England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
The Theatre of Dreams will convert to a canvas of contrasting colours and clashing ambitions when Chelsea arrive to take on Manchester United in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon. The Red Devils are in 14th place in the league standings, while the Blues are fifth after four games. Check out our match prediction below!
When Ruben Amorim walked in through the hallowed halls of Old Trafford in November, with him came fresh hope for the red half of Manchester. However, the Portuguese tactician’s tenure has been fraught with challenges so far, with his side finishing 15th last term - their worst-ever placement in the Prem - and languishing one point above the drop this season.
In contrast, Enzo Maresca’s first season in West London was a remarkable one. Not only did the Italian steer his side to a top-four finish in the league, but he also oversaw their Conference League title run before winning the FIFA Club World Cup during the summer break. Can the hosts overcome the red mist, or will the visitors paint Old Trafford blue? Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.8 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.7 | 2.38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Chelsea match is: over 2.5 & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between Manchester United and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.92% for a win of Manchester United against Chelsea with odds of 2.81 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Chelsea is 27.19% with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Manchester United with odds of 2.5 at Betfred.
Manchester United vs Chelsea Form
Manchester United and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
|
14
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
Manchester United and Chelsea Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
22 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
22 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
Manchester United vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 May 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
25 May 2023 - Premier League
22 Oct 2022 - Premier League
Manchester United - Chelsea: Form Analysis
The gulf in class between the two Manchester clubs was made evident once again last weekend, when United suffered a 3-0 defeat at the hands of their noisy neighbours at the Etihad Stadium.
The Red Devils' only victory this term so far came against newly promoted Burnley before the international break, while they were also dumped out of the EFL Cup by fourth-tier Grimsby Town.
Perhaps the only real positive for the hosts at present is that they have the second-highest xG in the Prem this term (8.3). However, they also possess the fourth-highest xG against in the top flight.
Man United won their last home game, but they have not won back-to-back in the Prem since December!
Meanwhile, Chelsea will be entering this match off the back of a tough trip to Bavaria in midweek, when they were beaten 3-1 by Bayern Munich in their Champions League opener.
The Blues conceded in the third minute of stoppage time against Brentford last weekend, which forced them to settle for a 2-2 draw. However, they are one of only three teams still unbeaten in the division this term (W2 D2).
The visitors have only lost one of their last six away league games (W3 D2 L1), but they have not tasted victory at Old Trafford in the Prem in their last 12 visits, dating back to May 2013.
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Manchester United vs Chelsea last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
L. Martinez
D. Dalot
MidfielderM. Mount
ForwardM. Cunha
L. Colwill
B. Badiashile
MidfielderR. Lavia
D. Essugo
ForwardL. Delap
D. Fofana
Manchester United & Chelsea Squad Analysis
One of the biggest points of debate around Amorim’s tactics in recent times has been his use of a 3-4-3 formation, which the United boss reaffirmed is what he will stick to after the defeat to the Citizens.
Amad Diallo was deployed as one of the number 10s, and Benjamin Sesko started as the spearhead of the attack in the Manchester Derby. However, that lineup could be shuffled again this week, with Matheus Cunha potentially set to return from injury.
Mason Mount and Diogo Dalot were also sidelined for the trip to the Etihad, but reports in the lead-up suggest that both players could make the matchday squad this week. Lisandro Martinez is back on the grass, but he is still several weeks away from a full return.
Can Cole Palmer score for Chelsea in a third match in succession?
The England international needed just five minutes to find the back of the net after coming on against the Bees last weekend, and he also netted the Blues' only goal against Bayern in midweek.
Joao Pedro will be looking to add to the two goals and three assists he has already notched up this season. He also enjoys playing against this opponent, having scored three goals in his five matches against them in the Premier League.
Pedro will almost certainly lead the line here with Liam Delap sidelined for the foreseeable future. Romeo Lavia and Dario Essugo are ruled out of this clash through injury, while Estevao is flagged as a major doubt.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Chelsea
B. Mbeumo
(2 Goals)
E. Fernandez
(2 Goals)
, 
Joao Pedro
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Caicedo
(2 Goals)
, 
C. Palmer
(2 Goals)
D. Dalot
(1 Assists)
Joao Pedro
(3 Assists)
Manchester United and Chelsea Stats in Premier League
Manchester United - Chelsea Key Points
- Each of Manchester United’s last three games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Manchester United have only kept one clean sheet in their last 11 league matches.
- Chelsea have scored two or more goals in each of their last three league games.
- Chelsea have only kept two clean sheets in their last 12 away league matches.
- Both teams scored in seven of the last eight matches between these sides.
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Our Manchester United vs Chelsea Prediction
While results have not gone Manchester United’s way so far this season, they have carried good attacking threat, ranked second for xG in the league, only behind Man City. That is a significant stat given they’ve already played two of last season’s top three teams.
However, Chelsea have already scored a league-high nine goals this term, and have a fit and firing Cole Palmer back in the squad for this clash. The Blues will be looking to right the wrongs from their midweek defeat in Germany here, and we feel we will see a few goals in this one. Our Manchester United vs Chelsea prediction is over 2.5 & BTTS.
Manchester United vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Manchester United wins or draw
While Manchester United endured a difficult 2024-25 season and have started this campaign in mixed form, they have not lost to Chelsea at home in their last 12 Premier League encounters since 2013.
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Manchester United vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Man United and Chelsea will take place on September 20 at 16:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Man United and Chelsea will be played at Old Trafford in Manchester.
The Premier League match between Man United and Chelsea will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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