
17
M. Freitas
22
J. Piquerez
42
J. Lopez
11
J. Arias
9
V. Roque
11
M. Estrada
23
Y. Quinonez
7
L. Rodriguez
13
J. Corozo
8
J. Pretell
20
F. Cornejo
4
R. Ade
44
L. Segovia
30
G. Allala Menendez
57
M. Weigandt
1
G. Valle

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

LDU Quito

Substitutes

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Goalkeeper

B. Bertinato

M. Lomba

Defender

B. Fuchs

A. Santana Marcolino

Khellven

Midfielder

Mauricio

E. Martinez

L. Pacheco da Costa

L. Ferreira dos Santos

Forward

Heittor

V. Roque 79'

E. Bele

F. Anderson

LDU Quito
LDU Quito
Goalkeeper

A. Dominguez

Defender

R. Mina

J. Pretell 61'

J. Carabali

Y. Quinonez 46'

Josue Cuero

L. Quinonez

Midfielder

I. Zambrano

G. Villamil

S. Gonzalez

E. Velasco

J. Rodriguez

F. Cornejo 51'

Forward

A. Alvarado

L. Rodriguez 61'

Deyverson

M. Estrada 85'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Palmeiras
CD Huachipato LDU Quito
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Lopez (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ecuador M. Estrada (3 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina J. Lopez (4 Assists)
Best assists
Ecuador J. Corozo (3 Assists)

Palmeiras - LDU Quito Key Points

  1. Quito lost two of their last three away Copa Libertadores matches.
  2. Quito lost their two Copa Libertadores matches away to Palmeiras.
  3. Palmeiras won four of their last seven Copa Libertadores matches.
  4. Palmeiras have won five of their last eight home outings.
  5. In their last six games, Palmeiras are unbeaten, winning three.
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Our Palmeiras vs LDU Quito Prediction

Palmeiras will head into this game confident enough to end a run of three straight draws. They will be banking heavily on their home form, especially in the Copa Libertadores. The Brazilian side has hosted this game twice and won on both occasions, scoring six goals and conceding no goals.

Quito lost two of their last three away matches in this competition and will come here seeking a first win in four on the road. That will be an uphill task, and our prediction for Palmeiras v LDU Quito is for Palmeiras to win to nil.

Prediction :

 

Palmeiras to win to nil

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Palmeiras LDU Quito

Palmeiras vs LDU Quito Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Palmeiras wins 1.38 1.34 -2.9%
Draw 4.20 5.40 +28.6%
LDU Quito wins 9.20 13.70 +48.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Palmeiras is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 72.5% and is now 74.6% (2.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.