Monaco vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Fifth placed Lyon will return to Ligue 1 action with an away game at Monaco both seeking fast starts to 2026. Monaco were on a freefall towards the end of 2025 and come here sitting ninth. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Monaco’s recent successes came in cup outings while they considerably struggled in the league. They wrapped up last year with a 2-1 away win at Auxerre in the French Cup.
Their only other win across the last four games was in the Champions League. Marseille failed to score in their last two league outings. Ironically, Monaco’s only win in the last five matches was against PSG.
Lyon seemed to put their troubles behind them towards the end of 2025, with three straight wins. A 3-0 victory at home to Saint-Cyr Collonges in the French Cup was the fifth in their last six matches. That also came with their fifth clean sheet in seven outings.
This run is key for their confidence, going into a fixture they’ve lost in the last two meetings, failing to score. Les Gones’ biggest headache will be their poor run away from home.
In the last seven matches on the road, they lost three times and managed just one win. Lyon failed to score in four of their last five away games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v Lyon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.75 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.6 | 3.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Lyon match is: BTTS: No
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Monaco and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.65% for a win of Monaco against Lyon with odds of 2.2 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Lyon is 25.19% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Monaco with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
Monaco - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 39.65% | 2.2 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 62.09% | 2.3 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 21.67% | 1.6 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Monaco | 20.84% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Monaco vs Lyon Form
Monaco and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
30 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
|
9
|
23 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | -3 |
Monaco and Lyon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Monaco vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
19 May 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Sept 2022 - Ligue 1
Monaco against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
L. Camara
D. Zakaria
T. Minamino
K. Diatta
ForwardA. Fati
M. Niakhate
MidfielderE. Nuamah
ForwardM. Fofana
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Lyon
F. Balogun
(7 Goals)
P. Sulc
(9 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(4 Assists)
P. Sulc
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Moreira
(4 Assists)
Monaco - Lyon Key Points
- Lyon failed to score in four of their last five away matches.
- Both sides scored in only one of Monaco’s last five matches.
- Monaco kept a clean sheet in each of the last two meetings with Lyon.
- A clean sheet was recorded in four of Monaco’s last five home games.
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Our Monaco vs Lyon Prediction
Monaco failed to score in their last two league matches and generally carry a poor scoring run into this game. They’ve only managed more than a goal in two of their last 10 outings but will be banking on their recent success in this fixture.
Lyon have been on an encouraging run lately but there could be struggles here, given their form on the road. The visitors have failed to score in four of their last five away encounters. Our prediction for Monaco v Lyon is BTTS:No
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco Lyon
| Monaco vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 2.15 | 2.05 | -4.7% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.75 | +4.2% |
| Lyon wins | 3.1 | 3.4 | +9.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Monaco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 48.8% (2.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Monaco vs. Lyon game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
