Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Dragons Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup
Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Top seeds Montpellier are hoping to win the European Challenge Cup for a record-equaling third time. In the semi-finals, they are home to Dragons with the winners playing either Ulster or Exeter Chiefs in the final. Time for our match prediction.
The Rockroses last won this competition in 2021 after previously lifting the trophy in 2016. They have won all six of their matches in this season's European Challenge Cup. After winning their pool by four points, they have had home wins over USA Perpignan and Connacht, scoring 98 points.
Montpellier are third in Top 14 with 13 of their 22 games being won. They have won 13 out of 15 home league and cup fixtures this season. Their last match saw them win away at Bordeaux Begles, their fifth straight victory.
Dragons are struggling in the United Rugby Championship and are 14th in the table. The Welsh club are playing in their first European Challenge Cup semi-final for ten years. On that occasion, they were beaten by their opponents in this game.
They only finished third in their pool and are the 13th seeds in this knockout stage. The quarter-finals saw them win 35-32 at Zebre Parma. This is tougher and we tip Montpellier to win on a -19.5 handicap.
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Montpellier Herault Rugby v Dragons Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.04 | 50 | 12 |
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1.02 | 50 | 15 |
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1.04 | 51 | 10 |
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1.04 | 20 | 9 |
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1.04 | 20 | 9 |
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Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Dragons Form
Montpellier Herault Rugby and Dragons Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Apr 2026 - Top 14
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
11 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
4 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
11 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
4 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Apr 2026 - Top 14
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
25 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
24 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
5 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
28 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
22 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
17 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
28 Feb 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
16 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
14 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
24 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
5 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup
28 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
22 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
31 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Dragons Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
6 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
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Substitutes
Montpellier Herault Rugby - Dragons Key Points
- Montpellier are the top seeds in this European Challenge Cup, 12 places above Dragons.
- Montpellier have won all six of their games in this season's competition.
- Montpellier are third in Top 14 and won away at European champions Bordeaux last week.
- Dragons are only 14th in the United Rugby Championship.
- Montpellier have won their last ten home games.
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Our Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Dragons Prediction
Montpellier look to repea their semi-final win over Dragons in 2016. The Top 14 club have won this competition on two previous occasions and only Clermont and Harlequins have won three titles. They have won their last four matches and are chasing an 11th straight home victory.
Dragons have had two good away wMins in the knockout stages but have lost 16 of their last 19 on the road. Our Montpellier Herault v Dragons prediction is Montpellier Herault wins on a -19.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
