Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
ATP - ATP Australian Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Just like Stan Wawrinka, Marin Cilic has been rolling back the years in Melbourne this week. The 2018 runner-up takes on 12th seed Casper Ruud in round three of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam. Time for our match prediction.
A match against either eighth-seed Ben Shelton or 30th seed Valentin Vacherot awaits the winner here.
Cilic last reached round three of a Grand Slam four years ago.
He caused a surprise in the last round when he beat 21st seed Denis Shapovalov in straight sets, losing only nine games. Prior to that, he defeated Daniel Altmaier for the loss of six games, all in the third set.
Now he faces Casper Ruud who has beaten him in each of their four previous meetings. The one match they have played on this surface was in 2021. Two of their last three matches saw both players win a set.
Casper Ruud had lost four of his last five matches before the start of this Grand Slam. His form has improved with two straight sets victories over Mattia Bellucci and Jaume Munar. He's 12th in the live rankings, 49 places above Cilic.
A win for Ruud will take him into round four here for only the second time.
We tip more than 3.5 sets to be played.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Marin Cilic v Casper Ruud Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.19 | 1.35 |
|
|
3.19 | 1.35 |
|
|
3.2 | 1.36 |
|
|
3 | 1.33 |
|
|
3.05 | 1.34 |
|
Who will win the Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud match is: more than 3.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud game on 24/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Marin Cilic has a 31.71% chance to win against Casper Ruud according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.4.
- Casper Ruud has a 68.29% probability of winning facing Marin Cilic ⭐ with odds of 1.36 at Bet365.
Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Marin Cilic has a 31.71 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Marin Cilic | 31.71 % |
| Casper Ruud | 68.29 % |
Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud Form
Marin Cilic and Casper Ruud Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
7 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
5 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
14 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
4 Jan 2026 - United Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Cup
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
3 Jun 2022 - ATP French Open
Marin Cilic - Casper Ruud Key Points
- Six of the last 11 matches Cilic has played in the Australian Open have seen more than 3.5 sets played.
- Both players have won a set in two of the last three matches between Cilic and Ruud.
- Niine of Ruud's last 12 completed matches (excluding retirements) in this tournament went to a fourth set.
- 12 of the last 16 Grand Slam matches played by Ruud have seen more than 3.5 sets played.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud Prediction
Marin Cilic is attempting to reach the last 16 of the Australian Open for the ninth time. The former finalist has won both of his matches this week in straight sets, including beating 21st seed Denis Shapovalov last time out.
Now he takes on 12th seed Casper Ruud who had a poor end to his 2025 season and has been inconsistent this year. He has showed some improved form here but this is a difficult task for him. Our Marin Cilic v Casper Ruud prediction is more than 3.5 sets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
