Metz vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lens will look to build on their recent rise in Ligue 1 when they travel to Metz for their matchday 10 assignment. Hosts Metz go into the Wednesday clash sitting at the bottom of the standings and Lens second. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Metz remain winless going into their 10th league game and will be more concerned at the number of goals they’ve been shipping. A 6-1 defeat to Lille on Sunday was the latest blow to their plans at escaping the drop zone.
Having managed just two points, they are now left seven adrift of safety. The hosts have the worst defensive record, after conceding 26, and also the joint poorest attacking run, scoring six goals.
Lens have lately shown clear intentions in the Ligue 1 title race. A 2-1 win over Marseille, who went into the last round as league leaders, lifted them to second. Les Sang et Or are just a point behind champions PSG.
In the top seven, Lens are the only ones without European assignments this season, which guarantees more time for player recovery. In the long run, that aspect should offer the visitors a lift as they target a good season.
So far, they’ve only lost to PSG and Lyon, but they arrive for this game with a five-match unbeaten run. In each of their last three outings, they posted wins, scoring six times.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Metz v Lens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6 | 4.6 | 1.52 |
|
|
6.27 | 4.39 | 1.59 |
|
|
6.7 | 4.66 | 1.45 |
|
|
6.45 | 4.42 | 1.49 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.75 | 1.48 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Lens?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Lens match is: Lens wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/10/2025 between Metz and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.89% for a win of Metz against Lens with odds of 7.24 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Lens is 26% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Metz with odds of 1.59 at 1xbet.
Metz - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Lens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 52.11% | 1.59 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.79% | 1.81 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lens | 25.7% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Metz vs Lens Form
Metz and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
70 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Metz and Lens Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2022 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2021 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2021 - Ligue 1
Metz against Lens Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
R. Jean-Baptiste
DefenderI. Sane
M. Diop
Y. Lawson
C. Melieres
MidfielderI. Guerti
G. Abuashvili
J. Asoro
ForwardM. Bokele
R. Gurtner
A. Delplace
DefenderI. Ganiou
R. Aguilar
A. Bulatovic
M. Guilavogui
R. Fofana
W. Said
F. Sotoca
Missing players
P. Sy
DefenderF. Ballo-Toure
S. Sane
MidfielderB. Traore
U. Mboula
Most goals and assists
Metz
Lens
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
W. Said
(12 Goals)
, 
O. Edouard
(12 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
A. Thomasson
(10 Assists)
Metz - Lens Key Points
- Metz have conceded the most goals in Ligue 1.
- Metz are the joint lowest scorers in Ligue 1.
- Metz are winless in Ligue 1, losing seven.
- Lens posted three straight wins ahead of this game.
- Lens won half of their last 10 away league matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Metz vs Lens Prediction
Metz haven't had a great return to Ligue 1 after one season away. They were tipped to struggle, but not this much, as they haven't even won a game. Recent matches against Lens mostly went Metz’s way, but this could turn out differently.
Lens are coming off a key win, and their recent rise has them among the league title contenders. Now trailing PSG by just a point, Lens will see the Metz game as a chance to keep their challenge alive. Our prediction for Metz v Lens is that Lens wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Lens
| Metz vs Lens | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 4.7 | 7.24 | +54.0% |
| Draw | 3.88 | 5.2 | +34.0% |
| Lens wins | 1.84 | 1.59 | -13.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.3% and is now 62.9% (8.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
