NAC Breda vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Eredivisie Predictions
Relegation-threatened NAC Breda welcome Europe-chasing Ajax as the Eredivisie enters matchday 31. NAC are 17th place in the standings, whereas Ajax are almost 30 points above them in fifth. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
NAC have four more matches to try and lift themselves out of the relegation zone. Parel van het Zuiden have accumulated 25 points after 30 rounds of play. They have won just five games and have suffered a massive 15 losses.
Carl Hoefkens’ men trail Volendam, who sit just above the drop zone by goal difference, by three points. This means that every game from here on out is a must-win for the hosts.
NAC haven’t won in six outings and drew their second successive match last time out after a 1-1 outcome away to Sittard.
Ajax defeated Heracles 3-0 last time out. That win allowed them to stay in the hunt for a place in Europe. Oscar Garcia’s men have struggled with their form and haven’t been able to win back-to-back matches since late January.
Ajax, who had gone three games without a win by the time they traveled to Heracles, have racked up 51 points. They are sitting on a European spot come the end of the season but are chasing a top-three finish to qualify for the Champions League.
The Lancers are three points from third place and four from the second position. Ajax, which has lost just once to NAC since 2008, won the reverse match 2-1.
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NAC Breda v Ajax Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.7 | 2.07 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.7 | 2.07 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.7 | 2.07 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.9 | 2 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.65 | 1.98 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between NAC Breda and Ajax?
Our prediction for the NAC Breda vs Ajax match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between NAC Breda and Ajax in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.55% for a win of NAC Breda against Ajax with odds of 3.5 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between NAC Breda vs Ajax is 43.39% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs NAC Breda with odds of 2.1 at Tonybet.
NAC Breda - Ajax Prediction and Best Odds:
| NAC Breda Ajax Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 43.39% | 3.9 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.59% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 20.83% | 6 at Bet365 |
NAC Breda vs Ajax Form
NAC Breda and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
56 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 |
|
17
|
29 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -23 |
NAC Breda and Ajax Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
27 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
6 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
27 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
24 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
NAC Breda against Ajax Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
R. Kortsmit
K. Lamprou
DefenderR. Hillen
J. Candelaria
C. Valerius
E. Mahmutovic
MidfielderA. Salama
A. Ayew
L. Holtby
P. Reulen
B. Ghalidi
J. Talvitie
P. Reverson
A. el Hani
DefenderA. Bouwman
R. van de Pavert
K. Itakura
O. Wijndal
MidfielderS. Steur
R. Bounida
M. Carrizo
D. Konadu
O. Edvardsen
K. Dolberg
Missing players
L. Greiml
V. Jaros
J. Heerkens
DefenderO. Zinchenko
T. Tomiyasu
MidfielderD. Klaassen
K. Fitz-Jim
Most goals and assists
NAC Breda
Ajax
M. Nassoh
(5 Goals)
,
B. Kemper
(5 Goals)
,
S. Van Hooijdonk
(5 Goals)
, 
M. Soumano
(5 Goals)
M. Godts
(17 Goals)
L. Holtby
(5 Assists)
M. Godts
(12 Assists)
NAC Breda - Ajax Key Points
- Ajax have conceded 37 league goals.
- NAC have conceded 15 goals in their last six fixtures.
- Ajax and NAC have scored a combined 87 league goals.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the last seven meetings between Breda and Ajax.
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Our NAC Breda vs Ajax Prediction
Our prediction for NAC Breda v Ajax is for more than 2.5 goals. This fixture has always been a high-scoring affair, and with the importance of this latest duel, we don’t see this changing. Ajax are looking to secure a place in Europe with the season winding down, while NAC are out to avoid the drop.
These are the perfect ingredients for an exciting showdown, as nothing but a win will suffice for either side. It is also worth noting that both sides have had defensive issues.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis NAC Breda Ajax
| NAC Breda vs Ajax | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda wins | 3.65 | 3.5 | -4.1% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.9 | +8.3% |
| Ajax wins | 2 | 2.1 | +5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 25.6% (-2.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
