Marseille vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille hosting Lens in their next Ligue 1 match this Sunday is among the most awaited of matchday 19. The hosts start this round in third place, two behind Lens. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Marseille are coming from a morale-crushing loss in the Champions League. Playing Liverpool, they were outclassed and bruised as Liverpool claimed a 3-0 win.
That result stopped Marseille from going three straight wins. Five victories in their last eight matches look like a solid run to boost their confidence against the league leaders. However, in their last two matches against Lens, they lost.
Lens will head into this game with the sole target of collecting three points. They have the chance to stop PSG’s dominance in the league title race, and what other way is there to show that than an eight-game winning run in the league?
The visitors have no European football engagements this season, and they’ve made the most of their free time. They have added an edge to their game with strong defending.
Across their last five matches, Lens have only conceded one goal. Their 1-0 win against Auxerre last time out was their third straight clean sheet. Lens bagged a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture, making it five wins in seven against Marseille.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Marseille v Lens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.9 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.82 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.82 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.8 | 3.25 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.75 | 3.45 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Lens?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Lens match is: Lens wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Marseille and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.9% for a win of Marseille against Lens with odds of 2.15 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Lens is 11.68% with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Marseille with odds of 3.64 at 888Starz.
Marseille - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Lens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 51.42% | 3.64 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.45% | 1.56 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Lens/Lens | 23.07% | 5 at Bet365 |
Marseille vs Lens Form
Marseille and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
70 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 |
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
Marseille and Lens Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
6 May 2023 - Ligue 1
Marseille against Lens Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. De Lange
DefenderC. Egan Riley
A. Murillo
B. Pavard
M. O'Riley
A. Vermeeren
D. Bakola
P. Aubameyang
M. Greenwood
M. Gorgelin
DefenderN. Celik
K. Antonio
MidfielderF. Sylla
A. Bulatovic
A. Bermont
A. Sima
R. Fofana
F. Sotoca
Missing players
Emerson
MidfielderA. Gomes
J. Gradit
J. Chavez
S. Baidoo
E. Garnier
MidfielderA. Haidara
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Lens
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
W. Said
(12 Goals)
, 
O. Edouard
(12 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
A. Thomasson
(10 Assists)
Marseille - Lens Key Points
- Lens have posted 10 straight wins.
- Marseille are coming off two straight defeats at home.
- Lens have five wins in the last seven meetings with Marseille.
- Lens are the best-performing away team in Ligue 1, winning six of nine.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Marseille vs Lens Prediction
Home is no longer a comfort zone for Marseille. They are here seeking to end a run of two straight losses at home, and they failed to score in both matches as well. On the other hand, Lens have picked up form and placed themselves well in the title chase.
On their travels, Lens are unbeaten in their last five outings, and in the latest two, they won with clean sheets. That and a decent recent record against Marseille make them favorites. Our prediction for Marseille v Lens is that Lens wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Lens
| Marseille vs Lens | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 1.97 | 2.15 | +9.1% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.95 | +8.2% |
| Lens wins | 3.85 | 3.64 | -5.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.0% and is now 27.5% (1.5%)
Bet365 Bonus in Sweden: Up to SEK1500 in bet credits + 100 free spins
With our promo code STYVIP1, new customers in Sweden can obtain a welcome bonus of up to 1500 SEK in bet credits and 100 free spins. A minimum deposit of 50 SEK is required. Bet credits are granted as match bonuses and must be wagered before winnings can be withdrawn, with the wager itself excluded from payouts. New customers who deposit at least SEK 50 are also eligible for 100 free spins on selected games. Bet credits are valid for 60 days.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
