England - Championship
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Championship Predictions
Middlesbrough have an unbeaten streak to defend in the Championship when Stoke City visits. This is not any ordinary match, with the two sides sitting in the top three positions. We have a prediction for the match below.
Middlesbrough dropped points in the 1-1 draw with Southampton but remains top with a four-point gap. That was their second draw in the last three league matches, while the hosts have only managed a clean sheet once in the last five matches.
In their three league matches at home this season, Middlesbrough posted straight wins. That is enough to raise their confidence coming to this clash.
Stoke City have in recent weeks suffered a few blows to their promotion ambitions. From a possible 12 points in the last four matches, the visitors managed just four. In their two defeats in that run, they failed to score.
Stoke City also have the fewest goals scored among the top four teams, and facing a top four opponent means that tally could go even lower.
Alongside Middlesbrough, they are among the teams to have conceded the least goals so far but only have two clean sheets in the league. In the last two meetings with Middlesbrough, Stoke City suffered defeat, a trend they’d want to end here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Stoke Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.76 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 4 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.55 | 3.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Stoke match is: Middlesbrough wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/09/2025 between Middlesbrough and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.39% for a win of Middlesbrough against Stoke with odds of 2 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Stoke is 27.4% with odds of 3.62 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Middlesbrough with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
Middlesbrough vs Stoke Form
Middlesbrough and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
|
3
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Middlesbrough and Stoke Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
19 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2022 - Championship
5 Dec 2020 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Stoke last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
S. Dieng
DefenderD. Fry
G. Edmundson
MidfielderR. McGree
S. Gallagher
Most goals and assists
Middlesbrough
Stoke
M. Sene
(2 Goals)
, 
T. Conway
(2 Goals)
S. Thomas
(3 Goals)
H. Hackney
(2 Assists)
,
M. Whittaker
(2 Assists)
,
L. Ayling
(2 Assists)
S. Thomas
(2 Assists)
Middlesbrough and Stoke Stats in Championship
Middlesbrough - Stoke Key Points
- Stoke City lost their last two matches against Middlesbrough.
- Stoke City are winless in three of their last four league matches.
- Middlesbrough lost only once in their last nine home league matches.
- Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the Championship, with five wins in seven.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction
Middlesbrough are coming into this game on a very strong footing, and playing at home swings the game in their favor as well. Last season they beat Stoke City in both legs in the Championship. Having won all their league matches at home and starting the season stronger than Stoke, we feel the hosts have what it takes to claim three points from this match.
On the other hand, Stoke City lost twice in their last four matches. Our prediction for Middlesbrough v Stoke City is that Middlesbrough wins the match.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Middlesbrough vs. Stoke game!
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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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