Mirassol vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Mirassol will meet Gremio as the Brazilian Serie A returns following the summer break. Both sides lost their last league outings in May, leaving Mirassol 19th and Gremio 16th. Mirassol haven’t tasted defeat in three matches against Gremio, and that gives them the edge in this prediction.
Last year Mirassol thrashed Gremio 4-1 at home and went on to complete a league double with a 1-0 away win. They had earlier won a cup game against Gremio, and this run will give them confidence going forward.
This season, though, all isn’t well for Leaozinho, who have only managed four league wins so far. The 1-0 loss to Athletico-PR before the break was their ninth of the season, leaving them five points below safety.
Three of Mirassol’s four wins in the league came at home, and that should be really concerning for Gremio. The visitors are not only winless in this fixture but are among teams yet to win on the road in the league this season.
They also went into the month-long break on a losing note, having fallen at home 3-1 against Corinthians. That was their seventh league loss in this campaign, while they have only managed five wins in the 18 matches they’ve played so far.
Failure to better Vasco da Gama’s result in this round might see Imortal Tricolor drop into the relegation region. They sit just a point above the drop zone.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Mirassol v Gremio Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 7.25 | 100 |
|
|
1.05 | 11 | 151 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.34 | 4.18 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.34 | 4.18 |
|
|
1.02 | 19 | 501 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Mirassol and Gremio?
Our prediction for the Mirassol vs Gremio match is: Mirassol wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/07/2026 between Mirassol and Gremio in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.69% for a win of Mirassol against Gremio with odds of 1.95 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mirassol vs Gremio is 27.31% with odds of 19 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Gremio vs Mirassol with odds of 501 at 22bet.
Mirassol - Gremio Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mirassol Gremio Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mirassol wins | 49.69% | 1.95 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 51.44% | 1.75 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mirassol | 22.55% | 5 at Bet365 |
Mirassol vs Gremio Form
Mirassol and Gremio's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
28 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -6 |
|
16
|
28 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -11 |
Mirassol and Gremio Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
19 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
5 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
Mirassol vs Gremio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Mar 2022 - Copa do Brasil
Mirassol against Gremio Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
Thomazella
Georgemy
DefenderElias
L. Oliveira
V. Luis
D. Borges
MidfielderC. Kim
Shaylon
Fernandinho
Andre Luis
A. Galeano
C. Eduardo
G. Grando
DefenderP. Crisostomo Pinheiro
W. Leonardo
E. Noriega Loret de Mola
Luis Eduardo
M. Rocha
M. Monsalve
Willian
Dodi
L. Peerez
R. Freitas
M. Braithwaite
Missing players
Negueba
J. Pedro
Marlon
MidfielderRonald
Most goals and assists
Mirassol
Gremio
Carlos Eduardo
(4 Goals)
,
I. Formiga
(4 Goals)
C. Vinicius
(10 Goals)
Reinaldo
(4 Assists)
,
I. Formiga
(4 Assists)
C. Pavon
(4 Assists)
Mirassol - Gremio Key Points
- Mirassol won each of their last three meetings with Gremio.
- Three of Mirassol’s four league wins came in home games.
- Gremio are winless in their nine away league matches.
- Gremio failed to win in five of their last six away league games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Mirassol vs Gremio Prediction
Mirassol’s second season in Serie A isn’t going well, and there is a real reason for concern. They look like they will battle relegation this time, but a game against Gremio presents positive vibes. This will be the fourth meeting between the two sides, and Mirassol have won all the earlier three.
Last season they completed a double over Gremio to add to an earlier cup win. Meanwhile, three of their four league wins this season have come through home matches. Our prediction for Mirassol v Gremio is that Mirassol wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mirassol Gremio
| Mirassol vs Gremio | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol wins | 1.91 | 1.95 | +2.1% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 19 | +475.8% |
| Gremio wins | 3.75 | 501 | +13,260.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mirassol is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 51.3% (-1.1%)
Get Enhanced Prices With Betway Boost
Take advantage of the Betway Boost - offering enhanced prices across a wide range of sports! Select the ‘Betway Boost’ banner and you’ll be shown a list with all of the current boosted odds.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
