Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Ulster Rugby Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
22/05/2026 15:00
Ulster Rugby

Prediction :

 

Montpellier Herault wins on a -5.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Challenge Cup Predictions

Montpellier Herault are hoping their excellent current form will see them win the European Rugby Challenge Cup this Friday. The Rockrose are unbeaten in this year's competition and take on Ulster in the final. With their winning run at present, our prediction is that the French club can win on a -5.5 handicap.

Seven wins in a row have taken Montpellier to this final in Bilbao, Spain. It's five years since they won their second European Rugby Champions Cup but they are in the form to again lift a trophy. The Bleu and Whites are worthy favorites to travel back to France with the Challenge Cup.

Ulster's biggest triumph came in 1999 when they became European champions. Since then, their only title triumph came when they won the Celtic League but that was 20 years ago. Now they travel to Bilbao hoping to win the Challenge Cup but their current form indicates that is going to be a tough task to achieve.

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Montpellier Herault Rugby v Ulster Rugby Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.31 21 3.55
Betwinner
1.31 21 3.55
Bet365
1.33 23 3.5
Roobet
1.32 20 3.3
BC Game
1.32 20 3.3
Check all Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Ulster Rugby odds

Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Ulster Rugby Form

Montpellier Herault Rugby and Ulster Rugby Last Matches

Montpellier Herault Rugby
Montpellier Herault Rugby Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

16 May 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
33 :  36
Montpellier Herault Rugby

9 May 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
59 :  7
US Montalbanaise

3 May 2026 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
18 :  12
Dragons

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
21 :  23
Montpellier Herault Rugby

18 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
42 :  31
USA Perpignan

11 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
45 :  22
Connacht Rugby
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

9 May 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
59 :  7
US Montalbanaise

3 May 2026 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
18 :  12
Dragons

18 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
42 :  31
USA Perpignan

11 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
45 :  22
Connacht Rugby

4 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
53 :  13
USA Perpignan

28 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
41 :  17
Racing 92
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

16 May 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
33 :  36
Montpellier Herault Rugby

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
21 :  23
Montpellier Herault Rugby

28 Mar 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
45 :  29
Montpellier Herault Rugby

21 Mar 2026 - Top 14

Clermont
17 :  20
Montpellier Herault Rugby

14 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
33 :  43
Montpellier Herault Rugby

25 Jan 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
30 :  27
Montpellier Herault Rugby
Ulster Rugby
Ulster Rugby Last matches
W L L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

15 May 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
22 :  26
Glasgow Warriors

8 May 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
38 :  38
Stormers

2 May 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
29 :  12
Exeter RC Chiefs

25 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
41 :  14
Ulster Rugby

17 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
21 :  29
Leinster

10 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
41 :  24
Stade Rochelais
W W L W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

15 May 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
22 :  26
Glasgow Warriors

8 May 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
38 :  38
Stormers

2 May 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
29 :  12
Exeter RC Chiefs

17 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
21 :  29
Leinster

10 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
41 :  24
Stade Rochelais

4 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
28 :  24
Ospreys
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

25 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
41 :  14
Ulster Rugby

28 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Zebre
12 :  28
Ulster Rugby

13 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Edinburgh Rugby
19 :  40
Ulster Rugby

28 Feb 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
21 :  10
Ulster Rugby

24 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
27 :  22
Ulster Rugby

11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Cheetahs
0 :  28
Ulster Rugby

Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Ulster Rugby Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Montpellier Herault Rugby

0 %

Draw

0 %

Ulster Rugby

100 %

7 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
17 :  40
Ulster Rugby

Montpellier Herault Rugby - Ulster Rugby: Form Analysis

Montpellier Herault are in top form at present. They are second in Top 14 and have won each of their last four league games. Each of their last seven games in all competitions have been won and all  but one of the last 13 the Rockrose have played ended in victory, only losing to Top 14 leaders Stade Toulousain.

In this competition, they finished six points clear of Zebre Parma after winning all four of their matches. That earned them the number one seeding in the knockout stages and they have beaten USA Perpignan, Connacht and Dragons, all at home with 116 points scored.

Ulster definitely need to improve their form.

Ulster are struggling at present with no wins in their last four league fixtures. The Ulstermen finished ninth in the United Rugby Championship and missed out on the end-of-season play-offs by a couple of points. Only one of their last five games has been won.

They won Pool 3 in the European Challenge Cup with three wins and a loss away to Cardiff. Seeded third in the knockout stages, they have had three home wins over Ospreys (by just four points), Stade Rochelais and in the semi-finals Exeter Chiefs.

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Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Ulster Rugby Prediction

Montpellier Herault Rugby & Ulster Rugby Squad Analysis

It's been an up-and-down last few weeks for Ulster. They beat Exeter Chiefs to reach this final but failed to qualify for the end-of-season play-offs in the United Rugby Championship. Now they head to Bilbao hoping to win their first trophy in 20 years.

Baloucoune has made a swift recovery.

The Ulstermen have received a boost with the news that winger Robert Baloucoune has recovered from his elbow injury and will play in this final. They do have a few injury problems though and Rob Stockdale will be absent on Friday.

Also missing for the Irish club will be their captain Iain Henderson who is suspended, Rob Herring and Stuart McCloskey. 

Montpellier have an exciting end to the season with not just this final but most likely the end-of-season play-offs in Top 14. They are currently second in the table in that competition. Montpellier have a truly international squad and are captained by England's Billy Vunipola.

Also included in their squad are Jordan Uelese at hooker and full-back Tom Banks who are both Australian internationals. At number 10, they have Argentinian international Domingo Miotti. Home Test match players are Arthur Vincent and Lenni Nouchi.

Montpellier Herault Rugby - Ulster Rugby Key Points

  1. Montpellier have won all seven of their matches in this season's European Challenge Cup.
  2. Montpellier are second in Top 14.
  3. Montpellier have won 12 of their last 13 games.
  4. Ulster failed to make the end-of-season play-offs in the United Rugby Championship.
  5. Ulster have only won one of their last five matches.
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Our Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Ulster Rugby Prediction

Montpellier are the clear form pick for this European Challenge Cup final. They are second in Top 14 and the leaders in that French championship are the only side to defeat them in their last 13 matches, the other 12 all being won by the Rockrose.

A win for Ulster won't just end a 20-year title drought but see them qualify for next season's ERCC. The Ulstermen are struggling at present though with just one win in their last five games. Our main Montpellier Herault v Ulster prediction is Montpellier Herault wins on a -5.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Montpellier Herault wins on a -5.5 handicap

 
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Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Ulster Rugby Alternative Predictions

Montpellier Herault Rugby wins

Odds 1.33
Montpellier have a 100 percent record in this season's European Challenge Cup and have won 12 of their last 13 matches.
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Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Ulster Rugby - FAQs

This European Challenge Cup final is being played on Friday May 22 and will get underway at 20:00 UK time.
The San Mames Stadium in Bilbao, Spain will be hosting this European Challenge Cup final.
Subscription channel Premier Sports are broadcasting this match live. ITV4 will be showing it live and it will also be online at ITVX and a TV licence is needed. Go to our European Challenge Cup livescore to read lots of information about the match as it happens.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.