ATP - ATP Umag Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
This first round match in the Croatia Open sees fifth seed Mariano Navone face unseeded Tomas Barrios Vera. The winner of this outdoor clay court match will take on either Mili Poljicak or Jesper de Jong, both unseeded. Here's our first round match prediction.
Mariano Navone leads his opponent 3-1 in previous meetings, all played on this surface. The most recent was in last week's Nordea Open with Navone winning in straight sets. Navone went on to Francisco Cerundolo in his next match and is 76th in the live rankings.
The Argentine has a 20-12 record on clay this year. Earlier this month, he won the Braunschweig Challenger Tour event and has reached one ATP quarter-final on clay this year.
Tomas Barrios Vera is down at 142nd in the live rankings. He's slipped down the rankings due to losing the points earned when winning a clay court Challenger title last July. This year has seen him win 25 of his 39 matches on this surface.
The 27-year-old has lost his last two clay court matches, the last one of course to Navone. He's won two clay court Challenger Tour titles this year but is yet to get past round one of an ATP Tour event.
We tip Navone to again beat him in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera v Mariano Navone Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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4 | 1.25 |
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3.6 | 1.29 |
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4 | 1.25 |
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3.7 | 1.25 |
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3.75 | 1.28 |
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Who will win the Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone match is: Mariano Navone to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone game on 21/07/2025 of the current ATP Umag Open season:
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has a 27.35% chance to win against Mariano Navone according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.
- Mariano Navone has a 72.65% probability of winning facing Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera ⭐ with odds of 1.29 at William Hill.
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has a 27.35 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera | 27.35 % |
| Mariano Navone | 72.65 % |
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone Form
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera and Mariano Navone Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
10 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
8 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
26 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
23 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
12 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
11 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
10 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
9 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone Key Points
- Navone is 66 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Navone beat Vera 7-5 7-5 last week and leads him 3-1 in previous meetings, all played on clay.
- Vera is yet to get past round one of an ATP Tour clay court event in 2025.
- Navone has reached one ATP Tour clay court quarter-final this year.
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Our Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone Prediction
We have a rematch from last week's tournament in Bastad. Just like Usyk v Dubois, we expect this rematch to have the same result as their previous meeting. Navone has achieved far more than his opponent on the ATP Tour and is a lot higher in the rankings.
Vera has had success on the Challenger Tour but has struggled to replicate that at a higher level. Our Tomas Barrios Vera v Mariano Navone prediction is Mariano Navone to win in straight sets.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera or Mariano Navone , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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