Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
The Miami Heat look to end their poor run, but now face the Oklahoma City Thunder next. OKC may have cemented its position in first place, but the Heat are at risk of losing their playoff qualification spot if things continue on a downtrend. Let's get into this match prediction.
The Heat fell 119-114 to the Celtics, making it four losses in five games. Interestingly, one of those defeats was to the Thunder, in a 124-112 loss. The others came against the Timberwolves and Pacers, which are understandably difficult teams to face. Miami now looks to get back to winning ways after falling out of the automatic playoff spot.
But that might have to wait a bit longer as they face OKC next, the outright best team this season. The Thunder seems to have put recent slip-ups behind them after winning five straight games. They beat the Jazz, Grizzlies, and Heat before taking two more convincing wins over the 2nd-placed Spurs and 3rd-placed Rockets.
For OKC, this should be another routine victory, especially with reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander back in the lineup. However, underestimating the Heat might prove costly, especially as Miami makes the fifth-most points per game (119.7). OKC already boasts the league's best defence, but must bring that A-game against a lethal Miami side.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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4.9 | 1.19 |
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4.8 | 1.19 |
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4.7 | 1.21 |
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4.8 | 1.19 |
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3.95 | 1.19 |
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Who will win the Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder match is: SGA scores 30+ points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder game on 17/01/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Miami Heat has a 33.27% chance to pick up the win against Oklahoma City Thunder according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.9.
- There is a probability of 66.73% ⭐ for Oklahoma City Thunder to win vs Miami Heat with odds of 1.21 at Tonybet.
Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Miami Heat and Oklahoma City Thunder's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.818 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 1 |
|
16
|
0.512 | 43 | 22 | 21 |
Miami Heat and Oklahoma City Thunder Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
11 Jan 2026 - NBA
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 Jan 2026 - NBA
11 Jan 2026 - NBA
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29 Dec 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
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Players list
P. Larsson
N. Powell
K. Jakucionis
ForwardA. Wiggins
C. Wallace
L. Dort
Substitutes
D. Smith
D. Mitchell
T. Herro
ForwardJ. Jaquez Jr.
M. Gardner
N. Jovic
K. Johnson
S. Fontecchio
C. Youngblood
A. Mitchell
I. Joe
A. Caruso
A. Wiggins
ForwardJ. Williams
O. Dieng
Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- Shai averages the 2nd-highest points per game this season (31.7).
- SGA has the 9th-highest offensive rating (121.8).
- Sha has the 3rd-highest usage rating in the league (32.1).
- SGA has scored 30+ points in 28 of his 39 games this season.
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Our Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Thunder may have comfortably won their earlier meeting, but the Heat will make life even more difficult for OKC when they travel to the Heat. We see Shai being forced to at least play over or a little under his season average of 33.4 minutes.
If he remains on the court, you can only expect his presence to translate into points, considering his very high usage rate (3rd in the league) and offensive rating (9th in the league). Hence, our Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is that SGA scores 30+ points.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
