Nice vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Nice are well in the Ligue 1 relegation scrap and will be hoping for a positive step when they host Lorient this Sunday. Heading into this game, Nice are 14th, five places behind Lorient in the league standings. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Nice succumbed to their 11th defeat in the league last time out after falling 2-0 to Lyon. That left them just six points above the red zone with just 12 matches remaining.
A 4-1 win over Nantes towards the end of January lifted hopes at Les Aiglons, but they’ve failed to win any of the last three matches. Nice avoided defeat in their last six home games, and that should offer some lift.
Lorient are confident their current run of form can see them end a seven-match winless run away to Nice. In their last visit here, they lost 3-0.
However, they claimed the spoils in the reverse fixture, beating Nice 3-1, and will be eyeing a league double here. Each of Lorient’s two wins over Nice across the last 10 meetings happened when they hosted, so this will come with a new feel.
Les Merlus returned to winning ways with a 2-0 victory against Angers. That was their sixth win in seven matches, and they’ve lost only once in 14 outings.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Nice v Lorient Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.14 | 3.55 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.42 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.52 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.5 | 3.35 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Lorient?
Our prediction for the Nice vs Lorient match is: Lorient wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/02/2026 between Nice and Lorient in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.71% for a win of Nice against Lorient with odds of 2.18 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nice vs Lorient is 29.4% with odds of 3.62 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Nice with odds of 3.58 at 888Starz.
Nice - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nice Lorient Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 35.89% | 3.58 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.28% | 1.84 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Lorient/Lorient | 15.21% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Nice vs Lorient Form
Nice and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
|
16
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 |
Nice and Lorient Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
Nice vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
30 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
17 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
Nice against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
Y. Diouf
DefenderA. Bah
M. Bard
J. Clauss
Everton
H. Boudaoui
G. Bernardeau
K. Boudache
Z. Diallo
B. Kamara
DefenderN. Adjei
B. Meite
P. Katseris
A. Ebong
J. Makengo
B. Mohamed
A. Tosin
S. Soumano
Missing players
M. Abdelmoneim
M. Bombito
MidfielderI. Jansson
Y. Ndayishimiye
B. Leroy
DefenderI. Toure
MidfielderB. Fadiga
Most goals and assists
Nice
Lorient
S. Diop
(8 Goals)
P. Pagis
(10 Goals)
, 
B. Dieng
(10 Goals)
J. Clauss
(5 Assists)
A. Kouassi
(6 Assists)
Nice - Lorient Key Points
- Nice are winless in four of their last five games.
- Nice lost eight of their last 12 league matches.
- Lorient have only lost once in the last 14 matches.
- Lorient have won six of their last seven outings.
- In their last five away games, Lorient won four.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Nice vs Lorient Prediction
Nice have had a torrid campaign so far, both in Europe and domestically. They do have a good run in this particular fixture, but in their current form, they look likely to struggle this time. The hosts have lost eight times in their last 12 league matches and only won once in the process.
Lorient will never find a better opportunity to better their head-to-head record against Nice. The visitors have only lost once in the last 14 matches and have six wins in the last seven games. Our prediction for Nice v Lorient is that Lorient wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nice Lorient
| Nice vs Lorient | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice wins | 2.23 | 2.18 | -2.2% |
| Draw | 3.59 | 3.62 | +0.8% |
| Lorient wins | 3.48 | 3.58 | +2.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lorient is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.7% and is now 27.9% (-0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Nice vs. Lorient game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Nice and Lorient? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
