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Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Newcastle
25/08/2025 14:00
Liverpool

Prediction :

 

Liverpool draw no bet

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions

The Toon Army will be in full voice on Tyneside, where they will meet the men from Merseyside on Monday night - it’s Newcastle United vs Liverpool in the Premier League! After matchday one, the Reds and the Magpies are fourth and 14th in the league standings, respectively. Check out our match prediction below!

This will be the first time that these English powerhouses will meet since locking horns at Wembley Stadium in the Carabao Cup final back in March. It was Newcastle that came out on top that day with a 2-1 scoreline - a victory that brought an end to the club's 70-year domestic trophy drought. 

Liverpool’s title run last season saw them draw level with Man United on 20 top-flight triumphs. It also etched Arne Slot’s name in the history books as only the seventh manager to win the Premier League in their first year in charge. Both these sides are expected to have big seasons in 2025-26 - let’s take a look at the need-to-know stats at play in this clash.

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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Liverpool Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.4 3.8 2
Betfred
3.4 3.75 2.1
William Hill
3.4 3.7 2
Betway
3.25 3.75 2.05
Unibet
3.35 3.85 2.02
Check all Newcastle vs Liverpool odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Liverpool?

Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Liverpool match is: Liverpool draw no bet.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/08/2025 between Newcastle and Liverpool in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.49% for a win of Newcastle against Liverpool with odds of 3.62 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Liverpool is 20.37% with odds of 3.92 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 47.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Newcastle with odds of 2.1 at Betfred.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Form

Newcastle and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Liverpool
Liverpool
3 1 1 0 0 2
14
Newcastle
Newcastle
1 1 0 1 0 0

Newcastle and Liverpool Last Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
L L D D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
2 :  2
Espanyol

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Tottenham
1 :  1
Newcastle

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

K-League Allstars
1 :  0
Newcastle

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
3 :  2
Newcastle
W W W L D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
2 :  2
Espanyol

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  1
Everton

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Ipswich Town

16 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
5 :  0
Crystal Palace
L L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Tottenham
1 :  1
Newcastle

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

K-League Allstars
1 :  0
Newcastle

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
3 :  2
Newcastle

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Celtic
4 :  0
Newcastle

18 May 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Newcastle
Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
L W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
100% BTTS
3 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  2
Bournemouth

10 Aug 2025 - Community Shield

Crystal Palace
2 :  2
Liverpool

4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Yokohama F Marinos
1 :  3
Liverpool

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan
D D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  2
Bournemouth

4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Arsenal
W L L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Community Shield

Crystal Palace
2 :  2
Liverpool

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Yokohama F Marinos
1 :  3
Liverpool

13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Preston North End
1 :  3
Liverpool

19 May 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  2
Liverpool

4 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

20 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  1
Liverpool

Newcastle vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

17 %

Draw

17 %

Liverpool

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (home team)
2.33
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
1 :  2
Newcastle

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Newcastle

4 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  3
Liverpool

1 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  2
Newcastle

27 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Liverpool

18 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  2
Liverpool
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Newcastle - Liverpool: Form Analysis

Newcastle United are set to return to the UEFA Champions League this season after clinching a fifth-place finish with 66 points (W20 D6 L12) in the Premier League in 2024-25. 

However, a few concerns are growing after they were held to a goalless draw away to Aston Villa last weekend, as it was the third straight league game in which the Toons failed to score. 

The hosts recorded 12 wins, two draws and five defeats at home last season, but ended the campaign with six league wins in their final seven matches at St James’ Park (L1).

These sides played out a stunning 3-3 draw in this fixture last season!

Meanwhile, Liverpool reclaimed the Premier League title with 84 points last season (W25 D9 L4) and led the standings for an incredible 234 days before ending the campaign 10 points ahead of Arsenal. 

The Reds made a solid start to their title defence this season, beating a stubborn Bournemouth 4-2 at Anfield last week. Notably, they have now conceded two or more goals in four of their last five league matches. 

This is the champs' first away game this season. Last term, they had the best away record in the top flight, picking up 38 points from their 19 outings  (W11 D5 L3). 

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Newcastle vs Liverpool last Lineups

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
N. Pope
2
K. Trippier
5
F. Schar
33
D. Burn
21
T. Livramento
39
B. Guimaraes
8
S. Tonali
7
Joelinton
20
A. Elanga
10
A. Gordon
11
H. Barnes
22
H. Ekitike
18
C. Gakpo
7
F. Wirtz
11
M. Salah
8
D. Szoboszlai
10
A. Mac Allister
6
M. Kerkez
4
V. Van Dijk
5
I. Konate
30
J. Frimpong
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Liverpool

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Midfielder

J. Willock

Forward

A. Isak

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

S. Bajcetic

C. Bradley

J. Frimpong

Newcastle & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Newcastle have two injury absentees at present in Matt Targett and Joe Willock, but Jacob Ramsey could be ready in time for kickoff to make his debut for the Toons. 

It has been an extremely frustrating summer for Eddie Howe’s side, as they have been hijacked for several attacking transfer targets, including the likes of Joao Pedro, Liam Delap and Benjamin Sesko. 

A penny for Alexander Isak’s thoughts?

The major reason for the Magpies' search for a striker is due to their Swedish marksman asking to leave Tynside after accusing the club of broken promises - his preferred destination is none other than Anfield!

Hugo Ekitike was another player on the radar for the Magpies, but the Frenchman opted to join Liverpool instead and has hit the ground running, scoring in his competitive and league debuts for his new employers. 

While Liverpool are well stocked in attack at present, the same cannot be said at full-back, where new arrival Jeremie Frimpong is now ruled out until after the September international break. 

Conor Bradley only returned to training on Thursday, but reportedly was unable to complete the full session, while Joe Gomez was not seen in training following the victory over the Cherries. 

Should none of Frimpong, Bradley and Gomez start, keep an eye on Harvey Barnes and Anthony Gordon down the hosts' left flank in this one. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
Top Goalscorer
Egypt M. Salah (1 Goals) Italy F. Chiesa (1 Goals) Netherlands C. Gakpo (1 Goals) France H. Ekitike (1 Goals)
Best assists
Best assists
France H. Ekitike (1 Assists)
Japan W. Endo (1 Assists)
Argentina A. Mac Allister (1 Assists)

Newcastle - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Newcastle have only won one of their last five league games.
  2. Newcastle have failed to score in their last three league matches.
  3. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 17 league matches against this opponent.
  4. Liverpool have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 away league matches.
  5. Liverpool only lost three away league games last season.
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Our Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction

While Newcastle United have spent over €100m on new signings this summer, they are still missing a first-choice striker. Isak’s absence was evident last week against Villa, when they were unable to find a breakthrough despite playing most of the second half a man up. 

Liverpool have had one of their biggest summers in history, and so far, they look to have done great business, with their new signings hitting the ground running. We fancy the visitors to win this match, but we’ll opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw, given it's still early in the season. Our Newcastle United vs Liverpool prediction is Liverpool draw no bet. 

Prediction :

 

Liverpool draw no bet

 
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Newcastle vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5

Odds 1.62

Newcastle have scored two or more goals in six of their last seven league home games. Liverpool have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 away league matches. 

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Newcastle vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions

The Premier League match between Newcastle and Liverpool will take place on August 25 at 19:00 GMT. 

The Premier League match between Newcastle and Liverpool will be played at St James’ Park in Newcastle. 

The Premier League match between Newcastle and Liverpool will be broadcast live on Sky Sports.

Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction
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