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Mexico vs Colombia Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

Mexico
11/10/2025 21:00
Colombia

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions

With their respective unbeaten runs, Mexico and Colombia look to continue their preparations for next year’s World Cup with a friendly on Saturday night local time in Texas. This international friendly match at the AT&T Stadium between El Tri and Los Cafeteros comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.

Mexico qualified for next year’s World Cup as a co-host and are playing friendlies to prepare for the global event. Colombia also qualified for the tournament by finishing third in the CONMEBOL qualification campaign with seven wins and only four defeats.

Mexico’s last assignments were against Asian teams South Korea (2-2) and Japan (0-0). Those results extended their unbeaten run to nine matches, during which they won six and drew three. Their performances in the friendlies will be under the scanner, as they could win only one of their last five friendly matches (W1, D2, L2).

Colombia come here with the confidence of finishing third in their CONMEBOL qualification campaign with seven wins out of 18 (W7, D7, L4). Two of those wins have come in their last two games, which were preceded by three consecutive draws. The South Americans will be confident of their chances, as they won their last nine international friendlies, including wins over Germany and even Mexico back in December 2023.

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The Best Betting Odds for Mexico v Colombia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.4 3.2 2.1
Betfred
3.6 3.2 2.15
William Hill
3.1 3 2.2
Betway
3.3 3.1 2.2
Unibet
3.35 3.2 2.18
Check all Mexico vs Colombia odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Colombia?

Our prediction for the Mexico vs Colombia match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2025 between Mexico and Colombia in International Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.22% for a win of Mexico against Colombia with odds of 3.76 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Colombia is 34.4% with odds of 3.32 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Colombia vs Mexico with odds of 2.47 at Shangrila.

Mexico - Colombia Prediction and Best Odds:

Mexico Colombia Prediction Probability Odds
Mexico wins 41.22% 3.76 at 22bet
Under 2.5 50.53% 2.21 at 22bet
Both Team To Score 60.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mexico 22.27% 7.5 at Betfair

Mexico vs Colombia Form

Mexico and Colombia Last Matches

Mexico
Mexico Last matches
D W W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  2
Korea Republic

6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Japan

6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
1 :  0
Honduras

28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Saudi Arabia

22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Costa Rica
W D W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  2
Korea Republic

6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Japan

2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
1 :  0
Honduras

28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Saudi Arabia

22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Costa Rica

14 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
3 :  2
Dominican Republic
D L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname
0 :  2
Mexico

20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
Mexico

21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  0
Mexico

15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

10 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Mexico
Colombia
Colombia Last matches
L D D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Venezuela
3 :  6
Colombia

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Colombia
3 :  0
Bolivia

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  1
Colombia

6 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Colombia
0 :  0
Peru

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Colombia
2 :  2
Paraguay

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Brazil
2 :  1
Colombia
W W L D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Colombia
3 :  0
Bolivia

6 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Colombia
0 :  0
Peru

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Colombia
2 :  2
Paraguay

19 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Colombia
0 :  1
Ecuador

15 Oct 2024 - World Cup

Colombia
4 :  0
Chile

10 Sept 2024 - World Cup

Colombia
2 :  1
Argentina
D L L L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Venezuela
3 :  6
Colombia

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  1
Colombia

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Brazil
2 :  1
Colombia

15 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
3 :  2
Colombia

10 Oct 2024 - World Cup

Bolivia
1 :  0
Colombia

6 Sept 2024 - World Cup

Peru
1 :  1
Colombia

Mexico vs Colombia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Mexico

0 %

Draw

0 %

Colombia

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (home team)
3
Goals scored (away team)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

16 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Colombia

27 Sept 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Colombia
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Players list

Mexico
Mexico
Goalkeeper

L. Malagon

Defender

J. Vasquez

C. Montes

J. Sanchez

J. Gallardo

Midfielder

M. Ruiz

O. Pineda

E. Lira

Forward

S. Gimenez

A. Vega

D. Lainez

Colombia
Colombia
Goalkeeper

D. Ospina

Defender

D. Munoz

W. Ditta

J. Lucumi

A. Angulo

Midfielder

K. Castano

J. Lerma

J. Rodriguez

Forward

L. Diaz

L. Suarez

K. Serna

Substitutes

Mexico
Mexico
Goalkeeper

C. Acevedo

R. Rangel

Defender

L. Romo

I. Reyes

K. Alvarez

R. Juarez

Midfielder

E. Sanchez

C. Rodriguez

M. Chavez

A. Gutierrez

Forward

C. Huerta

H. Lozano

G. Berterame

J. Quinones

Colombia
Colombia
Goalkeeper

A. Montero

K. Mier

Defender

Y. Mosquera

J. Mojica

D. Sanchez

F. Roman

Midfielder

J. Quintero

J. Portilla

R. Rios

J. Campaz

Forward

R. Borre

Y. Asprilla

C. Hernandez

J. Carbonero

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Mexico
CD Huachipato Colombia
Top Goalscorer
Mexico C. Montes (3 Goals)
Mexico R. Jimenez (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Best assists
Mexico M. Ruiz (1 Assists)
Mexico J. Vasquez (1 Assists)
Mexico G. Mora (1 Assists)
Mexico J. Quinones (1 Assists)
Mexico A. Vega (1 Assists)
Mexico S. Gimenez (1 Assists)
Mexico E. Alvarez (1 Assists)
Mexico O. Pineda (1 Assists)
Best assists

Mexico - Colombia Key Points

  1. Six of Colombia’s last nine matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. In four of their last five international friendlies, Colombia saw at least three goals scored.
  3. Two of Mexico’s last three matches produced three or more goals.
  4. The last two friendlies between Mexico and Colombia produced five goals each time.
  5. Mexico won their last nine international friendlies.
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Our Mexico vs Colombia Prediction

Mexico are in excellent form coming into this friendly, although their latest two matches ended in draws. They will be without star striker Raul Jimenez, though, as he hasn’t been included in this squad due to injury concerns. Colombia come here on the back of consecutive wins in the World Cup qualifiers, but their form hasn’t been commanding. The Colombians have won their last two friendlies against Mexico, though.

Backing that result could be tricky, so we are looking at the goals market, and our Mexico vs Colombia prediction is over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mexico Colombia

Mexico vs Colombia Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Mexico wins 2.88 3.4 +18.1%
Draw 3.1 3.2 +3.2%
Colombia wins 2.5 2.1 -16.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Mexico is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 18.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 34.7% and is now 29.4% (-5.3%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Mexico vs. Colombia game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Mexico and Colombia? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's International Friendlies! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Enjoy the promotion!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mexico vs Colombia Prediction

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