Marseille vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille will be presented with a chance to rise again in Ligue 1 after two straight defeats when they host struggling Metz. While Metz seem to be headed for relegation, Marseille are desperately pushing for a top three slot. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Marseille looked like they would challenge PSG for the league title this season but have fallen way behind ahead of this round. Les Phoceens are coming off their ninth loss of the season, at the hands of Monaco.
That, a second straight defeat, left Marseille 14 points adrift of the league leaders and having played a game more. With 18 points still to play for, their title hopes are gone, but a top three slot remains possible.
Metz are facing a similar case of a season unfulfilled, having so far garnered 15 points. They are 12 points below the safety line. In their last two outings, Les Grenats avoided defeat, registering back-to-back draws.
The most recent one, though, will feel like a missed opportunity after they drew 0-0 at home against the side directly ahead of them, Nantes. There was, however, some satisfaction at getting their third clean sheet in eight games.
That, and the fact that they’ve won four matches all season, make for the few positives Metz carry to the final rounds of the campaign.
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Marseille v Metz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.24 | 7 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.35 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.35 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.4 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Metz?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Metz match is: Marseille to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/04/2026 between Marseille and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.61% for a win of Marseille against Metz with odds of 1.28 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Metz is 30.52% with odds of 7 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Marseille with odds of 11.7 at 888Starz.
Marseille - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 59.61% | 1.28 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.17% | 1.46 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Marseille/Marseille | 32.24% | 1.68 at LSbet |
Marseille vs Metz Form
Marseille and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Marseille and Metz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2021 - Ligue 1
23 May 2021 - Ligue 1
Marseille against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. De Lange
DefenderEmerson
MidfielderH. Abdelli
B. Nadir
N. Tocukvu
A. Vermeeren
H. Traore
E. Nwaneri
A. Lago
J. Fischer
DefenderT. Yegbe
F. Ballo-Toure
B. Stambouli
MidfielderG. Abuashvili
U. Mboula
ForwardN. Mbala
L. Michal
G. Kvilitaia
Missing players
N. Aguerd
C. Egan Riley
MidfielderG. Kondogbia
C. Melieres
MidfielderB. Munongo
ForwardJ. Mangondo
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Metz
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
Marseille - Metz Key Points
- Marseille beat Metz 3-0 in the reverse fixture.
- Marseille have won nine of their 14 Ligue 1 home games.
- Metz have failed to score in seven of their last 10 matches.
- Metz conceded 3+ in five of their last 10 outings.
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Our Marseille vs Metz Prediction
Metz have not only found it hard to win games this season but are also struggling to score goals. Their return to Ligue 1 has indeed been a tough one, and facing a wounded Marseille at this point may make things even tougher.
The visitors have managed just three league wins and remain winless in their last 10 meetings with Marseille. Though in that run of 10 meetings they avoided defeat six times, we aren’t backing them here. Our prediction for Marseille v Metz is for Marseille to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Metz
| Marseille vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 1.29 | 1.28 | -0.8% |
| Draw | 6.55 | 7 | +6.9% |
| Metz wins | 11.4 | 11.7 | +2.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 78.1% (0.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
