Palmeiras vs Atletico MG Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Palmeiras seek to tighten their grip on top spot in the Brazilian Serie A this weekend, when they welcome Atletico Mineiro. After 19 rounds, 19 points separate the two sides in the standings. Palmeiras have a dominant past in this game, and our prediction backs them here.
Palmeiras continued just where they had left off, following the World Cup break. Alviverde made it four wins in a row by beating Coritiba 3-1 away from home.
Abel Ferreira’s men did not look rusty at all as they earned three crucial points to power their title bid. Palmeiras have now won 13 matches this term and lost just once. With 44 points, they lead defending champions Flamengo, who are second, by seven points.
Atletico Mineiro haven’t beaten Palmeiras since 2023. They have lost four of the five matches since that last victory. The Galo were on course to end that four-game losing streak in the first meeting of the season but conceded late to settle for a draw.
They will be keen on a much better performance as they seek to boost their chances of Copa Libertadores qualification. Eduardo Dominguez’s men drew 1-1 with Bahia at home this week, as they returned to action after the break.
Unbeaten in their last three games, Atletico sit outside the continental places, having accumulated 25 points.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Palmeiras v Atletico MG Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.61 | 3.95 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.59 | 3.8 | 7.19 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.68 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.72 | 7 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.6 | 6.25 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Atletico MG?
Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Atletico MG match is: Palmeiras wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/07/2026 between Palmeiras and Atletico MG in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.77% for a win of Palmeiras against Atletico MG with odds of 1.65 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Atletico MG is 23.74% with odds of 3.95 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico MG vs Palmeiras with odds of 7.19 at 1xbet.
Palmeiras - Atletico MG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Palmeiras Atletico MG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 54.77% | 1.65 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 50.46% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Palmeiras/Palmeiras | 21.68% | 2.6 at Betsson |
Palmeiras vs Atletico MG Form
Palmeiras and Atletico MG's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
53 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | +24 |
|
8
|
36 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +2 |
Palmeiras and Atletico MG Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
21 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
5 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
Palmeiras vs Atletico MG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jan 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sept 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Oct 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras against Atletico MG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Lomba
K. Pereira
DefenderA. Santana Marcolino
L. Benedetti
MidfielderL. Ferreira dos Santos
L. Evangelista
V. Roque
R. Fillipi
F. Anderson
E. Bele
Heittor
G. Delfim
DefenderI. Roman
K. Pascini
V. Hugo
Gutte
A. Minda
I. Gomes
Alexsander
Reinier
M. Cisse
Dudu
C. Soares
Missing players
A. Barboza
Khellven
MidfielderR. Sosa
Patrick
Indio
Most goals and assists
Palmeiras
Atletico MG
J. Lopez
(8 Goals)
V. Hugo
(4 Goals)
,
T. Cuello
(4 Goals)
A. Pereira
(11 Assists)
R. Lodi
(3 Assists)
,
Bernard
(3 Assists)
Palmeiras - Atletico MG Key Points
- Palmeiras have won four consecutive games.
- Palmeiras won four of the last five meetings with Atletico.
- Half of Atletico’s last 10 games away from home ended in defeat.
- Palmeiras have failed to win just twice in nine league games at home this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Palmeiras vs Atletico MG Prediction
Our prediction for Palmeiras v Atletico Mineiro is that Palmeiras wins. Palmeiras have been the best team in the Serie A this season and comfortably sit at the top of the league standings. They are unbeaten at home in the league and are coming into this match having won four on the bounce.
Though Atletico have performed quite well in recent matches, they have struggled the most when away from home. They also haven’t had their way in this fixture lately, losing four of the last five meetings with Palmeiras.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Palmeiras Atletico MG
| Palmeiras vs Atletico MG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 1.62 | 1.65 | +1.9% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.95 | +3.9% |
| Atletico MG wins | 5.9 | 7.19 | +21.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Palmeiras is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 60.6% (-1.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Palmeiras vs. Atletico MG game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Palmeiras and Atletico MG? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
