ATP - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions
Novak Djokovic reaches his third final of the year and is on track to win his second title at the ATP Athens Hellenic Championship. He, however, faces a hungry Lorenzo Musetti, who also makes his third final in 2025, but without a title to his name. Will Djokovic continues his one-sided dominance over Musetti, or will the determined Italian prove too hot to handle for the aging legend? Find out in our Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti match prediction.
Interestingly, these two players have met nine times already, and the story couldn't be better for the Serbian. Djokovic has now beaten Musetti eight times in their nine meetings, and we expect him to do so once again in this final. But our bet here isn't on Djokovic winning the game.
We're betting on the legend to win the first set, just as he's done in eight of their nine meetings. And we must mention that Djokovic won the first set in all six three-set games against Musetti. But that has just been a broader pattern of how the Serbian wins, especially its three-set games. Over his last 46 three-set singles wins, Djokovic has won the first set in an outstanding 43 games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Novak Djokovic v Lorenzo Musetti Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.36 | 3.1 |
|
|
1.35 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.33 | 3 |
|
|
1.38 | 3.2 |
|
Who will win the Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Djokovic wins the first set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 08/11/2025 of the current ATP Athens Hellenic Championship season:
- Novak Djokovic has a 63.54% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.38.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 36.46% probability of winning facing Novak Djokovic ⭐ with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Novak Djokovic has a 63.54 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | 63.54 % |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 36.46 % |
Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Novak Djokovic and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
4 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
16 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
11 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
5 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
25 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
25 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
2 Aug 2024 - Olympic Tournament
12 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jun 2024 - ATP French Open
11 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
13 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti: Form Analysis
In truth, both players have been impressive in their recent games and run-up to this tournament. However, Djokovic has still been significantly better in form.
Djokovic has reached the semifinals of his last six tournaments, and this is the first one in that span where he reached the final.
In that run of games, Novak Djokovic has now recorded 27 singles wins in his last 33 matches. Meanwhile, Musetti has recorded 19 wins in his last 31 singles since his seminal exit to Carlos Alcaraz in the French Open.
Even in their tournament form leading up to this final, Djokovic has also been better in his three wins than Musetti. Whereas Djokovic won all three ATP Athens Hellenic Championship games in straight sets, Musetti struggled a bit, relying on a third-set decider in two of his three tournament games.
Djokovic's latest was his 2-0 semifinal victory over Yannick Hanfmann, where he won 6-3, 6-4. On the other hand, Musetti was close to losing his semifinal matchup against Sebastian Korda before turning the game around from 5-4 to 7-5 in set 3.
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Novak Djokovic & Lorenzo Musetti Squad Analysis
It's not surprising at all that Novak Djokovic is the favorite to win the Hellenic Championship.
Djokovic is a living legend who still reigns as one of the best active tennis players, with an official ranking of 5th today.
So far in 2025, Djokovic has reached three finals, and this game against Musetti will mark the third. The first saw him lose out to the 19th-ranked Jakub Mensik in Miami. The second final in May also slipped from his grasp before his eventual 2-1 comeback against Hubert Hurkacz, who currently ranks 78th.
Djokovic, who now sits at 3rd for men's tennis players with the most titles, looks to extend it from 100 with another routing win over Musetti.
Now, Djokovic seeks a third title in 2025 against the 9th-placed Musetti, who looks to be his toughest final opponent of the year.
While not nearly as polished as Djokovic, the 23-year-old Musetti now has four titles to his name, which include two Città di Forlì, one Tennis Napoli Cup, and a Hamburg European Open.
Musetti has already come close to expanding his title cabinet twice this year in Monte Carlo and Chengdu, but Carlos Alcaraz (2-1) and Alejandro Tabilo (2-1), respectively.
Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Djokovic has won the first set in eight of his nine meetings against Musetti.
- Djokovic won the first set in all six three-set meetings against Musetti.
- In his last 46 three-set singles wins, Djokovic has won the first set in 43 games.
- Musetti lost the first set in two of his last five three-set singles that went all the way.
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Our Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
It's hard not to back not only the better player, but the all-time tennis legend, especially with the kind of momentum he's on. And that's even without looking at their H2H, in which Djokovic has simply dominated Musetti.
Djokovic has beaten Musetti in eight of their nine meetings. But he also won the first set in eight of those nine meetings. And for their three-set past meetings, Djokovic has won the first set in all six. This only follows his typical winning patter, which has seen him win the first set in 43 of his last 46 three-set singles victories. Hence, our Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction is that Djokovic wins the first set.
Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti - Other Interesting Predictions
Total Sets - 2
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Try your luck on this year's ATP Athens Hellenic Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
