South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Once Caldas are looking to complete the job when Independiente del Valle visits for the return leg of their Copa Sudamericana quarter-final. The Colombians have a commanding 2-0 lead ahead of their home leg. Read on for our prediction of this match.
In a game that all went wrong for Independiente, Dayro Moreno took full advantage, with a brace either side of halftime. 12 minutes after Once Caldas snatched the lead, Independiente were reduced to 10 men, and it was one-way from then on.
Once Caldas didn’t have the perfect warmup for this match though, losing 2-1 to America de Cali in their domestic assignment. That broke their six-game unbeaten run.
Independiente’s home loss slammed the brakes on a three-match winning streak. Their push to get control of this tie will not be helped by the fact that Mateo Carabajal is suspended.
They were forced into an early change in the first leg after that red card and will hope for a smoother ride this time. The Ecuadorians’ defensive solidity also seems to be slipping away.
After the first leg loss, they also conceded twice in a league meeting with Mushuc Runa. They twice failed to hold on to their lead and drew 2-2. Independiente had a late goal disallowed, though.
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The Best Betting Odds for CD Once Caldas v CSD Independiente Del Valle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.25 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.1 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.25 | 2.48 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between CD Once Caldas and CSD Independiente Del Valle?
Our prediction for the CD Once Caldas vs CSD Independiente Del Valle match is: Once Caldas wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/09/2025 between CD Once Caldas and CSD Independiente Del Valle in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.23% for a win of CD Once Caldas against CSD Independiente Del Valle with odds of 3.01 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between CD Once Caldas vs CSD Independiente Del Valle is 22.22% with odds of 3.45 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.55% chance ⭐ for a win of CSD Independiente Del Valle vs CD Once Caldas with odds of 2.55 at Shangrila.
CD Once Caldas - CSD Independiente Del Valle Prediction and Best Odds:
| CD Once Caldas CSD Independiente Del Valle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| CD Once Caldas wins | 45.23% | 3.01 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 65.87% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 22.92% | 1.85 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: CD Once Caldas | 20.48% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
CD Once Caldas vs CSD Independiente Del Valle Form
CD Once Caldas and CSD Independiente Del Valle Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - Liga Postobon
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Postobon
9 Sept 2025 - Liga Postobon
5 Sept 2025 - Liga Postobon
1 Sept 2025 - Liga Postobon
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Postobon
5 Sept 2025 - Liga Postobon
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Postobon
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Postobon
30 Jul 2025 - Copa Colombia
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - Liga Postobon
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Sept 2025 - Liga Postobon
1 Sept 2025 - Liga Postobon
28 Aug 2025 - Copa Colombia
22 Aug 2025 - Copa Colombia
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
19 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
2 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
19 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
CD Once Caldas vs CSD Independiente Del Valle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
CD Once Caldas against CSD Independiente Del Valle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
CD Once Caldas
CSD Independiente Del Valle
D. Moreno
(24 Goals)
C. Spinelli
(26 Goals)
M. Zuleta Garcia
(6 Assists)
,
L. Palacios
(6 Assists)
,
D. Quinones
(6 Assists)
J. Sornoza
(3 Assists)
CD Once Caldas - CSD Independiente Del Valle Key Points
- Independiente have one win in their last four away matches.
- Once Caldas have five straight home wins in Copa Sudamericana.
- Independiente are winless in five away matches in continental action.
- Once Caldas lost only two of their last 12 Copa Sudamericana home matches.
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Our CD Once Caldas vs CSD Independiente Del Valle Prediction
Independiente del Valle are a decent side, but their slip in the first leg might prove too big to stage a comeback from. Whereas they do not command a strong run away from home, the Ecuador side has to face a team on a fine home run. Once Caldas are on 10 wins in their last 12 home matches in this competition.
Additionally, Independiente need to overturn a two-goal deficit, yet Once Caldas have four clean sheets in the last five home games in Copa Sudamericana. Our prediction for Once Caldas v Independiente del Valle is that Once Caldas wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis CD Once Caldas CSD Independiente Del Valle
| CD Once Caldas vs CSD Independiente Del Valle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| CD Once Caldas wins | 2.4 | 2.9 | +20.8% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.25 | -1.5% |
| CSD Independiente Del Valle wins | 2.8 | 2.5 | -10.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- CD Once Caldas is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 20.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 34.5% (-7.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the CD Once Caldas vs. CSD Independiente Del Valle game!
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Try your luck on this year's Copa Sudamericana! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
