Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Two former champions meet in round four of the BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells. Third seed Novak Djokovic takes on 14th-seeded and defending champion Jack Draper in this outdoor hard court tournament. Read our match prediction below.
The winner of this match will face either 11th seed Danniil Medvedev or unseeded Alex Michelsen next.
Novak Djokovic has won this Sunshine Swing Masters tournament five times but not since 2016.
The 38-year-old is playing only his second tournament of the year. His other was the Australian Open where he lost in the final to Carlos Alcaraz. So far in this tournament, he's beaten Kamil Majchrzak and Aleksandar Kovacevic but both went to a deciding set.
Jack Draper famously played Djokovic at Wimbledon in 2021, losing in four sets but winning the first.
Draper won this tournament last year but as has often been the case in his career, he's had injury problems since. This is his second singles tournament of the year, the other a round two in Dubai.
He needed three sets to beat Roberto Bautista Agut in his opening match here, losing the opener. Francisco Cerundolo was then beaten in straight sets on Monday. We tip more than 21.5 games to be played here.
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Novak Djokovic v Jack Draper Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.67 | 2.21 |
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1.67 | 2.21 |
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1.67 | 2.2 |
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1.62 | 2.18 |
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1.62 | 2.18 |
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Who will win the Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper match is: more than 21.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper game on 11/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Novak Djokovic has a 64.46% chance to win against Jack Draper according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.7.
- Jack Draper has a 35.54% probability of winning facing Novak Djokovic ⭐ with odds of 2.3 at Betway.
Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Novak Djokovic has a 64.46 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | 64.46 % |
| Jack Draper | 35.54 % |
Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper Form
Novak Djokovic and Jack Draper Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
1 Feb 2026 - ATP Australian Open
30 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
24 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
5 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
28 Jun 2021 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Novak Djokovic - Jack Draper Key Points
- The one previous match between these two players saw both win a set.
- 10 of the last 13 best-of-three set matches played by Djokovic have had more than 21.5 games played.
- More than 21.5 games have been played in three of Draper's last four matches.
- More than 21.5 games have been played in 11 of the last 14 matches Djokovic has played at Indian Wells.
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Our Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper Prediction
Jack Draper faces his toughest task so far as he tries to successfully defend the Indian Wells title. The British player is 28th in the live rankings, 25 places below his opponent. He's still in the early days of his comeback from injury.
Draper has had two tough matches so far in this tournament and so has his opponent. Both of the matches Djokovic has played have gone to a deciding set.and another long match looks likely. Our Novak Djokovic v Jack Draper prediction is more than 21.5 games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
