Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction - Ligue 1

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France - Ligue 1

Marseille

13/03/2026 15:45

Auxerre

Prediction :

Over 2.5 goals and BTTS

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Prediction published on 13/03/2026, 07:04 by Nella Wagah | Modified on 17/03/2026 at 06:52 in Ligue 1 Predictions

Marseille will feel confident of edging Auxerre as the two sides go head-to-head in their next Ligue 1 meeting. Marseille, placed third, look to consolidate their position at home to the 18th. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Marseille love playing at home, where 27 of their 46 points in Ligue 1 have come. Les Phoceens will be eyeing a third straight win in the league as they head here. So far, their quest for a top three slot is going well amid tough competition.

A win against direct competitors Lyon handed them an advantage, and they built on it with a 1-0 win at Toulouse last time out.

The last time Auxerre visited here, they claimed. 3-1 win against Marseille in the 2024/25 season. They went on to complete a double on Auxerre.

This time the tables have turned, and it is they who are at risk of losing to Marseille for the second time this season. Marseille claimed a 1-0 win in the reverse match. AJA have one win in their last 10 matches and lost five times in the process.

Their most recent outing ended 0-0 against Strasbourg, though. That marked a second outing in three without scoring. It has been better on the road, with Auxerre posting three matches without defeat.

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Marseille v Auxerre Best Betting Odds

1	X	2
1.44	4.8	7
1.42	4.78	7.1
1.42	4.78	7.1
1.42	4.75	7
1.42	4.7	7

Check all Marseille vs Auxerre odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Auxerre?

Our prediction for the Marseille vs Auxerre match is: over 2.5 goals and BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/03/2026 between Marseille and Auxerre in Ligue 1 :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.8% for a win of Marseille against Auxerre with odds of 1.48 at LSbet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Auxerre is 32.19% with odds of 5 at Tonybet.
Our prediction model gives a 20.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Auxerre vs Marseille with odds of 7.55 at 888Starz.

Marseille - Auxerre Prediction and Best Odds:

Marseille Auxerre Prediction	Probability	Odds
Marseille wins	47.8%	1.48 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals	62.02%	1.95 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No	51.25%
Half-time / Full-time : Marseille/Marseille	17.82%	2.1 at Bet365

Marseille vs Auxerre Form

Marseille and Auxerre's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5 Marseille	59	34	18	5	11	+18
15 Auxerre	34	34	8	10	16	-10

Marseille and Auxerre Last Matches

Marseille Last matches

All Home Away

L D L W D W

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

2.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse

0 : 1

Marseille

4 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Marseille

2 : 2

Toulouse

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille

3 : 2

Lyon

20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest

2 : 0

Marseille

14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 2

Strasbourg

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG

5 : 0

Marseille

L W W D W D

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Marseille

2 : 2

Toulouse

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille

3 : 2

Lyon

14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 2

Strasbourg

3 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Marseille

3 : 0

Rennes

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille

3 : 1

Lens

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Marseille

0 : 3

Liverpool

W L D L L W

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

2.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse

0 : 1

Marseille

20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest

2 : 0

Marseille

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG

5 : 0

Marseille

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC

2 : 2

Marseille

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Club Brugge

3 : 0

Marseille

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers

2 : 5

Marseille

Auxerre Last matches

All Home Away

D D W L D D

Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.83 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 0

Strasbourg

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient

2 : 2

Auxerre

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 3

Rennes

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz

1 : 3

Auxerre

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 0

Paris FC

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse

0 : 0

Auxerre

L L L D L D

Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 0

Strasbourg

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 3

Rennes

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 0

Paris FC

23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 1

PSG

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Auxerre

1 : 2

Monaco

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

3 : 4

Lille

D L L D W D

Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient

2 : 2

Auxerre

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz

1 : 3

Auxerre

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse

0 : 0

Auxerre

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens

1 : 0

Auxerre

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest

2 : 0

Auxerre

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC

1 : 1

Auxerre

Marseille vs Auxerre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

67 %

Draw

0 %

Auxerre

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5

Total goals

33.33%

BTTS

1.33

Goals scored

1.17

Goals conceded

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 1

Marseille

22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

3 : 0

Marseille

8 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

1 : 3

Auxerre

30 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 1

Auxerre

3 Sept 2022 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 2

Marseille

10 Feb 2021 - French Cup

Auxerre

0 : 2

Marseille

Marseille against Auxerre Lineups: Starting 11

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

G. Rulli

T. Weah

B. Pavard

C. Egan-Riley

F. Medina

P. Hojbjerg

G. Kondogbia

M. Greenwood

Q. Timber

I. Paixao

P. Aubameyang

S. Mara

F. Oppegard

D. Namaso

J. Casimir

E. Owusu

K. Danois

C. Akpa

B. Okoh

S. Diomande

L. Sy

D. Leon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Auxerre

Substitutes

Marseille

Goalkeeper

J. De Lange

Defender

Emerson

G. Kondogbia 62'

Midfielder

H. Traore

I. Paixao 90'

H. Abdelli

N. Tocukvu

P. Aubameyang 90'

A. Vermeeren

Forward

E. Nwaneri

M. Greenwood 90'

A. Lago

A. Gouiri

C. Egan-Riley 62'

Auxerre

Goalkeeper

T. De Percin

Defender

M. Senaya

L. Sy 67'

G. Mensah

F. Sierralta

Midfielder

R. Faivre

S. Mara 67'

N. Ahamada

J. Casimir 75'

A. Diousse

Forward

Y. Zaddy

R. Rodin

B. Okoh 88'

Missing players

Marseille

Defender

N. Aguerd

Midfielder

B. Nadir

Auxerre

Defender

T. Siwe

Midfielder

L. Coulibaly

O. El Azzouzi

Forward

L. Sinayoko

Most goals and assists

Marseille

Auxerre

Top Goalscorer

M. Greenwood (16 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

L. Sinayoko (12 Goals)

Best assists

M. Greenwood (8 Assists)

Best assists

L. Sinayoko (4 Assists)

Marseille - Auxerre Key Points

Both teams scored in three of Marseille’s last five games.
All of Marseille’s last five home matches had over 2.5 goals.
3+ goals were realized in Auxerre’s last two away matches.
Over 2.5 goals were scored in the last three meetings between these sides at Marseille.

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Our Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction

Marseille have in recent weeks reignited their chase for a top three slot in Ligue 1. They come here confident after their latest win, but that may not be all it takes. Les Phoceens must also protect their backline, an area they haven't done so well in.

This match has both sides porous in defence so both sides scoring remains a possibility. Auxerre will be looking to add points to their relegation battle, but being exposed could land them in danger. Our prediction for Marseille v Auxerre is over 2.5 goals and BTTS.

Prediction :

Over 2.5 goals and BTTS

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Auxerre

Marseille vs Auxerre	Opening odds	Pre-match odds	Odds Movements
Marseille wins	1.5	1.48	-1.3%
Draw	4.3	5	+16.3%
Auxerre wins	6.5	7.55	+16.2%

Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

Marseille is most likely to win
The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.3% since opening
The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 67.6% (0.9%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

Marseille v Auxerre Best Betting Odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Auxerre?

Marseille - Auxerre Prediction and Best Odds:

Marseille vs Auxerre Form

Marseille and Auxerre's standings in the Ligue 1

Marseille and Auxerre Last Matches

Marseille vs Auxerre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille against Auxerre Lineups: Starting 11

Substitutes

Missing players

Most goals and assists

Marseille - Auxerre Key Points

Our Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Auxerre