Ospreys vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup
Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Ospreys conclude their Challenge Cup pool-stage campaign, playing host to Montpellier HR in a top-of-table clash on Saturday. The two teams have booked their round-of-16 tickets, but will battle for the pool’s top spot. Can Ospreys leverage their home advantage to overcome in-form Montpellier HR? Here is our prediction.
Ospreys saw off Connacht Rugby by just three points in their Challenge Cup opener and defeated Montauban by an 11-point margin in their second match. Off the back of those back-to-back wins, they shipped 13 unanswered points in the first half and fell by four points (23–19) to Zebre the last time out.
The loss to Zebre left them second in Pool 1 with 11 points, four points behind Montpellier HR. Mark Jones’ men don't just need a win on Saturday, but also a bonus-point victory to stand a chance of winning the pool.
Montpellier HR have yet to taste defeat in this Challenge Cup campaign. They defeated Black Lion by 11 points, thrashed Zebre by a 24-point margin, and edged Connacht Rugby 33–31 in their most recent fixture.
The Rockroses have won seven of their last eight matches across all competitions. They have defeated Ospreys in their previous two Challenge Cup meetings, and suffered defeats in both of their trips to face the Welsh club.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Ospreys v Montpellier Herault Rugby Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.57 | 21 | 2.5 |
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1.58 | 21 | 2.51 |
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1.62 | 20 | 2.34 |
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1.6 | 23 | 2.42 |
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1.59 | 19 | 2.41 |
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Ospreys vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Form
Ospreys and Montpellier Herault Rugby Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
3 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
1 Nov 2025 - Top 14
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Top 14
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
11 Oct 2025 - Top 14
27 Sept 2025 - Top 14
Ospreys vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
17 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup
14 Jan 2023 - Champions Cup
17 Dec 2022 - Champions Cup
Ospreys - Montpellier Herault Rugby Key Points
- Ospreys have won six of their last seven Challenge Cup home matches.
- Ospreys have lost their last two Challenge Cup matches against Montpellier HR.
- Montpellier HR have won their three 2025–26 Challenge Cup matches.
- Montpellier HR have won seven of their last eight matches across all competitions.
- Montpellier HR have lost their last two trips to face Ospreys in Europe.
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Our Ospreys vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction
This is a finely poised contest likely to end with a competitive result. Montpellier HR come into this fixture in fine form and off the back of a perfect 2025–26 Challenge Cup campaign. However, their last two trips to face Ospreys in Europe have ended in defeat.
Ospreys have enjoyed a stellar run in their last seven Challenge Cup home matches, but have suffered defeat in their previous two encounters against Montpellier HR in the competition. We are tipping either side to win, but by a close margin. Our Ospreys vs Montpellier HR prediction is Montpellier HR +6.5 handicap points.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Ospreys vs. Montpellier Herault Rugby game

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.