Monaco vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Monaco and Marseille are set to go head-to-head in Ligue 1 as action returns following the international break. Three points stand between the two sides, with hosts Monaco sitting sixth, three places behind their visitors. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
A lot is at stake here, with both teams pushing for Champions League football. The two have been in good shape, but no team in the league beats Monaco’s form in the last six rounds.
Les Monegasques have powered through Ligue 1 after elimination from two cup competitions. They will be gunning for a 10th unbeaten league game here. Monaco beat Lyon 2-1 last time out, making it three wins in three against sides above them.
Marseille ended up losing twice in their last three matches against sides in the top six. That includes their most recent outing, a home game against Lille.
Les Phoceens have lacked consistency in their latest 10 matches, only managing back-to-back wins once. In that period they won four matches and lost three.
In this form, their visit to Monaco promises to be another headache, as Marseille are winless there in the last two visits, both ending in defeat.
Meanwhile, their win against Toulouse at the start of March is their only away victory in five; they lost three.
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Monaco v Marseille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.13 | 3.8 | 3.35 |
|
|
3.08 | 5.16 | 1.79 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.64 | 3.34 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.7 | 3.24 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.7 | 3.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Marseille match is: Monaco wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2026 between Monaco and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.04% for a win of Monaco against Marseille with odds of 3.08 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Marseille is 20.13% with odds of 5.16 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Monaco with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
Monaco - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 52.04% | 3.08 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.49% | 1.57 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Monaco/Monaco | 24.12% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
Monaco vs Marseille Form
Monaco and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
|
7
|
54 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 |
Monaco and Marseille Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2026 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
Monaco vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
Monaco against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
P. Kohn
DefenderE. Dier
K. Diatta
A. Bamba
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
P. Pogba
ForwardA. Fati
S. Adingra
M. Biereth
J. De Lange
DefenderL. Balerdi
Emerson
H. Abdelli
B. Nadir
A. Vermeeren
N. Tocukvu
ForwardA. Lago
E. Nwaneri
Missing players
M. Salisu
Vanderson
MidfielderT. Minamino
N. Aguerd
MidfielderG. Kondogbia
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Marseille
F. Balogun
(13 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(6 Assists)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
Monaco - Marseille Key Points
- Monaco are on six straight wins in Ligue 1.
- Marseille have lost three of their last five away games.
- Marseille lost their last two away matches at Monaco.
- In their last five home matches, Monaco posted four wins.
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Our Monaco vs Marseille Prediction
Monaco set out to recover from their poor run between November and January, and they are doing just fine. Heading into this encounter, they are on six straight wins in Ligue 1 and are eyeing a 10th unbeaten outing in the league.
In their six league wins, they face three sides currently in the top five. With that in the tank, they won’t feel pressured about Marseille, who have struggled lately against top opposition. Our prediction for Monaco v Marseille is that Monaco wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco Marseille
| Monaco vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 5.61 | 3.08 | -45.1% |
| Draw | 6.31 | 5.16 | -18.2% |
| Marseille wins | 1.33 | 3.45 | +159.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Monaco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 45.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 17.8% and is now 32.5% (14.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
