Ospreys vs Newcastle Red Bulls Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
11/01/2025 12:30
Newcastle Red Bulls

Prediction :

 

Ospreys -10.5

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Challenge Cup Predictions

Ospreys will be looking to move up the standings in the EPCR Challenge Cup when they face the Newcastle Falcons on Saturday. Ospreylia are in fifth place in Pool 2 while the Falcons are at the foot of the group standings. Check out our match prediction below. 

Pool 2 in the Challenge Cup is still wide open with three teams, including Ospreys, locked on five points after the first two rounds, behind Pau (6) and leaders Montpellier (9). 

Ospreys claimed a commanding 30-14 victory over the Lions in their opening match of the competition but were hammered 59-15 by Montpellier a week later. They have now won two, lost two and drawn one of their last five across all competitions. 

However, the hosts have been very good at home of late, currently riding a four-match win streak while they have only lost two of their last 10 across all competitions. 

Meanwhile, Newcastle Falcons are one of only two teams in the Challenge Cup to lose both matches so far and they are the only ones yet to register a point. 

The Falcons were beaten 32-19 by Pau in their opening match and went down 22-14 to the Dragons on their home patch a week later. They are now on a five-match losing streak. 

The visitors' away form suggests that a defeat is likely here, as they have only managed three wins in their last 20 outings in all competitions dating back to February 2023. 

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Ospreys vs Newcastle Red Bulls Form

Ospreys and Newcastle Red Bulls Last Matches

Ospreys
Ospreys Last matches
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
59 :  15
Ospreys

8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
30 :  14
Lions

12 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Gloucester Rugby
23 :  13
Ospreys

6 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
23 :  15
Sale Sharks

21 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Lions
28 :  38
Ospreys

12 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
25 :  3
USA Perpignan
L W W W W
Wins

4/5 (80%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Losses

1/5 (20%)

8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
30 :  14
Lions

6 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
23 :  15
Sale Sharks

12 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
25 :  3
USA Perpignan

14 Jan 2023 - Champions Cup

Ospreys
35 :  29
Montpellier Herault Rugby

11 Dec 2022 - Champions Cup

Ospreys
17 :  23
Leicester Tigers
W L L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
59 :  15
Ospreys

12 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Gloucester Rugby
23 :  13
Ospreys

21 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Lions
28 :  38
Ospreys

17 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
38 :  5
Ospreys

2 Apr 2023 - Champions Cup

Saracens FC
35 :  20
Ospreys

17 Dec 2022 - Champions Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
10 :  21
Ospreys
Newcastle Red Bulls
Newcastle Red Bulls Last matches
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

3 Jan 2025 - PREM Rugby

Newcastle Red Bulls
14 :  38
Harlequins FC

28 Dec 2024 - PREM Rugby

Northampton Saints
61 :  0
Newcastle Red Bulls

21 Dec 2024 - PREM Rugby

Newcastle Red Bulls
15 :  40
Bath Rugby

15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Newcastle Red Bulls
14 :  22
Dragons

8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Section Paloise
32 :  19
Newcastle Red Bulls

29 Nov 2024 - PREM Rugby

Newcastle Red Bulls
17 :  12
Saracens FC
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

3 Jan 2025 - PREM Rugby

Newcastle Red Bulls
14 :  38
Harlequins FC

21 Dec 2024 - PREM Rugby

Newcastle Red Bulls
15 :  40
Bath Rugby

15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Newcastle Red Bulls
14 :  22
Dragons

29 Nov 2024 - PREM Rugby

Newcastle Red Bulls
17 :  12
Saracens FC

18 Oct 2024 - PREM Rugby

Newcastle Red Bulls
24 :  18
Exeter RC Chiefs

5 Oct 2024 - PREM Rugby

Newcastle Red Bulls
10 :  42
Leicester Tigers
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

28 Dec 2024 - PREM Rugby

Northampton Saints
61 :  0
Newcastle Red Bulls

8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Section Paloise
32 :  19
Newcastle Red Bulls

26 Oct 2024 - PREM Rugby

Gloucester Rugby
36 :  7
Newcastle Red Bulls

11 Oct 2024 - PREM Rugby

Sale Sharks
43 :  10
Newcastle Red Bulls

28 Sept 2024 - PREM Rugby

Harlequins FC
28 :  14
Newcastle Red Bulls

18 May 2024 - PREM Rugby

Gloucester Rugby
54 :  14
Newcastle Red Bulls

Players list

Ospreys
Ospreys
R. Davies R. Morgan-Williams K. Giles J. Ratti B. Warren O. Watkin G. Phillips J. Morgan E. Boshoff D. Edwards I. Hopkins E. Daniel H. Sutton J. Walsh R. Moriarty
Newcastle Red Bulls
Newcastle Red Bulls
A. Hearle A. Mafi B. Connon S. Arnold R. Palframan G. McGuigan C. Wade J. Hodgson E. Obatoyinbo S. Benitez Cruz C. Hancock A. Scott O. Leatherbarrow E. Grayson T. Christie

Substitutes

Ospreys
Ospreys
B. Roberts H. Deaves K. Hardy L. Morgan C. Jones K. Hire L. Lloyd P. Cokanasiga
Newcastle Red Bulls
Newcastle Red Bulls
J. Clark T. Cardall M. McCallum B. Healy J. Elliott O. Fletcher F. Lockwood C. Hutchisonto

Ospreys - Newcastle Red Bulls Key Points

  1. Ospreys have only lost one of their last four games across all competitions.
  2. Ospreys are on a three-match win streak in home games.
  3. The Falcons have lost each of their last five matches across all competitions.
  4. The Falcons have only won three of their last 20 away games.
  5. The Falcons have lost seven of their last eight away games by 10+ points.
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Our Ospreys vs Newcastle Red Bulls Prediction

While Ospreys have not been great this season, they are riding a three-match win streak at home and are set to face an opponent that has yet to earn a point in the competition.

The Falcons enter this match on a five-match losing streak, while their last away game ended in a 61-0 drubbing at the hands of Northampton in the Premiership. We’re expecting a big home win in this one. Our Ospreys vs Newcastle Falcons prediction is Ospreys -10.5.

Prediction :

 

Ospreys -10.5

 
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Ospreys vs Newcastle Red Bulls Prediction