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Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Marseille
23/08/2025 10:00
Paris FC

Prediction :

 

Marseille to win and both teams to score

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Marseille have corrections to make as they go into Matchday 2 of Ligue 1, hosting promoted Paris FC. Both sides had losing starts, but for Marseille, this represents a chance to bounce back. Here’s our preview and a prediction of the match. 

Marseille started their season with a 1-0 loss at Rennes, disappointingly failing to break down 10 men. They will be banking on their form towards the end of last season, when they won four straight home matches. 

Les Phoceens lost just three in the league all season at home, which was key in their second-place finish. In those four closing matches, they didn’t keep a clean sheet but scored three or more in each.

Paris FC marked their long-awaited return to the topflight with a 1-0 defeat at home to Angers. Now they hit the road, and the difficulty levels go up. They also finished strongly in Ligue 2, but the challenge up here is way bigger, as they’ve probably noticed already. 

Coming into the season off the back of seven unbeaten matches in competitive action, Paris conceded nine minutes into their return to the topflight. In their last 11 matches, Paris FC managed just two clean sheets but failed to score in only two of the matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Paris FC Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.38 5 7.5
Betfred
1.36 5 8.5
William Hill
1.36 4.6 7.5
Betway
1.38 5 7.5
Unibet
1.38 4.9 8
Check all Marseille vs Paris FC odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Paris FC?

Our prediction for the Marseille vs Paris FC match is: Marseille to win and both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Marseille and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.01% for a win of Marseille against Paris FC with odds of 1.43 at BC Game.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Paris FC is 31.97% with odds of 5.16 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs Marseille with odds of 8.85 at 22bet.

Marseille vs Paris FC Form

Marseille and Paris FC's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Paris FC
Paris FC
0 1 0 0 1 -1
11
Marseille
Marseille
0 1 0 0 1 -1

Marseille and Paris FC Last Matches

Marseille
Marseille Last matches
D W D D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Sevilla

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Valencia

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
0 :  2
Marseille

21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
1 :  1
Marseille
W W W D D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Sevilla

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Valencia

17 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  2
Rennes

27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  1
Brest

19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  1
Montpellier Hsc
D W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
0 :  2
Marseille

21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
1 :  1
Marseille

20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Excelsior Maassluis
0 :  5
Marseille

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  3
Marseille

4 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Marseille
Paris FC
Paris FC Last matches
W W D D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  0
Paris FC

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Nantes
2 :  3
Paris FC

6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Paris FC
2 :  2
UNFP Selection

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Paris FC
1 :  1
Le Havre

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Sion
1 :  3
Paris FC

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Saint Etienne
0 :  3
Paris FC
W W W L D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Paris FC
2 :  2
UNFP Selection

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Paris FC
1 :  1
Le Havre

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Paris FC
0 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

10 May 2025 - Ligue 2

Paris FC
2 :  0
Ajaccio

19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2

Paris FC
1 :  0
Bastia

4 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2

Paris FC
2 :  0
Clermont
D D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  0
Paris FC

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Nantes
2 :  3
Paris FC

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Sion
1 :  3
Paris FC

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Saint Etienne
0 :  3
Paris FC

2 May 2025 - Ligue 2

FC Martigues
1 :  1
Paris FC

26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2

Rodez Aveyron Football
1 :  1
Paris FC
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Marseille vs Paris FC last Lineups

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
G. Rulli
62
A. Murillo
5
L. Balerdi
19
G. Kondogbia
4
C. Egan-Riley
23
P. Hojbjerg
8
A. Gomes
10
M. Greenwood
25
A. Rabiot
17
J. Rowe
9
A. Gouiri
11
J. Krasso
29
P. Hamel
27
M. Simon
21
M. Lopez
8
L. Doucet
10
I. Kebbal
19
N. Sangui
15
Kolo
5
M. Mbow
6
S. Chergui
16
O. Nkambadio

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Paris FC

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

F. Medina

Midfielder

A. Rabiot

Forward

I. Paixao

J. Rowe

Paris FC
Paris FC
Defender

T. De Smet

Marseille - Paris FC Key Points

  1. Paris kept two clean sheets in 11 competitive matches.
  2. Paris FC scored in all but two of their last 11 matches.
  3. In Marseille’s last four home league matches, both teams scored.
  4. Marseille failed to score once in the last 13 matches.
  5. Marseille posted seven wins in their last eight Ligue 1 matches.
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Our Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction

These two sides will be desperate to get three points on board following slim defeats in the opening weekend. It is Marseille who seem to have the edge. They will be playing at home, where they had an impressive record last season. Facing a newly promoted side should make their target easily achievable.

The hosts will be concerned about their defending, though. While they were high scorers in the closing four home matches last season, they didn’t keep a clean sheet in them. Our prediction for Marseille v Paris FC is for Marseille to win and both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Marseille to win and both teams to score

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction
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