Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Predictions Odds Live

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
26/07/2025 20:00
Gremio

Prediction :

 

Palmeiras wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions

Palmeiras will continue with their title push this Sunday, when they welcome Gremio for a matchday 17 Serie A encounter. Placed third, bookie predictions pick Palmeiras as favorites in this match.

Palmeiras have done well since returning from the Club World Cup, collecting seven out of a possible nine points. The latest of them was a 2-1 away win at Fluminense, coming from a goal down.

Two-time league winners in the last three seasons, Palmeiras will feel this is a chance to add to their tally. Verdao have lost just once in the last 10 meetings with Gremio. They currently trail leaders Cruzeiro by five points.

Palmeiras, however, haven't really been consistent at home, and that should throw an incentive Gremio’s way. The visitors will not only seek to break Palmeiras’ dominance in this encounter, but they are also looking to do better at this venue.

Gremio suffered defeat in their last four away matches against Palmeiras. They haven't had a great season to inspire a comfortable win away to the title contenders, with Gremio currently on four wins but five defeats in their 14 league matches.

In their last six away matches, Gremio registered a draw, a win, and four losses. Their confidence will be further affected by the fact they’re coming from Copa Sudamericana elimination.

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Palmeiras v Gremio Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.37 4.8 9
1xbet
1.46 4.59 7.52
Melbet
1.38 4.64 9.1
Betwinner
1.38 4.6 9.3
Bet365
1.44 4.5 7.5
Check all Palmeiras vs Gremio odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Gremio?

Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Gremio match is: Palmeiras wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/07/2025 between Palmeiras and Gremio in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.59% for a win of Palmeiras against Gremio with odds of 1.46 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Gremio is 31.12% with odds of 4.8 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 17.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Gremio vs Palmeiras with odds of 10 at LSbet.

Palmeiras - Gremio Prediction and Best Odds:

Palmeiras Gremio Prediction Probability Odds
Palmeiras wins 51.59% 1.46 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 59.28% 1.86 at Stake
Both Team To Score 55.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Palmeiras 29.31% 4 at Bet365

Palmeiras vs Gremio Form

Palmeiras and Gremio's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Palmeiras
76 38 23 7 8 +33
9 Gremio
49 38 13 10 15 -3

Palmeiras and Gremio Last Matches

Palmeiras
Palmeiras Last matches
W L D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Gremio

23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  2
Palmeiras

20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
3 :  2
Atletico MG

16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  1
Mirassol

4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Botafogo
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Gremio

20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
3 :  2
Atletico MG

16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  1
Mirassol

4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Botafogo

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
2 :  0
AL Ahly SC
W W W L D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  2
Palmeiras

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Miami
2 :  2
Palmeiras

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Palmeiras

18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
1 :  2
Palmeiras

7 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno
0 :  2
Palmeiras

4 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
0 :  1
Palmeiras
Gremio
Gremio Last matches
W L L D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Gremio

23 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Gremio
1 :  1
Alianza Lima

19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  1
Gremio

16 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Alianza Lima
2 :  0
Gremio

13 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
4 :  1
Gremio

8 Jul 2025 - Recopa Gaucha

Gremio
2 :  0
Sao Jose
D W W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Gremio
1 :  1
Alianza Lima

8 Jul 2025 - Recopa Gaucha

Gremio
2 :  0
Sao Jose

12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  1
Corinthians

29 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Gremio
1 :  0
Sportivo Luqueno

25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  0
Bahia

20 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Gremio
0 :  0
CS Alagoano AL
L W L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Gremio

19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  1
Gremio

16 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Alianza Lima
2 :  0
Gremio

13 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
4 :  1
Gremio

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Juventude
0 :  2
Gremio

17 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Gremio

Palmeiras vs Gremio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Palmeiras

67 %

Draw

17 %

Gremio

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Gremio

8 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Gremio

4 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
2 :  2
Palmeiras

21 Sept 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  0
Palmeiras

10 May 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
4 :  1
Gremio

31 Oct 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  3
Palmeiras
Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction

Palmeiras against Gremio Lineups: Starting 11

Palmeiras

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

21
Weverton
4
A. Giay
15
G. Gomez
3
B. Fuchs
22
J. Piquerez
30
L. Evangelista
32
E. Martinez
17
F. Torres
18
Mauricio
31
Luighi
9
V. Roque
22
M. Braithwaite
99
C. Olivera
34
I. Schlemper
7
C. Pavon
17
Dodi
80
A. Santana
23
Marlon
65
R. Freitas
3
W. Leonardo
53
G. Martins
1
T. Volpi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Gremio

Substitutes

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Goalkeeper

M. Lomba

Defender

Vanderlan

Micael

L. Benedetti

M. Rocha

Midfielder

A. Moreno

L. Evangelista 70'

R. Sosa

Mauricio 58'

Thalys

R. Barbosa Coutinho

R. Veiga

Luighi 58'

Forward

J. Lopez

V. Roque 58'

R. Fillipi

F. Torres 82'

Gremio
Gremio
Goalkeeper

G. Grando

Defender

J. Lucas

L. Candido

W. Kannemann

Jemerson

Midfielder

Camilo

A. Santana 46'

Ronald

Edenilson

R. Freitas 77'

Forward

Alysson

C. Pavon 70'

A. Aravena

C. Olivera 70'

Jardiel

Dodi 87'

F. Amuzu

Missing players

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Forward

Paulinho

Gremio
Gremio

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Palmeiras
CD Huachipato Gremio
Top Goalscorer
Brazil V. Roque (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil C. Vinicius (12 Goals)
Best assists
Paraguay Mauricio (7 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina C. Pavon (6 Assists)

Palmeiras - Gremio Key Points

  1. Gremio won once and lost four of their last six away league games.
  2. Gremio are winless across all competitions in the last four games.
  3. Palmeiras have six wins in the last 10 matches against Gremio.
  4. Gremio have managed just one win in 10 against Palmeiras.
  5. Palmeiras are unbeaten in the last three league matches.
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Our Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction

The momentum is with Palmeiras as these two rivals head into this fixture. For Gremio so far, it has been an underwhelming season. They’ve lost more than they’ve won in the Serie A, and here they face a side they haven’t done so well against.

The visitors carry four losses in six away matches to a Palmeiras side unbeaten in the last three matches. The hosts have been stable since returning from the Club World Cup and will have the mental edge. Our prediction for Palmeiras v Gremio is that Palmeiras wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Palmeiras wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Palmeiras Gremio

Palmeiras vs Gremio Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Palmeiras wins 1.56 1.46 -6.4%
Draw 4.01 4.8 +19.7%
Gremio wins 6.57 10 +52.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Palmeiras is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 64.1% and is now 68.5% (4.4%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.