Ospreys vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
17/01/2026 15:00
Montpellier Herault Rugby

Prediction :

 

Montpellier HR +6.5 handicap points

1.55
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions

Ospreys conclude their Challenge Cup pool-stage campaign, playing host to Montpellier HR in a top-of-table clash on Saturday. The two teams have booked their round-of-16 tickets, but will battle for the pool’s top spot. Can Ospreys leverage their home advantage to overcome in-form Montpellier HR? Here is our prediction.

Ospreys saw off Connacht Rugby by just three points in their Challenge Cup opener and defeated Montauban by an 11-point margin in their second match. Off the back of those back-to-back wins, they shipped 13 unanswered points in the first half and fell by four points (23–19) to Zebre the last time out. 

The loss to Zebre left them second in Pool 1 with 11 points, four points behind Montpellier HR. Mark Jones’ men don't just need a win on Saturday, but also a bonus-point victory to stand a chance of winning the pool. 

Montpellier HR have yet to taste defeat in this Challenge Cup campaign. They defeated Black Lion by 11 points, thrashed Zebre by a 24-point margin, and edged Connacht Rugby 33–31 in their most recent fixture.

The Rockroses have won seven of their last eight matches across all competitions. They have defeated Ospreys in their previous two Challenge Cup meetings, and suffered defeats in both of their trips to face the Welsh club. 

The Best Betting Odds for Ospreys v Montpellier Herault Rugby Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.57 21 2.5
Melbet
1.58 21 2.51
BC Game
1.62 20 2.34
Tonybet
1.6 23 2.42
888Starz
1.59 19 2.41
Check all Ospreys vs Montpellier Herault Rugby odds

Ospreys vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Form

Ospreys and Montpellier Herault Rugby Last Matches

Ospreys
Ospreys Last matches
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Zebre
23 :  19
Ospreys

1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
33 :  22
Cardiff Rugby

26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
19 :  26
Ospreys

20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
10 :  26
Munster

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

US Montalbanaise
22 :  33
Ospreys

7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
24 :  21
Connacht Rugby
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
33 :  22
Cardiff Rugby

20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
10 :  26
Munster

7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
24 :  21
Connacht Rugby

18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
17 :  42
Glasgow Warriors

11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
24 :  0
Zebre

26 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
57 :  24
Dragons
L D L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Zebre
23 :  19
Ospreys

26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
19 :  26
Ospreys

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

US Montalbanaise
22 :  33
Ospreys

29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Edinburgh Rugby
19 :  17
Ospreys

25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Dragons
19 :  19
Ospreys

3 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Stormers
26 :  10
Ospreys
Montpellier Herault Rugby
Montpellier Herault Rugby Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Connacht Rugby

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
62 :  22
Aviron Bayonne

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
35 :  33
Montpellier Herault Rugby

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Castres Olympique

12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
31 :  7
Zebre

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Black Lion
13 :  24
Montpellier Herault Rugby
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Connacht Rugby

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
62 :  22
Aviron Bayonne

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Castres Olympique

12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
31 :  7
Zebre

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
28 :  24
Union Bordeaux Begles

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
7 :  9
Clermont
D L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
35 :  33
Montpellier Herault Rugby

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Black Lion
13 :  24
Montpellier Herault Rugby

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
0 :  28
Montpellier Herault Rugby

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
35 :  12
Montpellier Herault Rugby

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
32 :  25
Montpellier Herault Rugby

27 Sept 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
22 :  22
Montpellier Herault Rugby

Ospreys vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ospreys

50 %

Draw

0 %

Montpellier Herault Rugby

50 %

14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
59 :  15
Ospreys

17 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
38 :  5
Ospreys

14 Jan 2023 - Champions Cup

Ospreys
35 :  29
Montpellier Herault Rugby

17 Dec 2022 - Champions Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
10 :  21
Ospreys

Ospreys - Montpellier Herault Rugby Key Points

  1. Ospreys have won six of their last seven Challenge Cup home matches.
  2. Ospreys have lost their last two Challenge Cup matches against Montpellier HR.
  3. Montpellier HR have won their three 2025–26 Challenge Cup matches.
  4. Montpellier HR have won seven of their last eight matches across all competitions.
  5. Montpellier HR have lost their last two trips to face Ospreys in Europe.

Our Ospreys vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction

This is a finely poised contest likely to end with a competitive result. Montpellier HR come into this fixture in fine form and off the back of a perfect 2025–26 Challenge Cup campaign. However, their last two trips to face Ospreys in Europe have ended in defeat.

Ospreys have enjoyed a stellar run in their last seven Challenge Cup home matches, but have suffered defeat in their previous two encounters against Montpellier HR in the competition. We are tipping either side to win, but by a close margin. Our Ospreys vs Montpellier HR prediction is Montpellier HR +6.5 handicap points. 

Prediction :

 

Montpellier HR +6.5 handicap points

1.55
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ospreys vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction