Ospreys vs Scarlets Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
06/04/2025 12:30
Scarlets

Prediction :

 

Ospreys -6.5 points handicap.

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions

Ospreys will host Scarlets in this 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup round-of-16 tie on Sunday at the Swansea.com Stadium. The winner of this match will face either Lyon or Sharks in the last-8. Can Ospreys see off the Turks to qualify for the quarterfinals? Here is our prediction for the match.

Ospreys suffered a 38-22 away league loss against Scarlets in their last match. Hence, the Swansea-based side will head into this match not only to fight for a place 2024-25 Challenge Cup quarterfinals, but to also avenge their recent loss.

Notably, Mark Jones' side have been impressive at home, winning six of their last seven matches. This includes double-digit Challenge Cup victories against Lions (30-14) and Newcastle Falcons (35-15).

After a three-match losing streak, Scarlets returned to winning ways with a 38-22 victory over Ospreys in their last match. However, they will head into this match as underdogs, having lost their last six away matches in all competitions.

Additionally, the Llanelli-based side have lost four of their last five encounters with Ospreys. They are also winless in their last four away fixtures against Ospreys, averaging a 15.3-point losing margin. Hence, our tip for the spread.

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Ospreys vs Scarlets Form

Ospreys and Scarlets Last Matches

Ospreys
Ospreys Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

18 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Section Paloise
28 :  31
Ospreys

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
35 :  15
Newcastle Red Bulls

14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
59 :  15
Ospreys

8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
30 :  14
Lions

12 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Gloucester Rugby
23 :  13
Ospreys

6 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
23 :  15
Sale Sharks
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
35 :  15
Newcastle Red Bulls

8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
30 :  14
Lions

6 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
23 :  15
Sale Sharks

12 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
25 :  3
USA Perpignan

14 Jan 2023 - Champions Cup

Ospreys
35 :  29
Montpellier Herault Rugby

11 Dec 2022 - Champions Cup

Ospreys
17 :  23
Leicester Tigers
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

18 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Section Paloise
28 :  31
Ospreys

14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
59 :  15
Ospreys

12 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Gloucester Rugby
23 :  13
Ospreys

21 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Lions
28 :  38
Ospreys

17 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
38 :  5
Ospreys

2 Apr 2023 - Champions Cup

Saracens FC
35 :  20
Ospreys
Scarlets
Scarlets Last matches
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

18 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
38 :  28
Rugby Club Vannes

10 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Gloucester Rugby
31 :  7
Scarlets

15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
36 :  18
Black Lion

7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Aviron Bayonne
17 :  16
Scarlets

19 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
19 :  31
Edinburgh Rugby

13 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Clermont
38 :  17
Scarlets
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

18 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
38 :  28
Rugby Club Vannes

15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
36 :  18
Black Lion

19 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
19 :  31
Edinburgh Rugby

15 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
7 :  23
Black Lion

29 Apr 2023 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
17 :  35
Glasgow Warriors

31 Mar 2023 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
19 :  7
AC Brive
L L L L
Wins

0/4 (0%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Losses

4/4 (100%)

10 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Gloucester Rugby
31 :  7
Scarlets

7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Aviron Bayonne
17 :  16
Scarlets

13 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Clermont
38 :  17
Scarlets

9 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Castres Olympique
34 :  16
Scarlets

Players list

Ospreys
Ospreys
R. Davies R. Morgan-Williams K. Giles J. Ratti B. Warren O. Watkin G. Phillips J. Morgan E. Boshoff D. Edwards I. Hopkins E. Daniel H. Sutton J. Walsh R. Moriarty
Scarlets
Scarlets
J. Price T. Rogers D. Blacker J. Macleod R. Elias I. Jones J. Roberts J. Hawkins J. Morse B. Murray M. Page J. Taylow M. Douglas A. Holz T. Plumtree

Substitutes

Ospreys
Ospreys
B. Roberts H. Deaves K. Hardy L. Morgan C. Jones K. Hire L. Lloyd P. Cokanasiga
Scarlets
Scarlets
O. Williams D. Davis H. Thomas J. Davies H. O'Connor S. O'Connor G. Davies C. Leggatt-Jones

Ospreys - Scarlets Key Points

  1. Ospreys have won six of their last seven home matches.
  2. Ospreys have won their two 2024-25 Challenge Cup home matches, scoring 65 points and conceding 29.
  3. Scarlets have lost their last six away matches.
  4. Scarlets have lost their last four away matches against Ospreys by an average of 15.3 points.
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Our Ospreys vs Scarlets Prediction

Ospreys will head into this match as the favorites to win and will have a lot to play for. They will not only be fighting for a sport in the 2024-25 Challenge Cup quarterfinals, but also, to avenge their recent defeat to Scarlets. 

Mark Jones' side have won six of their last seven home matches, including both of their Challenge Cup home matches. They have also won their last four home matches against Scarlets, averaging an impressive 15.3-point winning margin. Hence, our Ospreys vs Scarlets prediction is Ospreys -6.5 points handicap.

Prediction :

 

Ospreys -6.5 points handicap.

 
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Ospreys vs Scarlets Prediction