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Ospreys vs Newcastle Falcons Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup
by Devesh Jaganath | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Ospreys will be looking to move up the standings in the EPCR Challenge Cup when they face the Newcastle Falcons on Saturday. Ospreylia are in fifth place in Pool 2 while the Falcons are at the foot of the group standings. Check out our match prediction below.
Pool 2 in the Challenge Cup is still wide open with three teams, including Ospreys, locked on five points after the first two rounds, behind Pau (6) and leaders Montpellier (9).
Ospreys claimed a commanding 30-14 victory over the Lions in their opening match of the competition but were hammered 59-15 by Montpellier a week later. They have now won two, lost two and drawn one of their last five across all competitions.
However, the hosts have been very good at home of late, currently riding a four-match win streak while they have only lost two of their last 10 across all competitions.
Meanwhile, Newcastle Falcons are one of only two teams in the Challenge Cup to lose both matches so far and they are the only ones yet to register a point.
The Falcons were beaten 32-19 by Pau in their opening match and went down 22-14 to the Dragons on their home patch a week later. They are now on a five-match losing streak.
The visitors' away form suggests that a defeat is likely here, as they have only managed three wins in their last 20 outings in all competitions dating back to February 2023.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ospreys v Newcastle Falcons Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.02 | 51 | 15 |
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1.03 | 51 | 12 |
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1.01 | 22 | 22 |
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1.01 | 22 | 22 |
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1.01 | 29 | 11 |
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1.02 | 49 | 20 |
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1.02 | 49 | 20 |
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1.02 | 49 | 20 |
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1.02 | 50 | 12 |
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1.01 | 51 | 15 |
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1.02 | 41 | 11 |
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1.01 | 67 | 17 |
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1.03 | 51 | 23 |
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1.03 | 45 | 11 |
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Ospreys vs Newcastle Falcons Form
Ospreys and Newcastle Falcons Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Jan 2025 - Pro 12
21 Dec 2024 - Pro 12
14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
30 Nov 2024 - Pro 12
26 Oct 2024 - Pro 12
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Dec 2024 - Pro 12
8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Pro 12
12 Oct 2024 - Pro 12
28 Sep 2024 - Pro 12
18 May 2024 - Pro 12
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
1 Jan 2025 - Pro 12
14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
30 Nov 2024 - Pro 12
18 Oct 2024 - Pro 12
5 Oct 2024 - Pro 12
21 Sep 2024 - Pro 12
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
3 Jan 2025 - English Premiership Rugby
28 Dec 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
21 Dec 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3 Jan 2025 - English Premiership Rugby
21 Dec 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
22 Nov 2024 - Premiership Rugby Cup
10 Nov 2024 - Premiership Rugby Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
28 Dec 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
2 Nov 2024 - Premiership Rugby Cup
26 Oct 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
11 Oct 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
28 Sep 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
Ospreys - Newcastle Falcons Key Points
- Ospreys have only lost one of their last four games across all competitions.
- Ospreys are on a three-match win streak in home games.
- The Falcons have lost each of their last five matches across all competitions.
- The Falcons have only won three of their last 20 away games.
- The Falcons have lost seven of their last eight away games by 10+ points.
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Our Ospreys vs Newcastle Falcons Prediction
While Ospreys have not been great this season, they are riding a three-match win streak at home and are set to face an opponent that has yet to earn a point in the competition.
The Falcons enter this match on a five-match losing streak, while their last away game ended in a 61-0 drubbing at the hands of Northampton in the Premiership. We’re expecting a big home win in this one. Our Ospreys vs Newcastle Falcons prediction is Ospreys -10.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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