England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The Toon Army will be in full voice on Tyneside, where they will meet the men from Merseyside on Monday night - it’s Newcastle United vs Liverpool in the Premier League! After matchday one, the Reds and the Magpies are fourth and 14th in the league standings, respectively. Check out our match prediction below!
This will be the first time that these English powerhouses will meet since locking horns at Wembley Stadium in the Carabao Cup final back in March. It was Newcastle that came out on top that day with a 2-1 scoreline - a victory that brought an end to the club's 70-year domestic trophy drought.
Liverpool’s title run last season saw them draw level with Man United on 20 top-flight triumphs. It also etched Arne Slot’s name in the history books as only the seventh manager to win the Premier League in their first year in charge. Both these sides are expected to have big seasons in 2025-26 - let’s take a look at the need-to-know stats at play in this clash.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.75 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.75 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.65 | 2.28 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Liverpool match is: Liverpool draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/08/2025 between Newcastle and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.97% for a win of Newcastle against Liverpool with odds of 3.17 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Liverpool is 20.46% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Newcastle with odds of 2.35 at Betobet.
Newcastle - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 46.56% | 2.35 at Betobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.32% | 1.62 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool | 18.47% | 6 at Bet365 |
Newcastle vs Liverpool Form
Newcastle and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
15 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
|
11
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Newcastle and Liverpool Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Community Shield
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Community Shield
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2025 - Premier League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
Newcastle - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Newcastle United are set to return to the UEFA Champions League this season after clinching a fifth-place finish with 66 points (W20 D6 L12) in the Premier League in 2024-25.
However, a few concerns are growing after they were held to a goalless draw away to Aston Villa last weekend, as it was the third straight league game in which the Toons failed to score.
The hosts recorded 12 wins, two draws and five defeats at home last season, but ended the campaign with six league wins in their final seven matches at St James’ Park (L1).
These sides played out a stunning 3-3 draw in this fixture last season!
Meanwhile, Liverpool reclaimed the Premier League title with 84 points last season (W25 D9 L4) and led the standings for an incredible 234 days before ending the campaign 10 points ahead of Arsenal.
The Reds made a solid start to their title defence this season, beating a stubborn Bournemouth 4-2 at Anfield last week. Notably, they have now conceded two or more goals in four of their last five league matches.
This is the champs' first away game this season. Last term, they had the best away record in the top flight, picking up 38 points from their 19 outings (W11 D5 L3).
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Players list
N. Pope
DefenderL. Hall
M. Thiaw
D. Burn
T. Livramento
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
L. Miley
ForwardJ. Ramsey
A. Elanga
A. Gordon
W. Osula
Alisson
DefenderI. Konate
V. Van Dijk
M. Kerkez
MidfielderH. Elliott
D. Szoboszlai
R. Gravenberch
C. Bradley
ForwardW. Endo
R. Ngumoha
F. Chiesa
Substitutes
A. Ramsdale
DefenderL. Hall
S. Botman
M. Thiaw
J. Willock
J. Ramsey
L. Miley
J. Murphy
ForwardW. Osula
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderA. Robertson
J. Gomez
G. Leoni
C. Bradley
W. Endo
F. Chiesa
H. Elliott
R. Ngumoha
Newcastle & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Newcastle have two injury absentees at present in Matt Targett and Joe Willock, but Jacob Ramsey could be ready in time for kickoff to make his debut for the Toons.
It has been an extremely frustrating summer for Eddie Howe’s side, as they have been hijacked for several attacking transfer targets, including the likes of Joao Pedro, Liam Delap and Benjamin Sesko.
A penny for Alexander Isak’s thoughts?
The major reason for the Magpies' search for a striker is due to their Swedish marksman asking to leave Tyneside after accusing the club of broken promises - his preferred destination is none other than Anfield!
Hugo Ekitike was another player on the radar for the Magpies, but the Frenchman opted to join Liverpool instead and has hit the ground running, scoring in his competitive and league debuts for his new employers.
While Liverpool are well stocked in attack at present, the same cannot be said at full-back, where new arrival Jeremie Frimpong is now ruled out until after the September international break.
Conor Bradley only returned to training on Thursday, but reportedly was unable to complete the full session, while Joe Gomez was not seen in training following the victory over the Cherries.
Should none of Frimpong, Bradley and Gomez start, keep an eye on Harvey Barnes and Anthony Gordon down the hosts' left flank in this one.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Liverpool
N. Woltemade
(4 Goals)
H. Ekitike
(4 Goals)
S. Tonali
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Murphy
(2 Assists)
M. Salah
(3 Assists)
Newcastle - Liverpool Key Points
- Newcastle have only won one of their last five league games.
- Newcastle have failed to score in their last three league matches.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 17 league matches against this opponent.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 away league matches.
- Liverpool only lost three away league games last season.
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Our Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction
While Newcastle United have spent over €100m on new signings this summer, they are still missing a first-choice striker. Isak’s absence was evident last week against Villa, when they were unable to find a breakthrough despite playing most of the second half a man up.
Liverpool have had one of their biggest summers in history, and so far, they look to have done great business, with their new signings hitting the ground running. We fancy the visitors to win this match, but we’ll opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw, given it's still early in the season. Our Newcastle United vs Liverpool prediction is Liverpool draw no bet.
Newcastle vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Newcastle have scored two or more goals in six of their last seven league home games. Liverpool have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 away league matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Liverpool
| Newcastle vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 3.8 | 3 | -21.1% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.75 | -1.3% |
| Liverpool wins | 1.83 | 2.2 | +20.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 20.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 45.5% (-9.2%)
Newcastle vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Newcastle and Liverpool will take place on August 25 at 19:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Newcastle and Liverpool will be played at St James’ Park in Newcastle.
The Premier League match between Newcastle and Liverpool will be broadcast live on Sky Sports.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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